Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 366 archive drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 366 drawings accumulates 340 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 366 340 1 0.29% $85 $37.5 $-47.5 -55.9% $-77.25
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 2.4 366 877 6 0.68% $219.25 $262.5 $43.25 19.7% $-99.25
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 0.7 366 260 0 0.00% $65 $0 $-65 -100.0% $-65
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.2 366 434 5 1.15% $108.5 $187.5 $79 72.8% $-27
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.6 366 574 6 1.05% $143.5 $225 $81.5 56.8% $-33
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.4 366 3,083 19 0.62% $770.75 $750 $-20.75 -2.7% $-215.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 366 340 1 0.29% $85 $37.5 $-47.5 -55.9% $-68.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.8 366 1,020 4 0.39% $255 $375 $120 47.1% $-69.75
Cici's Rules Engine 7.4 366 2,720 13 0.48% $680 $637.5 $-42.5 -6.3% $-96
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.4 366 2,720 11 0.40% $680 $562.5 $-117.5 -17.3% $-223.5
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.4 366 2,720 14 0.51% $680 $712.5 $32.5 4.8% $-111
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.6 366 1,700 10 0.59% $425 $525 $100 23.5% $-77.5
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 0.9 366 337 2 0.59% $84.25 $112.5 $28.25 33.5% $-45.25
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.4 366 2,720 11 0.40% $680 $487.5 $-192.5 -28.3% $-321
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 0.9 366 340 3 0.88% $85 $225 $140 164.7% $-30.5
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 0.9 366 340 2 0.59% $85 $75 $-10 -11.8% $-69.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 366 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.0 366 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 2.8 366 1,016 9 0.89% $254 $412.5 $158.5 62.4% $-99.75
Hot Families (top 10) 9.3 366 3,400 20 0.59% $850 $750 $-100 -11.8% $-232.5
Hot doubles (top 18) 16.7 366 6,120 17 0.28% $1,530 $1,275 $-255 -16.7% $-340.5
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.3 366 3,400 5 0.15% $850 $1,125 $275 32.4% $-305
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.3 366 3,400 18 0.53% $850 $675 $-175 -20.6% $-197.5
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 16.7 366 6,120 25 0.41% $1,530 $1,350 $-180 -11.8% $-291
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.3 366 3,400 10 0.29% $850 $487.5 $-362.5 -42.6% $-395
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.3 366 3,400 8 0.24% $850 $337.5 $-512.5 -60.3% $-535
Calendar Year Top-5 4.6 366 1,700 13 0.76% $425 $487.5 $62.5 14.7% $-40
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 111.5 366 40,800 247 0.61% $10,200 $9,262.5 $-937.5 -9.2% $-975
Window summary. 11 of 28 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) (+164.7% ROI, net +$140.00)
Top Net Dollars: Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$275.00 · Followed-By (empirical top 5) +$158.50 · RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) +$140.00

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Hot Families (top 10) +$25 +$133 +$18 -$100 +$0 +$210 +$203 4/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$1 +$58 +$36 +$140 +$161 +$70 +$197 3/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$6 +$243 +$213 +$159 +$170 +$143 +$140 5/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$4 -$13 +$144 +$120 +$34 -$16 +$102 4/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$6 +$141 +$65 +$100 +$56 -$64 +$83 4/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$1 +$21 -$2 -$48 -$64 -$5 +$9 1/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) +$0 0/0
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$1 +$59 +$74 +$28 -$25 -$41 -$64 2/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$6 +$66 +$28 +$63 -$19 -$64 -$68 5/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$3 +$40 +$115 +$82 +$27 -$81 -$82 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$1 -$17 -$40 -$48 -$64 -$118 -$104 1/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$2 +$14 +$98 +$79 -$53 -$117 -$118 5/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$1 -$17 -$40 -$10 -$26 -$118 -$141 1/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$13 -$18 -$95 -$175 -$188 -$165 -$173 3/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$10 +$54 -$16 -$43 -$173 -$342 -$191 4/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$10 +$91 +$97 +$33 -$173 -$417 -$191 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$1 +$73 +$54 +$43 -$71 -$202 -$204 5/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$1 -$13 -$28 -$65 -$138 -$215 -$233 0/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$10 +$129 +$59 -$193 -$473 -$455 -$303 3/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine +$28 +$91 +$22 -$118 -$98 -$342 -$341 6/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$12 +$195 +$133 -$21 -$363 -$517 -$613 6/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$23 -$227 -$111 -$255 -$698 -$545 -$813 6/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) -$13 -$55 -$170 -$363 -$413 -$953 -$1,185 1/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$13 -$168 +$55 +$275 -$638 -$1,553 -$1,335 3/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) -$13 -$18 -$133 -$513 -$488 -$1,103 -$1,335 1/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$15 +$36 +$39 -$180 -$473 -$1,107 -$1,413 6/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes +$38 -$98 -$278 -$938 -$1,763 -$3,293 -$3,570 2/12