Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 2,188 archive drawings (2023-09-05 → 2026-09-05) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays
1 families every drawing across
2,188 drawings accumulates
2,136 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 2,188 | 2,136 | 19 | 0.89% | $534 | $712.5 | $178.5 | 33.4% | $-107 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.7 | 2,188 | 8,132 | 40 | 0.49% | $2,033 | $1,537.5 | $-495.5 | -24.4% | $-636.5 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.7 | 2,188 | 1,621 | 12 | 0.74% | $405.25 | $450 | $44.75 | 11.0% | $-108.25 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.4 | 2,188 | 2,984 | 13 | 0.44% | $746 | $487.5 | $-258.5 | -34.6% | $-271 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.9 | 2,188 | 4,051 | 18 | 0.44% | $1,012.75 | $675 | $-337.75 | -33.4% | $-338.25 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.9 | 2,188 | 19,416 | 127 | 0.65% | $4,854 | $4,875 | $21 | 0.4% | $-239.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 2,188 | 2,136 | 11 | 0.51% | $534 | $900 | $366 | 68.5% | $-182 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.9 | 2,188 | 6,408 | 22 | 0.34% | $1,602 | $1,237.5 | $-364.5 | -22.8% | $-412.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.8 | 2,188 | 17,088 | 87 | 0.51% | $4,272 | $4,387.5 | $115.5 | 2.7% | $-282.5 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.8 | 2,188 | 17,088 | 75 | 0.44% | $4,272 | $3,562.5 | $-709.5 | -16.6% | $-862.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.8 | 2,188 | 17,088 | 86 | 0.50% | $4,272 | $4,462.5 | $190.5 | 4.5% | $-300 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.9 | 2,188 | 10,680 | 45 | 0.42% | $2,670 | $2,437.5 | $-232.5 | -8.7% | $-397.5 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 1.0 | 2,188 | 2,122 | 9 | 0.42% | $530.5 | $525 | $-5.5 | -1.0% | $-147 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.8 | 2,188 | 17,088 | 81 | 0.47% | $4,272 | $4,050 | $-222 | -5.2% | $-628.5 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 2,188 | 2,136 | 9 | 0.42% | $534 | $562.5 | $28.5 | 5.3% | $-106 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 2,188 | 2,136 | 3 | 0.14% | $534 | $150 | $-384 | -71.9% | $-384 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.5 | 2,188 | 1,068 | 3 | 0.28% | $267 | $112.5 | $-154.5 | -57.9% | $-160 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.1 | 2,188 | 282 | 0 | 0.00% | $70.5 | $0 | $-70.5 | -100.0% | $-70.5 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.7 | 2,188 | 8,075 | 45 | 0.56% | $2,018.75 | $1,800 | $-218.75 | -10.8% | $-421.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.8 | 2,188 | 21,360 | 124 | 0.58% | $5,340 | $4,762.5 | $-577.5 | -10.8% | $-797.5 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 17.6 | 2,188 | 38,448 | 111 | 0.29% | $9,612 | $8,325 | $-1,287 | -13.4% | $-1,524 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.8 | 2,188 | 21,360 | 16 | 0.07% | $5,340 | $3,600 | $-1,740 | -32.6% | $-1,785 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.8 | 2,188 | 21,360 | 116 | 0.54% | $5,340 | $4,500 | $-840 | -15.7% | $-917.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 17.6 | 2,188 | 38,448 | 155 | 0.40% | $9,612 | $7,875 | $-1,737 | -18.1% | $-1,893 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.8 | 2,188 | 21,360 | 60 | 0.28% | $5,340 | $3,525 | $-1,815 | -34.0% | $-1,962.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.8 | 2,188 | 21,360 | 80 | 0.37% | $5,340 | $4,350 | $-990 | -18.5% | $-1,060 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.9 | 2,188 | 10,680 | 64 | 0.60% | $2,670 | $2,400 | $-270 | -10.1% | $-492.5 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 117.1 | 2,188 | 256,320 | 1,579 | 0.62% | $64,080 | $59,212.5 | $-4,867.5 | -7.6% | $-4,867.5 |
Window summary.
7 of 28 strategies finished positive in this window.
· Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) (+68.5% ROI, net +$366.00)
Top Net Dollars: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$366.00 · Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine +$190.50 · Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$178.50
Top Net Dollars: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$366.00 · Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine +$190.50 · Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$178.50
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | +$42 | -$4 | -$20 | -$14 | +$366 | +$500 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | +$79 | +$146 | +$93 | +$136 | +$179 | +$312 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$25 | -$125 | -$58 | -$100 | +$99 | +$21 | +$131 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$29 | -$26 | -$97 | +$66 | +$45 | +$12 | 1/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$1 | -$7 | -$12 | -$23 | -$46 | -$71 | -$6 | 0/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | +$55 | +$145 | +$118 | -$6 | +$226 | +$191 | -$17 | 4/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$34 | -$4 | +$18 | -$14 | +$29 | -$26 | 2/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$1 | -$17 | -$2 | -$47 | -$63 | -$155 | -$50 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | +$55 | +$70 | +$6 | -$6 | -$112 | +$116 | -$54 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | -$34 | -$79 | -$94 | -$50 | -$6 | -$96 | 1/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$13 | -$93 | -$133 | -$23 | -$333 | -$270 | -$203 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$3 | -$4 | -$30 | -$39 | -$74 | -$259 | -$280 | 5/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$12 | -$87 | +$31 | +$14 | -$125 | -$219 | -$314 | 5/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | +$55 | +$220 | +$81 | +$32 | -$37 | -$222 | -$317 | 6/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | +$63 | +$95 | +$93 | +$15 | -$70 | -$233 | -$353 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$6 | -$18 | -$62 | -$76 | -$139 | -$338 | -$396 | 5/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$34 | -$79 | -$132 | -$239 | -$384 | -$401 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$8 | -$26 | -$87 | +$17 | -$342 | -$365 | -$414 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | +$25 | +$133 | -$20 | -$13 | -$350 | -$496 | -$474 | 6/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$25 | -$110 | -$265 | -$120 | -$478 | -$578 | -$480 | 4/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$25 | -$110 | -$340 | -$420 | -$778 | -$990 | -$518 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$25 | -$35 | -$190 | -$233 | -$740 | -$840 | -$1,005 | 4/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$20 | -$43 | -$182 | -$306 | -$637 | -$710 | -$1,104 | 3/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | +$50 | +$78 | +$73 | -$158 | -$1,003 | -$1,815 | -$1,268 | 5/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$45 | -$228 | -$597 | -$576 | -$1,265 | -$1,737 | -$1,472 | 3/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$45 | -$78 | -$222 | -$201 | -$1,002 | -$1,287 | -$1,659 | 4/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$25 | -$110 | -$115 | -$120 | -$1,040 | -$1,740 | -$1,755 | 6/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$113 | -$570 | -$1,043 | -$1,553 | -$3,293 | -$4,868 | -$5,648 | 3/12 |