Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 62 archive drawings (2026-08-05 → 2026-09-04) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays
0 families every drawing across
62 drawings accumulates
8 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | 0.1 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0.00% | $2 | $0 | $-2 | -100.0% | $-2 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | 0.1 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0.00% | $2 | $0 | $-2 | -100.0% | $-2 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · All Candidates) | 1.0 | 62 | 64 | 0 | 0.00% | $16 | $0 | $-16 | -100.0% | $-16 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · Top 1) | 0.1 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0.00% | $2 | $0 | $-2 | -100.0% | $-2 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | 0.2 | 62 | 10 | 0 | 0.00% | $2.5 | $0 | $-2.5 | -100.0% | $-2.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 0.4 | 62 | 23 | 0 | 0.00% | $5.75 | $0 | $-5.75 | -100.0% | $-5.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 1.2 | 62 | 72 | 0 | 0.00% | $18 | $0 | $-18 | -100.0% | $-18 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 0.9 | 62 | 57 | 0 | 0.00% | $14.25 | $0 | $-14.25 | -100.0% | $-14.25 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 0.1 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0.00% | $2 | $0 | $-2 | -100.0% | $-2 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 1 | 1.25% | $20 | $37.5 | $17.5 | 87.5% | $0 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 2.3 | 62 | 144 | 0 | 0.00% | $36 | $0 | $-36 | -100.0% | $-36 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Carryover Overdue (top 10) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 2 | 2.50% | $20 | $75 | $55 | 275.0% | $0 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 2.3 | 62 | 144 | 1 | 0.69% | $36 | $37.5 | $1.5 | 4.2% | $0 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | 2.3 | 62 | 144 | 2 | 1.39% | $36 | $112.5 | $76.5 | 212.5% | $0 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 0.6 | 62 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | $10 | $0 | $-10 | -100.0% | $-10 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 15.5 | 62 | 960 | 5 | 0.52% | $240 | $187.5 | $-52.5 | -21.9% | $-52.5 |
| Consensus Panel | 0.8 | 62 | 49 | 0 | 0.00% | $12.25 | $0 | $-12.25 | -100.0% | $-12.25 |
Window summary.
4 of 23 strategies finished positive in this window.
· Highest Capital ROI: Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) (+275.0% ROI, net +$55.00)
Top Net Dollars: Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) +$76.50 · Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$55.00 · Hot Families (top 10) +$17.50
Top Net Dollars: Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) +$76.50 · Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$55.00 · Hot Families (top 10) +$17.50
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$6 | +$7 | -$45 | -$66 | -$10 | -$67 | -$51 | 4/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$2 | -$30 | -$35 | -$79 | -$75 | -$70 | -$59 | 2/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | -$3 | +$26 | -$2 | -$17 | +$27 | -$72 | -$93 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · Top 1) | -$2 | -$33 | -$4 | +$18 | -$90 | -$198 | -$252 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | -$2 | -$33 | +$35 | +$20 | -$158 | -$252 | -$284 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$2 | -$33 | +$35 | +$20 | -$158 | -$252 | -$287 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$14 | +$41 | +$322 | +$540 | +$453 | -$151 | -$352 | 9/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · All Candidates) | -$16 | -$77 | +$235 | +$387 | +$704 | -$66 | -$368 | 7/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$10 | +$23 | -$18 | -$135 | -$185 | -$463 | -$620 | 3/12 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | -$20 | -$218 | -$523 | -$570 | -$558 | -$588 | -$678 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$18 | -$91 | +$93 | -$161 | -$469 | -$874 | -$740 | 4/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | +$2 | +$344 | +$50 | -$14 | +$114 | -$480 | -$777 | 7/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$20 | +$83 | +$78 | +$293 | +$193 | -$625 | -$828 | 5/12 |
| Consensus Panel | -$12 | -$208 | -$377 | -$534 | -$686 | -$829 | -$832 | 3/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$20 | +$345 | +$115 | +$105 | +$80 | -$400 | -$865 | 6/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | +$55 | -$68 | -$223 | -$233 | -$745 | -$1,038 | -$865 | 6/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$20 | -$68 | -$73 | -$345 | -$145 | -$588 | -$1,053 | 3/12 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | -$20 | -$255 | -$485 | -$270 | -$483 | -$588 | -$1,128 | 4/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | +$18 | -$68 | -$298 | -$570 | -$745 | -$1,075 | -$1,203 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Overdue (top 10) | -$20 | -$255 | -$485 | -$758 | -$1,045 | -$1,263 | -$1,240 | 1/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | +$77 | +$381 | -$63 | -$14 | -$411 | -$1,080 | -$1,377 | 6/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$36 | -$219 | -$363 | -$351 | -$861 | -$1,680 | -$1,677 | 6/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$53 | -$323 | -$945 | -$2,715 | -$5,115 | -$6,825 | -$7,868 | 0/12 |