Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 62 archive drawings (2026-08-05 → 2026-09-04) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays
0 families every drawing across
62 drawings accumulates
8 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | 0.1 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0.00% | $2 | $0 | $-2 | -100.0% | $-2 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | 0.1 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0.00% | $2 | $0 | $-2 | -100.0% | $-2 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · All Candidates) | 1.0 | 62 | 64 | 0 | 0.00% | $16 | $0 | $-16 | -100.0% | $-16 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · Top 1) | 0.1 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0.00% | $2 | $0 | $-2 | -100.0% | $-2 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | 0.1 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0.00% | $2 | $0 | $-2 | -100.0% | $-2 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 0.2 | 62 | 14 | 0 | 0.00% | $3.5 | $0 | $-3.5 | -100.0% | $-3.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 1.2 | 62 | 73 | 0 | 0.00% | $18.25 | $0 | $-18.25 | -100.0% | $-18.25 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 1.0 | 62 | 64 | 0 | 0.00% | $16 | $0 | $-16 | -100.0% | $-16 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 0.1 | 62 | 8 | 0 | 0.00% | $2 | $0 | $-2 | -100.0% | $-2 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 1 | 1.25% | $20 | $37.5 | $17.5 | 87.5% | $0 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 2.3 | 62 | 144 | 1 | 0.69% | $36 | $75 | $39 | 108.3% | $0 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Carryover Overdue (top 10) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 1 | 1.25% | $20 | $37.5 | $17.5 | 87.5% | $0 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 2.3 | 62 | 144 | 1 | 0.69% | $36 | $75 | $39 | 108.3% | $0 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | 2.3 | 62 | 144 | 2 | 1.39% | $36 | $112.5 | $76.5 | 212.5% | $0 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 0 | 0.00% | $20 | $0 | $-20 | -100.0% | $-20 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 1.3 | 62 | 80 | 1 | 1.25% | $20 | $75 | $55 | 275.0% | $0 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 0.6 | 62 | 40 | 0 | 0.00% | $10 | $0 | $-10 | -100.0% | $-10 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 15.5 | 62 | 960 | 6 | 0.63% | $240 | $225 | $-15 | -6.3% | $-15 |
| Consensus Panel | 0.9 | 62 | 55 | 0 | 0.00% | $13.75 | $0 | $-13.75 | -100.0% | $-13.75 |
Window summary.
6 of 23 strategies finished positive in this window.
· Highest Capital ROI: Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) (+275.0% ROI, net +$55.00)
Top Net Dollars: Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) +$76.50 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$55.00 · Hot doubles (top 18) +$39.00
Top Net Dollars: Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) +$76.50 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$55.00 · Hot doubles (top 18) +$39.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carryover Overdue (top 10) | -$20 | -$68 | -$298 | -$45 | +$418 | +$688 | +$635 | 4/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | +$55 | +$345 | +$40 | -$158 | +$80 | +$463 | +$598 | 5/12 |
| Consensus Panel | -$14 | -$37 | -$226 | -$176 | +$353 | +$439 | +$321 | 5/12 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | -$20 | -$30 | -$148 | -$45 | +$418 | +$388 | +$298 | 6/12 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | -$20 | -$180 | -$260 | -$195 | +$305 | +$538 | +$260 | 4/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$20 | +$120 | -$110 | -$120 | -$595 | +$50 | +$260 | 7/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | +$77 | +$194 | +$125 | +$287 | +$452 | +$45 | +$198 | 5/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | -$2 | -$11 | -$79 | -$96 | -$127 | -$120 | +$49 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$4 | -$27 | -$87 | -$108 | -$93 | -$182 | -$17 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | -$2 | -$33 | -$3 | +$20 | -$45 | -$30 | -$27 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$2 | -$33 | -$3 | +$20 | -$45 | -$30 | -$35 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · Top 1) | -$2 | -$33 | -$79 | -$170 | -$202 | -$160 | -$177 | 0/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$20 | -$180 | -$485 | -$608 | -$370 | -$400 | -$228 | 1/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$2 | -$31 | -$75 | -$155 | -$267 | -$331 | -$360 | 0/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | +$18 | +$45 | -$73 | +$68 | -$333 | -$475 | -$415 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$16 | -$111 | -$173 | -$587 | -$945 | -$742 | -$456 | 1/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$10 | -$128 | -$205 | -$473 | -$448 | -$688 | -$583 | 0/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · All Candidates) | -$16 | +$111 | +$10 | -$214 | -$756 | -$720 | -$590 | 6/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | +$39 | +$231 | +$125 | -$239 | -$561 | -$968 | -$815 | 5/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | +$39 | +$81 | -$138 | -$426 | -$411 | -$1,080 | -$927 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$18 | -$202 | -$333 | -$594 | -$906 | -$956 | -$981 | 2/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | +$18 | +$45 | -$298 | -$533 | -$933 | -$1,225 | -$1,278 | 4/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$15 | -$398 | -$983 | -$2,078 | -$4,440 | -$6,938 | -$8,393 | 1/12 |