Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,097 archive drawings (2023-09-10 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Midday drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,097 | 1,076 | 6 | 0.56% | $269 | $225 | $-44 | -16.4% | $-160.25 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.4 | 1,097 | 3,706 | 28 | 0.76% | $926.5 | $1,125 | $198.5 | 21.4% | $-197.75 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,097 | 1,076 | 3 | 0.28% | $269 | $112.5 | $-156.5 | -58.2% | $-215.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.4 | 1,097 | 1,486 | 7 | 0.47% | $371.5 | $262.5 | $-109 | -29.3% | $-148 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.8 | 1,097 | 2,011 | 10 | 0.50% | $502.75 | $375 | $-127.75 | -25.4% | $-215.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 9.0 | 1,097 | 9,825 | 58 | 0.59% | $2,456.25 | $2,287.5 | $-168.75 | -6.9% | $-402.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 1.0 | 1,097 | 1,076 | 2 | 0.19% | $269 | $112.5 | $-156.5 | -58.2% | $-156.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 1.0 | 1,097 | 1,076 | 2 | 0.19% | $269 | $112.5 | $-156.5 | -58.2% | $-205.75 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 1.0 | 1,097 | 1,076 | 7 | 0.65% | $269 | $337.5 | $68.5 | 25.5% | $-92.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,097 | 1,076 | 2 | 0.19% | $269 | $112.5 | $-156.5 | -58.2% | $-206 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.9 | 1,097 | 3,228 | 14 | 0.43% | $807 | $750 | $-57 | -7.1% | $-151.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.8 | 1,097 | 8,608 | 44 | 0.51% | $2,152 | $2,212.5 | $60.5 | 2.8% | $-242.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.8 | 1,097 | 8,608 | 46 | 0.53% | $2,152 | $2,137.5 | $-14.5 | -0.7% | $-383 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.8 | 1,097 | 8,608 | 37 | 0.43% | $2,152 | $1,875 | $-277 | -12.9% | $-443.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.8 | 1,097 | 8,608 | 46 | 0.53% | $2,152 | $2,137.5 | $-14.5 | -0.7% | $-383 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.9 | 1,097 | 5,380 | 21 | 0.39% | $1,345 | $1,050 | $-295 | -21.9% | $-513.75 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 1.0 | 1,097 | 1,076 | 4 | 0.37% | $269 | $225 | $-44 | -16.4% | $-190.5 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.8 | 1,097 | 8,608 | 43 | 0.50% | $2,152 | $2,100 | $-52 | -2.4% | $-311.5 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,097 | 1,076 | 7 | 0.65% | $269 | $337.5 | $68.5 | 25.5% | $-83.75 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,097 | 1,076 | 5 | 0.46% | $269 | $187.5 | $-81.5 | -30.3% | $-174.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,097 | 1,076 | 0 | 0.00% | $269 | $0 | $-269 | -100.0% | $-269 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 1.0 | 1,097 | 1,076 | 0 | 0.00% | $269 | $0 | $-269 | -100.0% | $-269 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,097 | 1,076 | 0 | 0.00% | $269 | $0 | $-269 | -100.0% | $-269 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,097 | 1,076 | 0 | 0.00% | $269 | $0 | $-269 | -100.0% | $-269 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,097 | 1,076 | 0 | 0.00% | $269 | $0 | $-269 | -100.0% | $-269 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 1.0 | 1,097 | 1,076 | 0 | 0.00% | $269 | $0 | $-269 | -100.0% | $-269 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.4 | 1,097 | 3,706 | 18 | 0.49% | $926.5 | $675 | $-251.5 | -27.2% | $-464.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.8 | 1,097 | 10,760 | 59 | 0.55% | $2,690 | $2,212.5 | $-477.5 | -17.8% | $-570 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 17.7 | 1,097 | 19,368 | 60 | 0.31% | $4,842 | $4,500 | $-342 | -7.1% | $-579 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 9.8 | 1,097 | 10,760 | 17 | 0.16% | $2,690 | $3,825 | $1,135 | 42.2% | $-540 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.8 | 1,097 | 10,760 | 63 | 0.59% | $2,690 | $2,475 | $-215 | -8.0% | $-550 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 17.7 | 1,097 | 19,368 | 73 | 0.38% | $4,842 | $4,912.5 | $70.5 | 1.5% | $-576 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.8 | 1,097 | 10,760 | 45 | 0.42% | $2,690 | $3,750 | $1,060 | 39.4% | $-310 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.8 | 1,097 | 10,760 | 44 | 0.41% | $2,690 | $3,112.5 | $422.5 | 15.7% | $-257.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.9 | 1,097 | 5,380 | 36 | 0.67% | $1,345 | $1,350 | $5 | 0.4% | $-178.75 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 117.7 | 1,097 | 129,120 | 121 | 0.09% | $32,280 | $4,537.5 | $-27,742.5 | -85.9% | $-27,742.5 |
Top Net Dollars: Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$1135.00 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$1060.00 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$422.50
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | +$13 | -$143 | +$155 | +$563 | +$550 | +$1,060 | +$1,283 | 5/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$25 | +$270 | +$268 | +$488 | +$25 | +$1,135 | +$908 | 4/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$25 | -$105 | -$108 | -$75 | -$163 | +$423 | +$495 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$8 | -$54 | -$122 | -$109 | -$83 | -$57 | +$182 | 3/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | +$26 | +$85 | +$69 | +$98 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | +$20 | +$72 | +$26 | -$65 | -$44 | +$64 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$9 | +$51 | +$47 | +$191 | +$364 | +$199 | +$45 | 7/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | -$18 | -$3 | +$26 | +$10 | +$69 | +$23 | 2/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$45 | -$212 | -$284 | +$60 | -$345 | +$71 | +$6 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$49 | -$65 | -$157 | -$20 | 1/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$13 | -$15 | -$54 | -$94 | -$138 | +$5 | -$71 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | +$20 | -$3 | -$49 | -$103 | -$44 | -$89 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | +$34 | +$26 | -$65 | -$82 | -$89 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | +$26 | -$65 | -$157 | -$97 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$157 | -$98 | 0/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$25 | -$19 | -$82 | -$95 | -$109 | -$115 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$5 | -$34 | -$39 | -$86 | -$144 | -$128 | -$150 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | +$34 | -$11 | -$65 | -$157 | -$164 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$20 | -$107 | -$176 | -$90 | -$183 | +$61 | -$264 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$20 | -$69 | -$176 | -$128 | -$333 | -$15 | -$264 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$20 | -$69 | -$176 | -$128 | -$333 | -$15 | -$264 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$23 | -$14 | -$110 | -$263 | -$233 | -$169 | -$285 | 4/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$20 | +$6 | -$176 | -$203 | -$145 | -$52 | -$302 | 5/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$25 | -$30 | -$33 | -$150 | -$350 | -$215 | -$330 | 2/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | +$30 | -$99 | -$209 | -$278 | -$45 | -$342 | -$332 | 6/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$9 | +$13 | +$85 | +$116 | -$11 | -$252 | -$333 | 7/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | +$55 | +$44 | -$101 | +$23 | -$108 | -$277 | -$452 | 6/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$13 | -$90 | -$204 | -$169 | -$475 | -$295 | -$484 | 2/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$25 | -$105 | -$220 | -$450 | -$463 | -$478 | -$630 | 1/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$150 | -$323 | -$578 | -$5,813 | -$16,763 | -$27,743 | -$3,848 | 0/12 |