Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,348 archive drawings (2023-01-01 → 2026-09-09) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Midday drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 1,348 drawings accumulates 1,258 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 1,348 1,258 6 0.48% $314.5 $225 $-89.5 -28.5% $-160.25
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 3.2 1,348 4,333 28 0.65% $1,083.25 $1,125 $41.75 3.9% $-355.25
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 0.9 1,348 1,258 4 0.32% $314.5 $150 $-164.5 -52.3% $-215.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.3 1,348 1,736 8 0.46% $434 $300 $-134 -30.9% $-147.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.7 1,348 2,351 11 0.47% $587.75 $412.5 $-175.25 -29.8% $-215.25
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.5 1,348 11,487 65 0.57% $2,871.75 $2,587.5 $-284.25 -9.9% $-400.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 0.9 1,348 1,258 3 0.24% $314.5 $150 $-164.5 -52.3% $-164.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 0.9 1,348 1,258 2 0.16% $314.5 $112.5 $-202 -64.2% $-251.5
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 0.9 1,348 1,258 7 0.56% $314.5 $337.5 $23 7.3% $-92.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 1,348 1,258 3 0.24% $314.5 $150 $-164.5 -52.3% $-214.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.8 1,348 3,774 19 0.50% $943.5 $1,012.5 $69 7.3% $-177
Cici's Rules Engine 7.5 1,348 10,064 45 0.45% $2,516 $2,250 $-266 -10.6% $-338
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.5 1,348 10,064 49 0.49% $2,516 $2,250 $-266 -10.6% $-381
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.5 1,348 10,064 42 0.42% $2,516 $2,062.5 $-453.5 -18.0% $-556.5
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.5 1,348 10,064 49 0.49% $2,516 $2,250 $-266 -10.6% $-381
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.7 1,348 6,290 22 0.35% $1,572.5 $1,087.5 $-485 -30.8% $-512.5
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 0.9 1,348 1,258 6 0.48% $314.5 $375 $60.5 19.2% $-190.5
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.5 1,348 10,064 46 0.46% $2,516 $2,212.5 $-303.5 -12.1% $-379.5
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 0.9 1,348 1,258 8 0.64% $314.5 $412.5 $98 31.2% $-83.75
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 0.9 1,348 1,258 6 0.48% $314.5 $225 $-89.5 -28.5% $-174.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.9 1,348 1,258 0 0.00% $314.5 $0 $-314.5 -100.0% $-314.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.9 1,348 1,258 0 0.00% $314.5 $0 $-314.5 -100.0% $-314.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.9 1,348 1,258 0 0.00% $314.5 $0 $-314.5 -100.0% $-314.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.9 1,348 1,258 0 0.00% $314.5 $0 $-314.5 -100.0% $-314.5
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 0.9 1,348 1,258 0 0.00% $314.5 $0 $-314.5 -100.0% $-314.5
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 0.9 1,348 1,258 0 0.00% $314.5 $0 $-314.5 -100.0% $-314.5
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 3.2 1,348 4,333 20 0.46% $1,083.25 $787.5 $-295.75 -27.3% $-547
Hot Families (top 10) 9.3 1,348 12,580 67 0.53% $3,145 $2,512.5 $-632.5 -20.1% $-632.5
Hot doubles (top 18) 16.8 1,348 22,644 71 0.31% $5,661 $5,325 $-336 -5.9% $-885
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.3 1,348 12,580 18 0.14% $3,145 $4,050 $905 28.8% $-540
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.3 1,348 12,580 69 0.55% $3,145 $2,700 $-445 -14.1% $-550
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 16.8 1,348 22,644 87 0.38% $5,661 $5,662.5 $1.5 0.0% $-571.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.3 1,348 12,580 55 0.44% $3,145 $4,425 $1,280 40.7% $-347.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.3 1,348 12,580 52 0.41% $3,145 $3,637.5 $492.5 15.7% $-255
Calendar Year Top-5 4.7 1,348 6,290 40 0.64% $1,572.5 $1,500 $-72.5 -4.6% $-177.5
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 112.0 1,348 150,960 121 0.08% $37,740 $4,537.5 $-33,202.5 -88.0% $-33,202.5
Window summary. 9 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) (+40.7% ROI, net +$1280.00)
Top Net Dollars: Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$1280.00 · Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$905.00 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$492.50

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$15 -$140 +$158 +$565 +$553 +$1,063 +$1,280 5/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$23 +$273 +$270 +$490 +$28 +$1,138 +$905 4/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) -$23 -$103 -$105 -$73 -$160 +$425 +$493 3/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$2 -$18 -$41 +$27 +$85 +$69 +$98 3/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$7 -$53 -$122 +$42 +$68 +$94 +$69 3/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$2 +$20 +$72 +$27 -$65 -$44 +$64 2/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$8 +$51 +$48 +$191 +$365 +$199 +$44 7/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$2 -$18 -$3 +$27 +$10 +$69 +$23 2/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) -$41 -$207 -$279 +$65 -$341 +$75 +$2 4/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$2 -$18 -$41 -$49 -$65 -$156 -$20 1/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$11 -$14 -$53 -$93 -$136 +$6 -$73 4/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$2 +$20 -$3 -$49 -$102 -$44 -$90 1/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$2 -$18 +$35 +$27 -$65 -$81 -$90 3/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$2 -$18 -$41 +$27 -$65 -$156 -$97 2/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$2 -$18 -$41 -$86 -$177 -$156 -$98 0/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$3 -$25 -$18 -$81 -$95 -$109 -$116 1/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$4 -$33 -$38 -$86 -$144 -$127 -$150 2/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$2 -$18 +$35 -$11 -$65 -$156 -$165 1/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$18 -$105 -$174 -$88 -$181 +$63 -$266 5/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$18 -$67 -$174 -$126 -$331 -$13 -$266 5/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$18 -$67 -$174 -$126 -$331 -$13 -$266 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$21 -$12 -$107 -$260 -$231 -$167 -$287 4/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) +$30 +$51 +$123 +$154 +$27 -$213 -$296 8/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$18 +$8 -$174 -$201 -$143 -$50 -$304 5/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) -$2 -$18 -$41 -$86 -$177 -$269 -$315 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) -$2 -$18 -$41 -$86 -$177 -$269 -$315 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$2 -$18 -$41 -$86 -$177 -$269 -$315 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$2 -$18 -$41 -$86 -$177 -$269 -$315 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) -$2 -$18 -$41 -$86 -$177 -$269 -$315 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) -$2 -$18 -$41 -$86 -$177 -$269 -$315 0/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$23 -$28 -$30 -$148 -$348 -$213 -$333 2/12
Hot doubles (top 18) +$35 -$95 -$204 -$273 -$41 -$338 -$336 6/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine +$57 +$46 -$99 +$25 -$106 -$275 -$454 6/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$11 -$89 -$203 -$168 -$474 -$294 -$485 2/12
Hot Families (top 10) -$23 -$103 -$218 -$448 -$460 -$475 -$633 1/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$83 -$255 -$510 -$5,783 -$16,733 -$27,713 -$3,840 0/12