Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 183 archive drawings (2026-03-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ⚡ High-Frequency Recent Form: 6 Months [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.1 | 183 | 561 | 2 | 0.36% | $140.25 | $75 | $-65.25 | -46.5% | $-65.25 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.2 | 183 | 225 | 2 | 0.89% | $56.25 | $75 | $18.75 | 33.3% | $-25 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.7 | 183 | 305 | 2 | 0.66% | $76.25 | $75 | $-1.25 | -1.6% | $-33.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.1 | 183 | 1,488 | 4 | 0.27% | $372 | $150 | $-222 | -59.7% | $-236.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 2 | 1.23% | $40.75 | $75 | $34.25 | 84.0% | $-15.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 1 | 0.61% | $40.75 | $37.5 | $-3.25 | -8.0% | $-22.75 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 1 | 0.61% | $40.75 | $37.5 | $-3.25 | -8.0% | $-22.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 1 | 0.61% | $40.75 | $37.5 | $-3.25 | -8.0% | $-30.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.7 | 183 | 489 | 3 | 0.61% | $122.25 | $187.5 | $65.25 | 53.4% | $-45.75 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.1 | 183 | 1,304 | 5 | 0.38% | $326 | $262.5 | $-63.5 | -19.5% | $-146.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.1 | 183 | 1,304 | 4 | 0.31% | $326 | $187.5 | $-138.5 | -42.5% | $-144.5 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.1 | 183 | 1,304 | 7 | 0.54% | $326 | $412.5 | $86.5 | 26.5% | $-84.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.1 | 183 | 1,304 | 4 | 0.31% | $326 | $187.5 | $-138.5 | -42.5% | $-144.5 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.5 | 183 | 815 | 4 | 0.49% | $203.75 | $187.5 | $-16.25 | -8.0% | $-77.5 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.1 | 183 | 1,304 | 7 | 0.54% | $326 | $262.5 | $-63.5 | -19.5% | $-82 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.1 | 183 | 561 | 3 | 0.53% | $140.25 | $112.5 | $-27.75 | -19.8% | $-78.25 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 8.9 | 183 | 1,630 | 10 | 0.61% | $407.5 | $375 | $-32.5 | -8.0% | $-107.5 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 16.0 | 183 | 2,934 | 10 | 0.34% | $733.5 | $750 | $16.5 | 2.3% | $-129 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 8.9 | 183 | 1,630 | 2 | 0.12% | $407.5 | $450 | $42.5 | 10.4% | $-230 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 8.9 | 183 | 1,630 | 15 | 0.92% | $407.5 | $562.5 | $155 | 38.0% | $0 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 16.0 | 183 | 2,934 | 13 | 0.44% | $733.5 | $900 | $166.5 | 22.7% | $-141 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 8.9 | 183 | 1,630 | 4 | 0.25% | $407.5 | $187.5 | $-220 | -54.0% | $-270 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 8.9 | 183 | 1,630 | 10 | 0.61% | $407.5 | $750 | $342.5 | 84.0% | $-80 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.5 | 183 | 815 | 7 | 0.86% | $203.75 | $262.5 | $58.75 | 28.8% | $-13.75 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 106.9 | 183 | 19,560 | 121 | 0.62% | $4,890 | $4,537.5 | $-352.5 | -7.2% | $-360 |
Top Net Dollars: Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$342.50 · Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$166.50 · Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$155.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$8 | +$59 | +$65 | +$4 | -$83 | +$506 | +$632 | 4/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | +$125 | +$45 | +$343 | +$300 | +$288 | +$348 | +$533 | 5/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | +$139 | +$160 | +$294 | +$323 | 2/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$13 | +$23 | +$59 | +$131 | +$163 | +$118 | +$266 | 5/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$25 | +$45 | +$43 | -$188 | +$25 | +$685 | +$233 | 3/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | +$105 | -$24 | +$167 | -$165 | +$105 | -$42 | +$156 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | +$13 | +$83 | +$155 | +$263 | +$288 | +$85 | +$120 | 9/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$25 | -$68 | -$33 | -$75 | -$125 | -$140 | +$83 | 2/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$103 | -$7 | +$61 | 0/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$28 | +$69 | +$27 | 0/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$25 | +$19 | -$44 | +$92 | +$41 | -$7 | 2/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | +$20 | -$3 | -$11 | -$65 | -$44 | -$14 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | +$20 | -$3 | +$26 | +$10 | +$31 | -$14 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | +$20 | +$34 | +$64 | -$28 | -$119 | -$20 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$49 | -$103 | -$119 | -$52 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | +$20 | -$3 | +$26 | -$28 | -$119 | -$55 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$49 | -$65 | -$82 | -$60 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$5 | -$34 | -$1 | -$86 | +$6 | -$90 | -$113 | 2/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | +$50 | -$68 | -$220 | -$488 | -$275 | -$140 | -$143 | 2/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$9 | +$51 | -$28 | +$228 | +$64 | -$64 | -$143 | 6/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$20 | +$6 | -$64 | -$128 | -$220 | -$315 | -$227 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$9 | -$25 | -$65 | +$41 | -$124 | -$252 | -$293 | 5/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$13 | +$60 | -$16 | -$131 | -$363 | -$333 | -$409 | 2/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$20 | +$6 | -$64 | -$90 | -$370 | -$540 | -$564 | 4/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$20 | +$44 | +$87 | -$90 | -$370 | -$352 | -$564 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | +$15 | -$52 | -$222 | -$375 | -$571 | -$806 | -$733 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$20 | +$6 | -$139 | -$278 | -$670 | -$615 | -$902 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$20 | +$6 | -$139 | -$278 | -$670 | -$615 | -$902 | 3/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | +$105 | -$24 | +$17 | -$203 | -$645 | -$867 | -$1,007 | 6/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$75 | -$98 | -$353 | -$5,513 | -$16,463 | -$27,443 | -$4,148 | 1/12 |