Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 183 archive drawings (2026-03-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ⚡ High-Frequency Recent Form: 6 Months [Filtering only Midday drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 1 | 0.61% | $40.75 | $37.5 | $-3.25 | -8.0% | $-22.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.1 | 183 | 561 | 5 | 0.89% | $140.25 | $187.5 | $47.25 | 33.7% | $-52.5 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.2 | 183 | 225 | 1 | 0.44% | $56.25 | $37.5 | $-18.75 | -33.3% | $-46 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.7 | 183 | 305 | 1 | 0.33% | $76.25 | $37.5 | $-38.75 | -50.8% | $-62.25 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 8.1 | 183 | 1,488 | 7 | 0.47% | $372 | $262.5 | $-109.5 | -29.4% | $-109.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 1 | 0.61% | $40.75 | $37.5 | $-3.25 | -8.0% | $-25.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 1 | 0.61% | $40.75 | $75 | $34.25 | 84.0% | $-18 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.7 | 183 | 489 | 0 | 0.00% | $122.25 | $0 | $-122.25 | -100.0% | $-122.25 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.1 | 183 | 1,304 | 3 | 0.23% | $326 | $150 | $-176 | -54.0% | $-176 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 7.1 | 183 | 1,304 | 2 | 0.15% | $326 | $150 | $-176 | -54.0% | $-176 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.1 | 183 | 1,304 | 4 | 0.31% | $326 | $225 | $-101 | -31.0% | $-169 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.1 | 183 | 1,304 | 2 | 0.15% | $326 | $150 | $-176 | -54.0% | $-176 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.5 | 183 | 815 | 0 | 0.00% | $203.75 | $0 | $-203.75 | -100.0% | $-203.75 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 2 | 1.23% | $40.75 | $112.5 | $71.75 | 176.1% | $-10.25 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.1 | 183 | 1,304 | 3 | 0.23% | $326 | $150 | $-176 | -54.0% | $-182 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 2 | 1.23% | $40.75 | $75 | $34.25 | 84.0% | $-18 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 163 | 0 | 0.00% | $40.75 | $0 | $-40.75 | -100.0% | $-40.75 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.1 | 183 | 561 | 6 | 1.07% | $140.25 | $225 | $84.75 | 60.4% | $-26.75 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 8.9 | 183 | 1,630 | 5 | 0.31% | $407.5 | $187.5 | $-220 | -54.0% | $-220 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 16.0 | 183 | 2,934 | 7 | 0.24% | $733.5 | $525 | $-208.5 | -28.4% | $-339 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 8.9 | 183 | 1,630 | 3 | 0.18% | $407.5 | $675 | $267.5 | 65.6% | $-102.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 8.9 | 183 | 1,630 | 9 | 0.55% | $407.5 | $375 | $-32.5 | -8.0% | $-37.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 16.0 | 183 | 2,934 | 8 | 0.27% | $733.5 | $450 | $-283.5 | -38.6% | $-373.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 8.9 | 183 | 1,630 | 7 | 0.43% | $407.5 | $562.5 | $155 | 38.0% | $-155 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 8.9 | 183 | 1,630 | 5 | 0.31% | $407.5 | $300 | $-107.5 | -26.4% | $-257.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.5 | 183 | 815 | 4 | 0.49% | $203.75 | $150 | $-53.75 | -26.4% | $-91.25 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 106.9 | 183 | 19,560 | 115 | 0.59% | $4,890 | $4,312.5 | $-577.5 | -11.8% | $-577.5 |
Top Net Dollars: Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$267.50 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$155.00 · Followed-By (empirical top 5) +$84.75
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | +$13 | -$143 | +$155 | +$563 | +$550 | +$1,060 | +$1,283 | 5/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$25 | +$270 | +$268 | +$488 | +$25 | +$1,135 | +$908 | 4/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$25 | -$105 | -$108 | -$75 | -$163 | +$423 | +$495 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$8 | -$54 | -$122 | -$109 | -$83 | -$57 | +$182 | 3/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | +$26 | +$85 | +$69 | +$98 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | +$20 | +$72 | +$26 | -$65 | -$44 | +$64 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$9 | +$51 | +$47 | +$191 | +$364 | +$199 | +$45 | 7/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | -$18 | -$3 | +$26 | +$10 | +$69 | +$23 | 2/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$45 | -$212 | -$284 | +$60 | -$345 | +$71 | +$6 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$49 | -$65 | -$157 | -$20 | 1/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$13 | -$15 | -$54 | -$94 | -$138 | +$5 | -$71 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | +$20 | -$3 | -$49 | -$103 | -$44 | -$89 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | +$34 | +$26 | -$65 | -$82 | -$89 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | +$26 | -$65 | -$157 | -$97 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$157 | -$98 | 0/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$25 | -$19 | -$82 | -$95 | -$109 | -$115 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$5 | -$34 | -$39 | -$86 | -$144 | -$128 | -$150 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | +$34 | -$11 | -$65 | -$157 | -$164 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$20 | -$107 | -$176 | -$90 | -$183 | +$61 | -$264 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$20 | -$69 | -$176 | -$128 | -$333 | -$15 | -$264 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$20 | -$69 | -$176 | -$128 | -$333 | -$15 | -$264 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$23 | -$14 | -$110 | -$263 | -$233 | -$169 | -$285 | 4/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$20 | +$6 | -$176 | -$203 | -$145 | -$52 | -$302 | 5/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$25 | -$30 | -$33 | -$150 | -$350 | -$215 | -$330 | 2/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | +$30 | -$99 | -$209 | -$278 | -$45 | -$342 | -$332 | 6/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$9 | +$13 | +$85 | +$116 | -$11 | -$252 | -$333 | 7/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | +$55 | +$44 | -$101 | +$23 | -$108 | -$277 | -$452 | 6/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$13 | -$90 | -$204 | -$169 | -$475 | -$295 | -$484 | 2/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$25 | -$105 | -$220 | -$450 | -$463 | -$478 | -$630 | 1/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$150 | -$323 | -$578 | -$5,813 | -$16,763 | -$27,743 | -$3,848 | 0/12 |