Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,349 archive drawings (2023-04-01 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year All-Time Baseline [Filtering only Midday drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 6 | 0.48% | $314.25 | $225 | $-89.25 | -28.4% | $-160.25 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 3.4 | 1,257 | 4,321 | 28 | 0.65% | $1,080.25 | $1,125 | $44.75 | 4.1% | $-355.25 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 991 | 991 | 4 | 0.40% | $247.75 | $150 | $-97.75 | -39.5% | $-215.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.4 | 1,212 | 1,661 | 8 | 0.48% | $415.25 | $300 | $-115.25 | -27.8% | $-148 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.9 | 1,212 | 2,250 | 11 | 0.49% | $562.5 | $412.5 | $-150 | -26.7% | $-215.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 9.1 | 1,257 | 11,489 | 65 | 0.57% | $2,872.25 | $2,587.5 | $-284.75 | -9.9% | $-402.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | 1.0 | 680 | 680 | 3 | 0.44% | $170 | $150 | $-20 | -11.8% | $-164.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | 1.0 | 838 | 838 | 2 | 0.24% | $209.5 | $112.5 | $-97 | -46.3% | $-251.5 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 7 | 0.56% | $314.25 | $337.5 | $23.25 | 7.4% | $-92.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 3 | 0.24% | $314.25 | $150 | $-164.25 | -52.3% | $-214.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 3.0 | 1,257 | 3,771 | 21 | 0.56% | $942.75 | $1,125 | $182.25 | 19.3% | $-151.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 45 | 0.45% | $2,514 | $2,250 | $-264 | -10.5% | $-338 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 49 | 0.49% | $2,514 | $2,250 | $-264 | -10.5% | $-383 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 42 | 0.42% | $2,514 | $2,062.5 | $-451.5 | -18.0% | $-556.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 49 | 0.49% | $2,514 | $2,250 | $-264 | -10.5% | $-383 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 5.0 | 1,257 | 6,285 | 22 | 0.35% | $1,571.25 | $1,087.5 | $-483.75 | -30.8% | $-513.75 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 1.0 | 1,244 | 1,244 | 6 | 0.48% | $311 | $375 | $64 | 20.6% | $-190.5 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 8.0 | 1,257 | 10,056 | 46 | 0.46% | $2,514 | $2,212.5 | $-301.5 | -12.0% | $-379.5 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 8 | 0.64% | $314.25 | $412.5 | $98.25 | 31.3% | $-83.75 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 1.0 | 1,257 | 1,257 | 6 | 0.48% | $314.25 | $225 | $-89.25 | -28.4% | $-174.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.75 | $0 | $-314.75 | -100.0% | $-314.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.75 | $0 | $-314.75 | -100.0% | $-314.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.75 | $0 | $-314.75 | -100.0% | $-314.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.75 | $0 | $-314.75 | -100.0% | $-314.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.75 | $0 | $-314.75 | -100.0% | $-314.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 1,349 | 1,259 | 0 | 0.00% | $314.75 | $0 | $-314.75 | -100.0% | $-314.75 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 3.4 | 1,257 | 4,330 | 19 | 0.44% | $1,082.5 | $750 | $-332.5 | -30.7% | $-547 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 67 | 0.53% | $3,142.5 | $2,512.5 | $-630 | -20.1% | $-635 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 1,257 | 22,626 | 71 | 0.31% | $5,656.5 | $5,325 | $-331.5 | -5.9% | $-885 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 18 | 0.14% | $3,142.5 | $4,050 | $907.5 | 28.9% | $-540 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 10.0 | 1,212 | 12,120 | 69 | 0.57% | $3,030 | $2,700 | $-330 | -10.9% | $-550 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 1,257 | 22,626 | 87 | 0.38% | $5,656.5 | $5,662.5 | $6 | 0.1% | $-576 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 55 | 0.44% | $3,142.5 | $4,425 | $1,282.5 | 40.8% | $-347.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 10.0 | 1,257 | 12,570 | 52 | 0.41% | $3,142.5 | $3,637.5 | $495 | 15.8% | $-257.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 5.0 | 1,257 | 6,285 | 40 | 0.64% | $1,571.25 | $1,500 | $-71.25 | -4.5% | $-178.75 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 1,257 | 150,840 | 903 | 0.60% | $37,710 | $33,862.5 | $-3,847.5 | -10.2% | $-33,232.5 |
Top Net Dollars: Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$1282.50 · Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$907.50 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$495.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | +$13 | -$143 | +$155 | +$563 | +$550 | +$1,060 | +$1,283 | 5/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$25 | +$270 | +$268 | +$488 | +$25 | +$1,135 | +$908 | 4/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$25 | -$105 | -$108 | -$75 | -$163 | +$423 | +$495 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$8 | -$54 | -$122 | -$109 | -$83 | -$57 | +$182 | 3/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | +$26 | +$85 | +$69 | +$98 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | +$20 | +$72 | +$26 | -$65 | -$44 | +$64 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$9 | +$51 | +$47 | +$191 | +$364 | +$199 | +$45 | 7/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) | -$3 | -$18 | -$3 | +$26 | +$10 | +$69 | +$23 | 2/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$45 | -$212 | -$284 | +$60 | -$345 | +$71 | +$6 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$49 | -$65 | -$157 | -$20 | 1/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$13 | -$15 | -$54 | -$94 | -$138 | +$5 | -$71 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | +$20 | -$3 | -$49 | -$103 | -$44 | -$89 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | +$34 | +$26 | -$65 | -$82 | -$89 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | +$26 | -$65 | -$157 | -$97 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$157 | -$98 | 0/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$25 | -$19 | -$82 | -$95 | -$109 | -$115 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$5 | -$34 | -$39 | -$86 | -$144 | -$128 | -$150 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$18 | +$34 | -$11 | -$65 | -$157 | -$164 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$20 | -$107 | -$176 | -$90 | -$183 | +$61 | -$264 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) | -$20 | -$69 | -$176 | -$128 | -$333 | -$15 | -$264 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$20 | -$69 | -$176 | -$128 | -$333 | -$15 | -$264 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$23 | -$14 | -$110 | -$263 | -$233 | -$169 | -$285 | 4/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$20 | +$6 | -$176 | -$203 | -$145 | -$52 | -$302 | 5/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) | -$3 | -$18 | -$41 | -$86 | -$178 | -$269 | -$315 | 0/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$25 | -$30 | -$33 | -$150 | -$350 | -$215 | -$330 | 2/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | +$30 | -$99 | -$209 | -$278 | -$45 | -$342 | -$332 | 6/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$9 | +$13 | +$85 | +$116 | -$11 | -$252 | -$333 | 7/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | +$55 | +$44 | -$101 | +$23 | -$108 | -$277 | -$452 | 6/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$13 | -$90 | -$204 | -$169 | -$475 | -$295 | -$484 | 2/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$25 | -$105 | -$220 | -$450 | -$463 | -$478 | -$630 | 1/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$150 | -$323 | -$578 | -$5,813 | -$16,763 | -$27,743 | -$3,848 | 0/12 |