Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 27 archive drawings (2026-08-06 → 2026-09-05) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Morning drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 0 families every drawing across 27 drawings accumulates 5 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.2 27 5 0 0.00% $1.25 $0 $-1.25 -100.0% $-1.25
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 0.8 27 21 0 0.00% $5.25 $0 $-5.25 -100.0% $-5.25
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 0.2 27 5 0 0.00% $1.25 $0 $-1.25 -100.0% $-1.25
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 0.3 27 7 0 0.00% $1.75 $0 $-1.75 -100.0% $-1.75
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 0.3 27 9 0 0.00% $2.25 $0 $-2.25 -100.0% $-2.25
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.7 27 45 0 0.00% $11.25 $0 $-11.25 -100.0% $-11.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.2 27 5 0 0.00% $1.25 $0 $-1.25 -100.0% $-1.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 0.6 27 15 0 0.00% $3.75 $0 $-3.75 -100.0% $-3.75
Cici's Rules Engine 1.5 27 40 0 0.00% $10 $0 $-10 -100.0% $-10
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 1.5 27 40 0 0.00% $10 $0 $-10 -100.0% $-10
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 1.5 27 40 0 0.00% $10 $0 $-10 -100.0% $-10
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 0.9 27 25 0 0.00% $6.25 $0 $-6.25 -100.0% $-6.25
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 0.2 27 5 0 0.00% $1.25 $0 $-1.25 -100.0% $-1.25
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 1.5 27 40 0 0.00% $10 $0 $-10 -100.0% $-10
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 0.2 27 5 0 0.00% $1.25 $0 $-1.25 -100.0% $-1.25
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 0.2 27 5 0 0.00% $1.25 $0 $-1.25 -100.0% $-1.25
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.2 27 5 0 0.00% $1.25 $0 $-1.25 -100.0% $-1.25
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.2 27 5 0 0.00% $1.25 $0 $-1.25 -100.0% $-1.25
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 0.8 27 21 0 0.00% $5.25 $0 $-5.25 -100.0% $-5.25
Hot Families (top 10) 1.9 27 50 0 0.00% $12.5 $0 $-12.5 -100.0% $-12.5
Hot doubles (top 18) 3.3 27 90 0 0.00% $22.5 $0 $-22.5 -100.0% $-22.5
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 1.9 27 50 0 0.00% $12.5 $0 $-12.5 -100.0% $-12.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 1.9 27 50 0 0.00% $12.5 $0 $-12.5 -100.0% $-12.5
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 3.3 27 90 0 0.00% $22.5 $0 $-22.5 -100.0% $-22.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 1.9 27 50 0 0.00% $12.5 $0 $-12.5 -100.0% $-12.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 1.9 27 50 0 0.00% $12.5 $0 $-12.5 -100.0% $-12.5
Calendar Year Top-5 0.9 27 25 0 0.00% $6.25 $0 $-6.25 -100.0% $-6.25
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 22.2 27 600 4 0.67% $150 $150 $0 0.0% $0
Window summary. 0 of 28 strategies finished positive in this window.
Top Net Dollars: Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes +$0.00 · Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$1.25 · Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$1.25

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$10 -$79 -$47 -$97 +$103 +$2 +$374 3/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$11 -$93 -$42 -$17 +$32 +$43 +$221 4/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$2 +$18 -$10 -$26 +$54 +$59 +$110 2/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$1 -$15 -$34 +$40 -$1 +$108 +$98 3/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$1 -$15 +$4 +$40 +$111 +$108 +$98 2/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$6 +$78 -$20 -$215 -$6 -$60 +$79 2/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$2 +$48 +$12 +$53 +$58 +$26 +$64 4/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$1 +$61 +$41 +$77 +$149 +$108 +$61 3/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$1 -$15 -$34 -$73 -$114 +$33 +$23 0/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$5 +$15 +$9 +$33 +$120 +$94 +$8 7/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$1 -$15 -$34 +$77 -$1 -$42 -$12 3/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$1 -$15 -$34 -$73 -$114 -$117 -$28 0/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$4 -$44 -$27 -$144 +$34 +$24 -$43 1/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$5 +$15 +$84 -$3 +$198 +$61 -$56 6/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$13 +$80 -$115 -$280 -$163 -$270 -$68 2/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$10 -$4 -$160 -$397 -$198 -$299 -$77 2/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$10 +$34 -$85 -$322 -$123 -$336 -$77 3/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) -$13 +$43 -$115 -$130 -$50 +$30 -$180 4/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$6 +$40 -$20 -$140 -$81 -$173 -$184 5/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$13 -$33 -$115 -$168 -$275 -$233 -$198 5/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$10 -$4 -$85 -$322 -$423 -$299 -$227 1/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) -$1 -$15 -$34 -$73 -$151 -$230 -$282 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) -$1 -$15 -$34 -$73 -$151 -$230 -$282 0/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) -$13 +$43 -$78 -$280 -$388 -$345 -$443 4/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$23 -$36 -$12 +$36 -$248 -$381 -$557 6/12
Hot Families (top 10) -$13 +$80 +$35 -$130 -$238 -$570 -$593 4/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) -$23 +$2 -$125 -$414 -$360 -$944 -$1,232 3/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes +$0 -$53 -$1,643 -$6,323 -$15,713 -$25,103 -$2,010 1/12