Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,153 archive drawings (2023-02-23 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year All-Time Baseline [Filtering only Day drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 1,153 drawings accumulates 1,108 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 1,108 1,108 6 0.54% $277 $262.5 $-14.5 -5.2% $-149.75
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 4.2 1,108 4,605 26 0.56% $1,151.25 $1,012.5 $-138.75 -12.0% $-250
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 1.0 853 853 6 0.70% $213.25 $225 $11.75 5.5% $-117.75
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.4 1,085 1,498 6 0.40% $374.5 $225 $-149.5 -39.9% $-162.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.8 1,085 1,973 9 0.46% $493.25 $337.5 $-155.75 -31.6% $-213.25
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 9.0 1,108 9,933 55 0.55% $2,483.25 $2,175 $-308.25 -12.4% $-584.75
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 1.0 546 546 2 0.37% $136.5 $112.5 $-24 -17.6% $-169.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 1.0 715 715 4 0.56% $178.75 $262.5 $83.75 46.9% $-124.25
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 1.0 1,108 1,108 3 0.27% $277 $150 $-127 -45.9% $-194
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 1.0 1,108 1,108 4 0.36% $277 $225 $-52 -18.8% $-137
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 3.0 1,108 3,324 8 0.24% $831 $412.5 $-418.5 -50.4% $-432.75
Cici's Rules Engine 8.0 1,108 8,864 43 0.49% $2,216 $2,287.5 $71.5 3.2% $-409
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 8.0 1,108 8,864 38 0.43% $2,216 $1,987.5 $-228.5 -10.3% $-443.5
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 8.0 1,108 8,864 38 0.43% $2,216 $1,950 $-266 -12.0% $-345.5
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 8.0 1,108 8,864 38 0.43% $2,216 $1,987.5 $-228.5 -10.3% $-443.5
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 5.0 1,108 5,540 25 0.45% $1,385 $1,200 $-185 -13.4% $-397.5
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 1.0 1,091 1,091 6 0.55% $272.75 $300 $27.25 10.0% $-99.5
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 8.0 1,108 8,864 41 0.46% $2,216 $2,212.5 $-3.5 -0.2% $-259.5
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 1.0 1,108 1,108 3 0.27% $277 $187.5 $-89.5 -32.3% $-123.75
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 1.0 1,108 1,108 1 0.09% $277 $75 $-202 -72.9% $-206.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 1.0 1,153 1,127 0 0.00% $281.75 $0 $-281.75 -100.0% $-281.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 1.0 1,153 1,127 0 0.00% $281.75 $0 $-281.75 -100.0% $-281.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 1,153 1,127 0 0.00% $281.75 $0 $-281.75 -100.0% $-281.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 1,153 1,127 0 0.00% $281.75 $0 $-281.75 -100.0% $-281.75
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 1.0 1,153 1,127 0 0.00% $281.75 $0 $-281.75 -100.0% $-281.75
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 1.0 1,153 1,127 0 0.00% $281.75 $0 $-281.75 -100.0% $-281.75
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 4.1 1,108 4,574 17 0.37% $1,143.5 $675 $-468.5 -41.0% $-623.75
Hot Families (top 10) 10.0 1,108 11,080 66 0.60% $2,770 $2,475 $-295 -10.7% $-527.5
Hot doubles (top 18) 18.0 1,108 19,944 68 0.34% $4,986 $5,100 $114 2.3% $-564
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 10.0 1,108 11,080 13 0.12% $2,770 $2,925 $155 5.6% $-635
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 10.0 1,085 10,850 73 0.67% $2,712.5 $2,775 $62.5 2.3% $-442.5
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 18.0 1,108 19,944 72 0.36% $4,986 $4,612.5 $-373.5 -7.5% $-1,372.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 10.0 1,108 11,080 43 0.39% $2,770 $2,962.5 $192.5 7.0% $-315
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 10.0 1,108 11,080 44 0.40% $2,770 $3,075 $305 11.0% $-275
Calendar Year Top-5 5.0 1,108 5,540 27 0.49% $1,385 $1,012.5 $-372.5 -26.9% $-431.25
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 120.0 1,108 132,960 779 0.59% $33,240 $29,212.5 $-4,027.5 -12.1% $-31,425
Window summary. 9 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold (+46.9% ROI, net +$83.75)
Top Net Dollars: Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$305.00 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$192.50 · Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$155.00

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$60 -$73 -$43 -$20 +$323 +$440 +$305 6/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$60 +$3 -$118 -$245 +$323 +$290 +$193 5/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$15 +$303 +$333 +$618 +$285 +$403 +$155 5/12
Hot doubles (top 18) +$48 -$41 +$59 +$182 +$348 +$65 +$114 7/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$2 -$15 -$34 -$73 +$36 -$42 +$84 0/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$12 +$32 +$26 +$89 +$138 -$226 +$72 4/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$15 +$115 +$145 +$130 +$60 +$140 +$63 7/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$2 -$15 -$34 -$36 +$111 +$33 +$27 1/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$2 +$23 +$3 +$39 -$39 -$42 +$12 2/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$12 -$118 -$237 -$24 +$26 -$188 -$4 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$2 +$23 +$3 -$36 -$114 -$42 -$15 1/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$2 -$15 -$34 -$73 -$77 -$117 -$24 0/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$2 -$15 -$34 -$73 -$77 -$117 -$52 0/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$2 +$23 +$3 -$36 -$39 -$42 -$90 1/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$2 -$15 -$34 -$36 -$77 -$155 -$127 1/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$6 -$24 -$68 -$80 +$44 -$57 -$139 4/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$2 -$20 -$47 -$101 -$96 -$91 -$150 0/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$3 +$11 -$26 -$97 -$128 -$84 -$156 1/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$8 -$74 -$96 +$9 -$8 -$324 -$185 6/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$2 -$15 -$34 -$73 -$77 -$155 -$202 0/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$12 -$81 -$87 -$24 -$87 -$413 -$229 4/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$12 -$81 -$87 -$24 -$87 -$413 -$229 4/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$12 -$118 -$12 +$14 +$26 -$301 -$266 5/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) -$2 -$15 -$34 -$73 -$152 -$230 -$282 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) -$2 -$15 -$34 -$73 -$152 -$230 -$282 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$2 -$15 -$34 -$73 -$152 -$230 -$282 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) -$2 -$15 -$34 -$73 -$152 -$230 -$282 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) -$2 -$15 -$34 -$73 -$152 -$230 -$282 0/12
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) -$2 -$15 -$34 -$73 -$152 -$230 -$282 0/12
Hot Families (top 10) -$15 -$35 +$70 +$130 -$165 -$160 -$295 6/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$14 +$55 +$181 +$206 +$67 -$147 -$308 7/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$8 +$1 -$59 -$141 -$270 -$286 -$373 5/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) -$27 -$3 +$59 +$294 +$11 -$48 -$374 6/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$5 -$44 -$103 -$107 -$155 -$277 -$419 2/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$6 +$89 +$83 +$34 -$28 -$278 -$469 6/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$30 -$120 -$1,710 -$6,390 -$15,780 -$25,170 -$4,028 1/12