Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 340 total plays 0.9 families/draw
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/06/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 013 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Book followed-by: 908 -> 013 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 284) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Improved but Underperforming: Filtering reduced losses, but underlying signal requires stronger trigger confluence.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 500 | 265 | -47.0% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 1 | 1 | 100.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.20% | 0.38% | +0.18% |
| Capital Invested | $125.00 | $88.50 | +$58.75 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$87.50 | -$51.00 | +$36.50 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -70.0% | -57.6% | +12.4% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 366 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-103 (-35.6% ROI across 1,164 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$1.25
-100.0% ROI |
-$16.75
-100.0% ROI |
-$39.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$47.5
-55.9% ROI |
-$63.75
-36.2% ROI |
-$117.75
-44.0% ROI |
-$103.5
-35.6% ROI |
1 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $46.25 | $37.5 | -$8.75 | 1 | -18.9% |
| 2024 | $91.5 | $37.5 | -$54 | 1 | -59.0% |
| 2025 | $91.25 | $112.5 | +$21.25 | 2 | 23.3% |
| 2026 | $62 | $0 | -$62 | 0 | -100.0% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
1 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 1)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | Evening | 871 | 178 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 239 -> 817 · followed family 159 5/17x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 239) |