Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 339 total plays 0.9 families/draw
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a hit occurs to lock in net profit.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a hit occurs to lock in net profit.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/06/2026
Active numbers in this chase cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 013 | distinct | Draw 10 of 10 | Book followed-by: 908 -> 013 · Chase Step 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 284) |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 366 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-04). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-103 (-35.5% ROI across 1,163 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$1
-100.0% ROI |
-$16.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$39.25
-100.0% ROI |
-$47.25
-55.8% ROI |
-$63.5
-36.1% ROI |
-$117.5
-43.9% ROI |
-$103.25
-35.5% ROI |
1 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $46.25 | $37.5 | -$8.75 | 1 | -18.9% |
| 2024 | $91.5 | $37.5 | -$54 | 1 | -59.0% |
| 2025 | $91.25 | $112.5 | +$21.25 | 2 | 23.3% |
| 2026 | $61.75 | $0 | -$61.75 | 0 | -100.0% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical chase hit distribution (Which draw do hits land on?)
1 Documented Hits in BacktestDistribution of winning hits across the 10-draw chase window. Shorter chases lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-hit chasing, every draw a number takes to hit costs an additional $0.25 per family. Hits landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches Draw 10 without hitting, the cycle expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 1)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | Evening | 871 | 178 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 239 -> 817 · followed family 159 5/17x within 10 draws · Chase Step 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 239) |