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Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 676 total plays 0.9 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a hit occurs to lock in net profit.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a hit occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/06/2026

⚡ ACTIVE CHASE CYCLE Draw 10 of 10

⚠️ FINAL DRAW ATTEMPT (Step 10/10)

Chase Cycle Progress Rail 10 / 10 Steps Completed or Active

1 ✓ Past

2 ✓ Past

3 ✓ Past

4 ✓ Past

5 ✓ Past

6 ✓ Past

7 ✓ Past

8 ✓ Past

9 ✓ Past

10 ▶ ACTIVE

Trigger Drawing

#344

Midday (2026-09-01)

Cumulative Stake Invested

$2.50

$0.25/draw × 10 draws

Payout if Hit Now

$37.50

Stops immediately on hit

Net Profit if Hit Now

+$35.00

Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this chase cycle:

349 distinct

Family	Type	Current Status	Selection Reason
349	distinct	Draw 10 of 10	followed number 598 1/3x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 598 -> 439 · Chase Step 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 344)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 730 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-04). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$313 (50.0% ROI across 2,500 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$93.5

Return on Investment 55.3%

Hit Rate 1.04%

Max Drawdown -$-53

Active Drawings 730

Total Plays Placed 676

Total Winning Hits 7

Gross Revenue $262.5

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

7 hits

+$262.5

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $169

Total Payout (Gross) $262.5

Net Profit / Loss +$93.5

Final Bankroll $593.5

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-53.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-79.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$2 -100.0% ROI	+$79.5 240.9% ROI	+$146.5 186.6% ROI	+$93.5 55.3% ROI	+$136.5 38.9% ROI	+$179 33.6% ROI	+$312.5 50.0% ROI	6 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$137	$300	+$163	7	119.0%
2024	$182.5	$225	+$42.5	6	23.3%
2025	$182	$187.5	+$5.5	5	3.0%
2026	$123.5	$225	+$101.5	6	82.2%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $-16

25-11 $-15

25-12 $23

26-01 $-16

26-02 $-14

26-03 $-16

26-04 $23

26-05 $22

26-06 $23

26-07 $60

26-08 $22

26-09 $-2

🎯 Historical chase hit distribution (Which draw do hits land on?)

7 Documented Hits in Backtest

Distribution of winning hits across the 10-draw chase window. Shorter chases lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Hit

Draw 5.4

Out of 10 max steps

Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)

28.6%

2 of 7 hits

Peak Hit Draw

Draw 9

3 hits landed here

Stop-on-Hit Discipline

Early Exit

Terminates upon hit

Draw 1 2 hits (28.6%)

Draw 2 0 hits (0.0%)

Draw 3 0 hits (0.0%)

Draw 4 1 hits (14.3%)

Draw 5 1 hits (14.3%)

Draw 6 0 hits (0.0%)

Draw 7 0 hits (0.0%)

Draw 8 0 hits (0.0%)

Draw 9 ★ 3 hits (42.9%)

Draw 10 0 hits (0.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-hit chasing, every draw a number takes to hit costs an additional $0.25 per family. Hits landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches Draw 10 without hitting, the cycle expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

014 1 hits 125 1 hits 137 1 hits 169 1 hits 236 1 hits 346 1 hits 479 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 7)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-08-26	Evening	317	137	distinct	+$37.50	Book followed-by: 434 -> 137 · Chase Step 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 434)
2026-07-28	Midday	623	236	distinct	+$37.50	Book followed-by: 633 -> 362 · followed number 878 2/3x within 10 draws · Chase Step 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 633)
2026-07-13	Evening	014	014	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 139 6/20x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 913 -> 041 · Chase Step 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 913)
2026-06-16	Midday	251	125	distinct	+$37.50	Book followed-by: 760 -> 215 · Chase Step 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 760)
2026-05-05	Midday	169	169	distinct	+$37.50	Book followed-by: 622 -> 691 · Chase Step 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 622)
2026-04-09	Evening	947	479	distinct	+$37.50	Book followed-by: 451 -> 749 · followed family 089 1/13x within 10 draws · Chase Step 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 451)
2025-12-31	Midday	643	346	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 058 2/10x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 463 · Chase Step 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 085)