Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 678 total plays 0.9 families/draw
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a hit occurs to lock in net profit.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a hit occurs to lock in net profit.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/06/2026
Active numbers in this chase cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 024 | distinct | Draw 7 of 10 | followed number 898 1/3x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 898 -> 042 · Chase Step 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 032) |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 732 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-04). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-139 (-22.2% ROI across 2,506 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$2
-100.0% ROI |
+$4.5
13.6% ROI |
-$41
-52.2% ROI |
-$57
-33.6% ROI |
-$14.5
-4.1% ROI |
-$85
-15.9% ROI |
-$139
-22.2% ROI |
3 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $137.5 | $75 | -$62.5 | 2 | -45.5% |
| 2024 | $183 | $112.5 | -$70.5 | 3 | -38.5% |
| 2025 | $182.5 | $187.5 | +$5 | 5 | 2.7% |
| 2026 | $123.5 | $112.5 | -$11 | 3 | -8.9% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical chase hit distribution (Which draw do hits land on?)
4 Documented Hits in BacktestDistribution of winning hits across the 10-draw chase window. Shorter chases lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-hit chasing, every draw a number takes to hit costs an additional $0.25 per family. Hits landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches Draw 10 without hitting, the cycle expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 4)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Midday | 456 | 456 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 474 -> 645 · followed family 245 1/16x within 10 draws · Chase Step 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 474) |
| 2026-03-15 | Evening | 936 | 369 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed number 204 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 024 4/13x within 10 draws · Chase Step 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 204) |
| 2026-02-16 | Evening | 603 | 036 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 575 -> 630 · Chase Step 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 575) |
| 2025-09-22 | Midday | 051 | 015 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 883 -> 150 · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 883) |