Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 2,034 total plays 2.8 families/draw
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays top 3 multi-factor candidates with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays top 3 multi-factor candidates with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 2.8 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.70 (2.8 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Night · 09/07/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 037 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 1, Cici Master Quad (0-5-3-7), Shield Safe, Overdue (434 skips, z=+-1.17)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 403) |
| 058 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 4, Cici Pair + Date Root, Shield Safe, Overdue (172 skips, z=+-1.17)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 403) |
| 157 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 4, Cici Pair + Date Root, Shield Safe, Overdue (238 skips, z=+-2.33)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 403) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 1,500 | 195 | -87.0% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 8 | 2 | 25.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.53% | 1.03% | +0.49% |
| Capital Invested | $375.00 | $66.00 | +$326.25 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$75.00 | +$84.00 | +$159.00 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -20.0% | 127.3% | +147.3% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 730 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-457 (-24.8% ROI across 2,460 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$7.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$100.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$87
-36.7% ROI |
-$283.5
-55.8% ROI |
-$304.5
-28.9% ROI |
-$474.75
-29.7% ROI |
-$457.5
-24.8% ROI |
3 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $379.5 | $525 | +$145.5 | 8 | 38.3% |
| 2024 | $547.5 | $375 | -$172.5 | 6 | -31.5% |
| 2025 | $546 | $262.5 | -$283.5 | 6 | -51.9% |
| 2026 | $372 | $225 | -$147 | 3 | -39.5% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
4 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 4)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Day | 505 | 055 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 1, Date Harmony, Shield Safe, LLN Deficit) · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 469) |
| 2026-04-11 | Night | 655 | 556 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | Adaptive Confluence (6/5 votes, ★★★★★★, 2.75x boost · Follower, Root 7, Date Harmony, Shield Safe, LLN Deficit, ⚡ Echo Pair (599)) · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 599) |
| 2026-03-18 | Day | 773 | 377 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 8, Date Harmony, Shield Safe, LLN Deficit) · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 876) |
| 2025-09-18 | Night | 341 | 134 | distinct | +$37.50 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 8, Date Harmony, Shield Safe, ⚡ Echo Pair (130)) · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 130) |