Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 2,046 total plays 2.8 families/draw
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays top 3 multi-factor candidates with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays top 3 multi-factor candidates with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 2.8 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.70 (2.8 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Night · 09/08/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0029 | double | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 2, Cici Pair, Shield Safe, Overdue (482 skips, z=+0.88)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 0751) |
| 0059 | double | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 5, Cici Pair, Shield Safe, Overdue (2055 skips, z=+0.88)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 0751) |
| 0479 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 2, Cici Pair, Shield Safe, Overdue (716 skips, z=+-2.25)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 0751) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 1,500 | 177 | -88.2% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 3 | 1 | 33.3% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.20% | 0.56% | +0.36% |
| Capital Invested | $375.00 | $57.75 | +$330.75 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | +$562.50 | +$129.75 | -$432.75 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | 150.0% | 224.7% | +74.7% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 730 drawings (2025-09-07 → 2026-09-07). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$215 (11.6% ROI across 2,464 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$10.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$103.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$52.5
-21.9% ROI |
+$894.75
174.9% ROI |
+$630
59.6% ROI |
+$272.25
17.0% ROI |
+$214.5
11.6% ROI |
4 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $379.5 | $187.5 | -$192 | 1 | -50.6% |
| 2024 | $547.5 | $375 | -$172.5 | 2 | -31.5% |
| 2025 | $546 | $187.5 | -$358.5 | 2 | -65.7% |
| 2026 | $375 | $1,312.5 | +$937.5 | 3 | 250.0% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
4 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 4)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Night | 6229 | 2269 | double 2x Double | +$187.50 | Adaptive Confluence (6/5 votes, ★★★★★★, 2.75x boost · Follower, Root 1, Cici Pair, Shield Safe, Overdue (853 skips, z=+0.79), ⚡ Echo Pair (2779)) · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 2779) |
| 2026-03-18 | Day | 2252 | 2225 | triple 6x Prize | +$562.50 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Cici Pair, Shield Safe, Overdue (668 skips, z=+1.23), ⚡ Mirror Echo (4577)) · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 4577) |
| 2026-01-18 | Day | 5355 | 3555 | triple 6x Prize | +$562.50 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Root 9, Cici Master Quad (8-3-1-5), Shield Safe, Overdue (2025 skips, z=+1.17), ⚡ Mirror Echo (4000)) · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 4000) |
| 2025-10-03 | Day | 0218 | 0128 | distinct | +$93.75 | Adaptive Confluence (4/5 votes, ★★★★☆, 2.05x boost · Follower, Cici Pair + Date Root, Shield Safe, Overdue (813 skips, z=+-1.37)) · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 9510) |