Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 7,320 total plays 10.0 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Ranks every family by how far past its expected gap it currently is (current skip ÷ expected skip) and plays the 10 most overdue.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Law-of-large-numbers mean-reversion model. Dynamically calculates every family's current skip divided by its theoretical probability-based expected gap (10^d ÷ ways to win). Families with the highest skip-to-expectation ratio are played.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 10.0 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.50 (10.0 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/05/2026

Playing 10 families for $2.50 total stake.

014 distinct 289 distinct 009 double 279 distinct 179 distinct 455 double 588 double 069 distinct 668 double 000 triple

Family	Type	Selection Reason
014	distinct	1090 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (6.54x overdue)
289	distinct	908 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.45x overdue)
009	double	1793 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (5.38x overdue)
279	distinct	839 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.03x overdue)
179	distinct	820 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.92x overdue)
455	double	1632 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.90x overdue)
588	double	1573 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.72x overdue)
069	distinct	706 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.24x overdue)
668	double	1231 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.69x overdue)
000	triple	3682 draws since last hit — expected ~1000 (3.68x overdue)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 732 drawings (2025-09-02 → 2026-09-02). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-667 (-10.7% ROI across 2,502 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$705

Return on Investment -38.5%

Hit Rate 0.34%

Max Drawdown -$-705

Active Drawings 732

Total Plays Placed 7,320

Total Winning Hits 25

Gross Revenue $1,125

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

20 hits

+$750

double 2x Double ($75.00)

5 hits

+$375

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $1,830

Total Payout (Gross) $1,125

Net Profit / Loss -$705

Final Bankroll $-205

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-705.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-1057.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$10 -100.0% ROI	-$207.5 -64.8% ROI	-$512.5 -66.1% ROI	-$560 -33.2% ROI	-$547.5 -15.6% ROI	-$577.5 -10.8% ROI	-$667.5 -10.7% ROI	3 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$1,375	$1,237.5	-$137.5	30	-10.0%
2024	$1,830	$1,687.5	-$142.5	32	-7.8%
2025	$1,825	$1,912.5	+$87.5	40	4.8%
2026	$1,225	$750	-$475	17	-38.8%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-09 $-145

25-10 $-5

25-11 $38

25-12 $-118

26-01 $-43

26-02 $10

26-03 $70

26-04 $-113

26-05 $-43

26-06 $-150

26-07 $-118

26-08 $-80

26-09 $-10

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

019 1 hits 024 1 hits 025 1 hits 027 1 hits 028 1 hits 037 1 hits 045 1 hits 047 1 hits 059 1 hits 077 1 hits 127 1 hits 135 1 hits 148 1 hits 158 1 hits 246 1 hits 259 1 hits 366 1 hits 369 1 hits 447 1 hits 468 1 hits 469 1 hits 499 1 hits 567 1 hits 679 1 hits 889 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 25)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-08-16	Midday	474	447	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1205 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.62x overdue)
2026-07-23	Evening	315	135	distinct	+$37.50	873 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.24x overdue)
2026-05-31	Midday	520	025	distinct	+$37.50	545 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.27x overdue)
2026-05-26	Midday	172	127	distinct	+$37.50	626 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.76x overdue)
2026-05-02	Evening	469	469	distinct	+$37.50	598 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.59x overdue)
2026-04-18	Evening	814	148	distinct	+$37.50	814 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.88x overdue)
2026-03-24	Evening	295	259	distinct	+$37.50	557 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.34x overdue)
2026-03-24	Midday	675	567	distinct	+$37.50	747 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.48x overdue)
2026-03-13	Midday	450	045	distinct	+$37.50	585 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.51x overdue)
2026-03-08	Evening	889	889	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1414 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.24x overdue)
2026-03-07	Evening	059	059	distinct	+$37.50	554 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.32x overdue)
2026-02-17	Midday	707	077	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1153 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.46x overdue)
2026-02-11	Midday	468	468	distinct	+$37.50	565 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.39x overdue)
2026-02-09	Midday	190	019	distinct	+$37.50	550 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.30x overdue)
2026-01-31	Midday	185	158	distinct	+$37.50	616 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.70x overdue)
2026-01-26	Evening	720	027	distinct	+$37.50	555 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.33x overdue)
2026-01-07	Evening	963	369	distinct	+$37.50	880 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.28x overdue)
2025-12-07	Midday	796	679	distinct	+$37.50	508 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.05x overdue)
2025-11-19	Midday	307	037	distinct	+$37.50	538 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.23x overdue)
2025-11-10	Midday	366	366	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1350 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.05x overdue)
2025-11-09	Evening	240	024	distinct	+$37.50	834 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.00x overdue)
2025-11-07	Evening	407	047	distinct	+$37.50	629 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.77x overdue)
2025-10-06	Evening	462	246	distinct	+$37.50	633 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.80x overdue)
2025-10-05	Midday	499	499	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1178 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.53x overdue)
2025-10-03	Midday	082	028	distinct	+$37.50	615 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.69x overdue)