Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 681 total plays 0.9 families/draw
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/06/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 067 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Book followed-by: 397 -> 067 · followed number 947 1/5x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 198) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 500 | 415 | -17.0% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 2 | 1 | 50.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.40% | 0.24% | -0.16% |
| Capital Invested | $125.00 | $139.50 | +$21.25 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$50.00 | -$102.00 | -$52.00 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -40.0% | -73.1% | -33.1% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 731 drawings (2025-09-06 → 2026-09-06). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-215 (-34.2% ROI across 2,509 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
+$34.75
1263.6% ROI |
+$41.25
122.2% ROI |
-$4.25
-5.4% ROI |
-$20.25
-11.9% ROI |
-$165.25
-46.8% ROI |
-$198.25
-37.0% ROI |
-$214.75
-34.2% ROI |
4 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $137.5 | $150 | +$12.5 | 4 | 9.1% |
| 2024 | $183 | $112.5 | -$70.5 | 3 | -38.5% |
| 2025 | $182.5 | $75 | -$107.5 | 2 | -58.9% |
| 2026 | $124.25 | $75 | -$49.25 | 2 | -39.6% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
4 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 4)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Evening | 198 | 189 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 977 -> 891 · followed family 038 1/16x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 977) |
| 2026-08-24 | Evening | 286 | 268 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed family 567 3/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 756 -> 268 · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 756) |
| 2025-12-22 | Midday | 840 | 048 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed number 574 1/3x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 574 -> 840 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 574) |
| 2025-11-10 | Midday | 390 | 039 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed family 249 1/16x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 924 -> 093 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 924) |