Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
Total Staked (Cost)$171.5
Total Payout (Gross)$281.25
Net Profit / Loss+$109.75
Final Bankroll$609.75
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-121.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-182.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check:Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
1M
3M
6M
1Y ★
2Y
3Y
All Time
Profitable Months
-$4
-100.0% ROI
-$35
-100.0% ROI
+$200.75
249.4% ROI
+$109.75
64.0% ROI
+$21
5.9% ROI
-$68.25
-12.7% ROI
-$66
-10.5% ROI
1 / 12
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
Year
Cost
Gross
Net Profit
Hits
ROI
2023
$137.5
$93.75
-$43.75
1
-31.8%
2024
$183
$187.5
+$4.5
2
2.5%
2025
$182.5
$0
-$182.5
0
-100.0%
2026
$125.5
$281.25
+$155.75
2
124.1%
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
25-10$-16
25-11$-15
25-12$-16
26-01$-16
26-02$-14
26-03$-16
26-04$-15
26-05$-16
26-06$266
26-07$-16
26-08$-16
26-09$-4
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
2 Documented Drops in Backtest
Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
Average Draw to Drop
Draw 2.5
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
50.0%
1 of 2 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 1
1 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 ★
1 drops (50.0%)
Draw 2
0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 3
0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 4
1 drops (50.0%)
Draw 5
0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 6
0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 7
0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 8
0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 9
0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 10
0 drops (0.0%)
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
