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⏱️ Next: Evening (09/06/2026) calculating... 🟢 Bets Open
🔥 WIN WIRE
Maryland MD Pick 3: Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) hit 964 (+$38)!

Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 3,230 total plays 4.4 families/draw

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m
Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 4.4 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$1.10 (4.4 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/06/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 2 of 10
⚡ ACTIVE STRIKE (HOLD 2/10) · $0.50 STAKE (VELOCITY ATTACK)
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 2 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ▶ ACTIVE
3 $0.50
4 $0.25
5 $0.25
6 $0.25
7 $0.25
8 $0.25
9 $0.25
10 $0.00
Trigger Drawing
#740
Midday (2026-09-05)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$1.25/draw × 2 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50 (Distinct) · $75.00 (Double)
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$35.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

357 distinct 022 double 058 distinct 577 double 025 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
357 distinct Hold Draw 2 of 10 Book followed-by: 929 -> 753 · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 740)
022 double Hold Draw 2 of 10 followed number 221 2/4x within 10 draws · followed family 122 4/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 740)
058 distinct Hold Draw 2 of 10 followed number 221 2/4x within 10 draws · followed family 122 3/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 740)
577 double Hold Draw 2 of 10 followed number 221 2/4x within 10 draws · followed family 122 3/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 740)
025 distinct Hold Draw 2 of 10 followed number 221 2/4x within 10 draws · followed family 122 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 740)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 98.5%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 2,390 42 -98.2% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 9 1 11.1% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.38% 2.38% +2.00%
Capital Invested $597.50 $15.00 +$584.00 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$185.00 +$22.50 +$207.50 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -31.0% 150.0% +181.0% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 732 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-464 (-21.9% ROI across 2,508 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$245
Return on Investment -30.3%
Hit Rate 0.37%
Max Drawdown -$-287.5
Active Drawings 732
Total Plays Placed 3,230
Total Winning Hits 12
Gross Revenue $562.5
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
9 hits
+$337.5
double 2x Double ($75.00)
3 hits
+$225

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $807.5
Total Payout (Gross) $562.5
Net Profit / Loss -$245
Final Bankroll $255
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-287.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-431.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$12.5
-100.0% ROI 		-$167.5
-100.0% ROI 		-$122.5
-31.8% ROI 		-$245
-30.3% ROI 		-$346.5
-22.4% ROI 		-$454
-23.2% ROI 		-$463.75
-21.9% ROI 		5 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $259.25 $262.5 +$3.25 7 1.3%
2024 $496 $600 +$104 15 21.0%
2025 $766 $412.5 -$353.5 10 -46.1%
2026 $592.5 $375 -$217.5 8 -36.7%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $35
25-11 $8
25-12 $-70
26-01 $-78
26-02 $-23
26-03 $5
26-04 $-75
26-05 $45
26-06 $75
26-07 $-78
26-08 $-78
26-09 $-13

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

12 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 5.9
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
25.0%
3 of 12 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 1
2 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 ★ 2 drops (16.7%)
Draw 2 1 drops (8.3%)
Draw 3 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 4 1 drops (8.3%)
Draw 5 1 drops (8.3%)
Draw 6 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 7 2 drops (16.7%)
Draw 8 2 drops (16.7%)
Draw 9 2 drops (16.7%)
Draw 10 1 drops (8.3%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

346 2 hits 014 1 hits 022 1 hits 023 1 hits 024 1 hits 059 1 hits 123 1 hits 147 1 hits 177 1 hits 199 1 hits 267 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 12)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-06-20 Midday 436 346 distinct +$37.50 followed family 346 2/18x within 10 draws · followed family 258 4/17x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 643)
2026-06-16 Evening 643 346 distinct +$37.50 followed family 019 4/18x within 10 draws · followed number 595 1/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 190)
2026-06-07 Midday 771 177 double 2x Double +$75.00 Book followed-by: 178 -> 177 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 178)
2026-05-06 Midday 202 022 double 2x Double +$75.00 followed family 147 2/15x within 10 draws · followed number 164 2/4x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 741)
2026-05-03 Evening 741 147 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 148 -> 147 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 148)
2026-03-29 Evening 401 014 distinct +$37.50 followed family 024 2/12x within 10 draws · followed number 231 2/6x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 204)
2026-03-28 Evening 204 024 distinct +$37.50 followed number 231 1/6x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 240 · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 231)
2026-02-16 Midday 321 123 distinct +$37.50 followed family 024 1/10x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 213 · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 420)
2025-11-12 Evening 991 199 double 2x Double +$75.00 Pro-Zo relative: 199 · followed family 139 1/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 937)
2025-10-19 Evening 230 023 distinct +$37.50 followed family 267 3/14x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 726)
2025-10-16 Midday 726 267 distinct +$37.50 followed number 210 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 012 4/19x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 210)
2025-10-01 Evening 509 059 distinct +$37.50 followed family 068 4/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 086)