Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 8,445 total plays 3.4 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Wide coverage portfolio chase: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a hit occurs to lock in net profit.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Wide coverage portfolio chase: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a hit occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 3.4 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.84 (3.4 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/06/2026

⚡ ACTIVE CHASE CYCLE Draw 2 of 10

8 draws remaining in cycle

Chase Cycle Progress Rail 2 / 10 Steps Completed or Active

1 ✓ Past

2 ▶ ACTIVE

3 Step 3

4 Step 4

5 Step 5

6 Step 6

7 Step 7

8 Step 8

9 Step 9

10 Step 10

Trigger Drawing

#740

Midday (2026-09-05)

Cumulative Stake Invested

$2.50

$1.25/draw × 2 draws

Payout if Hit Now

$37.50 (Distinct) · $75.00 (Double)

Stops immediately on hit

Net Profit if Hit Now

+$35.00

Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this chase cycle:

357 distinct 022 double 058 distinct 577 double 025 distinct

Family	Type	Current Status	Selection Reason
357	distinct	Draw 2 of 10	Book followed-by: 929 -> 753 · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 740)
022	double	Draw 2 of 10	followed number 221 2/4x within 10 draws · followed family 122 4/12x within 10 draws · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 740)
058	distinct	Draw 2 of 10	followed number 221 2/4x within 10 draws · followed family 122 3/12x within 10 draws · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 740)
577	double	Draw 2 of 10	followed number 221 2/4x within 10 draws · followed family 122 3/12x within 10 draws · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 740)
025	distinct	Draw 2 of 10	followed number 221 2/4x within 10 draws · followed family 122 2/12x within 10 draws · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 740)

📊 Key performance metrics (All-Time walk-forward)

Full Archive History

Evaluated across 2,506 drawings (2023-04-01 → 2026-09-04).

Net Profit -$461.25

Return on Investment -21.9%

Hit Rate 0.47%

Max Drawdown -$-568.5

Active Drawings 2,506

Total Plays Placed 8,445

Total Winning Hits 40

Gross Revenue $1,650

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

36 hits

+$1,350

double 2x Double ($75.00)

4 hits

+$300

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $2,111.25

Total Payout (Gross) $1,650

Net Profit / Loss -$461.25

Final Bankroll $38.75

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-568.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-852.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$10 -100.0% ROI	-$165 -100.0% ROI	-$120 -31.4% ROI	-$242.5 -30.1% ROI	-$344 -22.3% ROI	-$451.5 -23.1% ROI	-$461.25 -21.9% ROI	5 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$259.25	$262.5	+$3.25	7	1.3%
2024	$496	$600	+$104	15	21.0%
2025	$766	$412.5	-$353.5	10	-46.1%
2026	$590	$375	-$215	8	-36.4%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

23-04 $-25

23-05 $14

23-06 $-20

23-07 $7

23-08 $-31

23-09 $45

23-10 $-31

23-11 $83

23-12 $-39

24-01 $-2

24-02 $2

24-03 $-10

24-04 $11

24-05 $-28

24-06 $8

24-07 $-42

24-08 $-25

24-09 $-35

24-10 $-56

24-11 $124

24-12 $157

25-01 $-64

25-02 $-45

25-03 $-23

25-04 $20

25-05 $-23

25-06 $-38

25-07 $-58

25-08 $-30

25-09 $-68

25-10 $35

25-11 $8

25-12 $-70

26-01 $-78

26-02 $-23

26-03 $5

26-04 $-75

26-05 $45

26-06 $75

26-07 $-78

26-08 $-78

26-09 $-10

🎯 Historical chase hit distribution (Which draw do hits land on?)

40 Documented Hits in Backtest

Distribution of winning hits across the 10-draw chase window. Shorter chases lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Hit

Draw 4.8

Out of 10 max steps

Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)

35.0%

14 of 40 hits

Peak Hit Draw

Draw 4

10 hits landed here

Stop-on-Hit Discipline

Early Exit

Terminates upon hit

Draw 1 4 hits (10.0%)

Draw 2 4 hits (10.0%)

Draw 3 6 hits (15.0%)

Draw 4 ★ 10 hits (25.0%)

Draw 5 3 hits (7.5%)

Draw 6 0 hits (0.0%)

Draw 7 4 hits (10.0%)

Draw 8 3 hits (7.5%)

Draw 9 5 hits (12.5%)

Draw 10 1 hits (2.5%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-hit chasing, every draw a number takes to hit costs an additional $0.25 per family. Hits landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches Draw 10 without hitting, the cycle expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

025 2 hits 346 2 hits 457 2 hits 002 1 hits 012 1 hits 014 1 hits 016 1 hits 017 1 hits 022 1 hits 023 1 hits 024 1 hits 026 1 hits 039 1 hits 047 1 hits 057 1 hits 058 1 hits 059 1 hits 079 1 hits 089 1 hits 123 1 hits 125 1 hits 126 1 hits 128 1 hits 129 1 hits 134 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 25)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-06-20	Midday	436	346	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 346 2/18x within 10 draws · followed family 258 4/17x within 10 draws · Chase Step 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 643)
2026-06-16	Evening	643	346	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 019 4/18x within 10 draws · followed number 595 1/3x within 10 draws · Chase Step 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 190)
2026-06-07	Midday	771	177	double 2x Double	+$75.00	Book followed-by: 178 -> 177 · Chase Step 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 178)
2026-05-06	Midday	202	022	double 2x Double	+$75.00	followed family 147 2/15x within 10 draws · followed number 164 2/4x within 10 draws · Chase Step 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 741)
2026-05-03	Evening	741	147	distinct	+$37.50	Book followed-by: 148 -> 147 · Chase Step 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 148)
2026-03-29	Evening	401	014	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 024 2/12x within 10 draws · followed number 231 2/6x within 10 draws · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 204)
2026-03-28	Evening	204	024	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 231 1/6x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 240 · Chase Step 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 231)
2026-02-16	Midday	321	123	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 024 1/10x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 213 · Chase Step 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 420)
2025-11-12	Evening	991	199	double 2x Double	+$75.00	Pro-Zo relative: 199 · followed family 139 1/11x within 10 draws · Chase Step 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 937)
2025-10-19	Evening	230	023	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 267 3/14x within 10 draws · Chase Step 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 726)
2025-10-16	Midday	726	267	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 210 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 012 4/19x within 10 draws · Chase Step 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 210)
2025-10-01	Evening	509	059	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 068 4/12x within 10 draws · Chase Step 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 086)
2025-08-28	Evening	394	349	distinct	+$37.50	Double relative: 394 · Chase Step 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 466)
2025-06-27	Evening	827	278	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 019 3/13x within 10 draws · Chase Step 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 019)
2025-05-21	Evening	891	189	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 378 2/11x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 819 · Chase Step 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 837)
2025-04-24	Evening	309	039	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 008 2/10x within 10 draws · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 800)
2025-04-18	Evening	250	025	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 151 2/4x within 10 draws · Chase Step 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 265)
2025-03-27	Evening	867	678	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 591 2/4x within 10 draws · followed family 159 2/12x within 10 draws · Chase Step 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 591)
2024-12-30	Evening	182	128	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 289 3/10x within 10 draws · Chase Step 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 126)
2024-12-30	Midday	126	126	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 457 3/17x within 10 draws · followed family 134 2/10x within 10 draws · Chase Step 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 475)
2024-12-26	Evening	475	457	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 082 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 028 3/11x within 10 draws · Chase Step 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 082)
2024-12-19	Evening	492	249	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 963 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 369 4/11x within 10 draws · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 981)
2024-12-08	Midday	580	058	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 057 1/11x within 10 draws · followed number 483 2/3x within 10 draws · Chase Step 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 057)
2024-12-06	Midday	057	057	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 016 2/10x within 10 draws · followed family 057 2/10x within 10 draws · Chase Step 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 610)
2024-11-22	Midday	002	002	double 2x Double	+$75.00	followed number 510 1/3x within 10 draws · Chase Step 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 510)