📍 ·

Walk-forward strategy performance

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m
Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday (Morning) 🌆 Evening
Engine Mode: 📊 Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 732 archive drawings (2025-09-04 → 2026-09-04) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 732 drawings accumulates 670 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) 0.9 732 670 4 0.60% $167.5 $187.5 $20 11.9% $-47.5
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) 0.9 732 670 4 0.60% $167.5 $187.5 $20 11.9% $-47.5
Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · All Candidates) 7.3 732 5,354 20 0.37% $1,338.5 $1,125 $-213.5 -16.0% $-324.5
Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · Top 1) 0.9 732 678 0 0.00% $169.5 $0 $-169.5 -100.0% $-169.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline 1.3 732 983 4 0.41% $245.75 $150 $-95.75 -39.0% $-101.25
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline 1.8 732 1,332 6 0.45% $333 $225 $-108 -32.4% $-114.75
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline 7.5 732 5,524 19 0.34% $1,381 $787.5 $-593.5 -43.0% $-696
Cici's Rules Engine 7.3 732 5,347 14 0.26% $1,336.75 $750 $-586.75 -43.9% $-586.75
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 0.8 732 621 0 0.00% $155.25 $0 $-155.25 -100.0% $-155.25
Hot Families (top 10) 9.3 732 6,780 47 0.69% $1,695 $1,762.5 $67.5 4.0% $-160
Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) 9.3 732 6,780 14 0.21% $1,695 $1,500 $-195 -11.5% $-480
Hot doubles (top 18) 16.7 732 12,204 35 0.29% $3,051 $2,625 $-426 -14.0% $-561
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.3 732 6,780 7 0.10% $1,695 $1,575 $-120 -7.1% $-525
Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) 9.3 732 6,780 35 0.52% $1,695 $1,650 $-45 -2.6% $-202.5
Carryover Overdue (top 10) 9.3 732 6,780 37 0.55% $1,695 $1,650 $-45 -2.6% $-442.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.3 732 6,780 29 0.43% $1,695 $1,162.5 $-532.5 -31.4% $-652.5
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 16.7 732 12,204 47 0.39% $3,051 $2,812.5 $-238.5 -7.8% $-729
Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) 16.7 732 12,204 51 0.42% $3,051 $3,337.5 $286.5 9.4% $-357
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.3 732 6,780 15 0.22% $1,695 $1,087.5 $-607.5 -35.8% $-752.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.3 732 6,780 22 0.32% $1,695 $1,537.5 $-157.5 -9.3% $-572.5
Calendar Year Top-5 4.6 732 3,390 10 0.29% $847.5 $375 $-472.5 -55.8% $-472.5
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 111.1 732 81,360 487 0.60% $20,340 $18,262.5 $-2,077.5 -10.2% $-2,115
Consensus Panel 6.1 732 4,454 22 0.49% $1,113.5 $937.5 $-176 -15.8% $-340.5
Window summary. 4 of 23 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) (+11.9% ROI, net +$20.00)
Top Net Dollars: Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) +$286.50 · Hot Families (top 10) +$67.50 · Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) +$20.00

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Carryover Overdue (top 10) -$20 -$68 -$298 -$45 +$418 +$688 +$635 4/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$55 +$345 +$40 -$158 +$80 +$463 +$598 5/12
Consensus Panel -$14 -$37 -$226 -$176 +$353 +$439 +$321 5/12
Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) -$20 -$30 -$148 -$45 +$418 +$388 +$298 6/12
Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) -$20 -$180 -$260 -$195 +$305 +$538 +$260 4/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$20 +$120 -$110 -$120 -$595 +$50 +$260 7/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) +$77 +$194 +$125 +$287 +$452 +$45 +$198 5/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline -$2 -$11 -$79 -$96 -$127 -$120 +$49 4/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline -$4 -$27 -$87 -$108 -$93 -$182 -$17 6/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) -$2 -$33 -$3 +$20 -$45 -$30 -$27 4/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) -$2 -$33 -$3 +$20 -$45 -$30 -$35 4/12
Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · Top 1) -$2 -$33 -$79 -$170 -$202 -$160 -$177 0/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) -$20 -$180 -$485 -$608 -$370 -$400 -$228 1/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$2 -$31 -$75 -$155 -$267 -$331 -$360 0/12
Hot Families (top 10) +$18 +$45 -$73 +$68 -$333 -$475 -$415 6/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$16 -$111 -$173 -$587 -$945 -$742 -$456 1/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$10 -$128 -$205 -$473 -$448 -$688 -$583 0/12
Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · All Candidates) -$16 +$111 +$10 -$214 -$756 -$720 -$590 6/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$39 +$231 +$125 -$239 -$561 -$968 -$815 5/12
Hot doubles (top 18) +$39 +$81 -$138 -$426 -$411 -$1,080 -$927 5/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline -$18 -$202 -$333 -$594 -$906 -$956 -$981 2/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$18 +$45 -$298 -$533 -$933 -$1,225 -$1,278 4/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$15 -$398 -$983 -$2,078 -$4,440 -$6,938 -$8,393 1/12