Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder

Dynamic Walk-Forward 2,840 total plays 7.8 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 7.8 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$1.95 (7.8 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/06/2026

🪜 ROLLING HOLD LADDER 8 Active Numbers on Ladder

Staggered 10-Draw Individual Clocks

Every candidate number runs on its own independent hold countdown clock. When a number drops, it exits the ladder immediately to secure profit. If it reaches 10 draws without dropping, the 10-draw cut-off expires the pick to prevent runaway losses.

Family	Pattern	Hold Draw & Progress Meter	Trigger Origin	Invested	Net if Dropped	Trigger Rationale
039	distinct	Hold Draw 10/10 Final Draw 0 left	#693 2026-09-01 · Evening	$2.50	+$35.00	followed family 678 1/14x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 678 -> 930
015	distinct	Hold Draw 9/10 Late Stage 1 left	#501 2026-09-02 · Midday	$2.25	+$35.25	followed family 369 2/22x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 693 -> 015
189	distinct	Hold Draw 8/10 Late Stage 2 left	#901 2026-09-02 · Evening	$2.00	+$35.50	followed family 015 4/12x within 10 draws · followed number 693 1/5x within 10 draws
467	distinct	Hold Draw 6/10 Mid Stage 4 left	#679 2026-09-03 · Evening	$1.50	+$36.00	followed family 038 3/17x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 083 -> 746
268	distinct	Hold Draw 4/10 Mid Stage 6 left	#601 2026-09-04 · Evening	$1.00	+$36.50	Book followed-by: 187 -> 682 · Pro-Zo relative: 826
069	distinct	Hold Draw 3/10 Early Stage 7 left	#557 2026-09-05 · Midday	$0.75	+$36.75	followed family 016 2/18x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 601 -> 960
035	distinct	Hold Draw 2/10 Early Stage 8 left	#280 2026-09-05 · Evening	$0.50	+$37.00	Book followed-by: 557 -> 035 · followed family 016 3/18x within 10 draws
234	distinct	Hold Draw 1/10 Early Stage 9 left	#086 2026-09-06 · Midday	$0.25	+$37.25	followed family 028 3/18x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 280 -> 432

⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: CONVEYOR BELT

Ticket Waste Index: 74.1%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric	Standard Baseline	⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized	Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed	4,452	1,000	-77.5% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured	39	5	12.8% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency	0.88%	0.50%	-0.38%
Capital Invested	$1113.00	$250.00	+$863.00 saved
Net Profit / Loss	+$424.50	-$62.50	-$487.00 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI)	38.1%	-25.0%	-63.1% ROI Lift

🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model

Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution

Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)

Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)

Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (6 months walk-forward)

⚡ Recent Form Window

Evaluated across 365 drawings (2026-03-08 → 2026-09-06). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$81 (1.4% ROI across 2,509 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$302.5

Return on Investment 42.6%

Hit Rate 0.92%

Max Drawdown -$-107.75

Active Drawings 365

Total Plays Placed 2,840

Total Winning Hits 26

Gross Revenue $1,012.5

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

27 hits

+$1,012.5

double 2x Double ($75.00)

1 hits

+$75

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $710

Total Payout (Gross) $1,012.5

Net Profit / Loss +$302.5

Final Bankroll $802.5

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-107.75. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-161.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
+$91 423.3% ROI	+$188.5 63.0% ROI	+$302.5 42.6% ROI	+$286.5 18.9% ROI	+$370.25 11.7% ROI	+$206 4.3% ROI	+$81.25 1.4% ROI	6 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$1,262.75	$1,087.5	-$175.25	28	-13.9%
2024	$1,662	$1,612.5	-$49.5	43	-3.0%
2025	$1,626	$1,500	-$126	39	-7.7%
2026	$1,105.5	$1,537.5	+$432	39	39.1%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

26-04 $93

26-05 $-108

26-06 $129

26-07 $-27

26-08 $124

26-09 $91

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

28 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop

Draw 5.0

Out of 10 max steps

Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)

28.6%

8 of 28 drops

Peak Drop Draw

Draw 6

6 drops landed here

Stop-on-Drop Discipline

Early Exit

Terminates upon drop

Draw 1 3 drops (10.7%)

Draw 2 3 drops (10.7%)

Draw 3 2 drops (7.1%)

Draw 4 3 drops (10.7%)

Draw 5 4 drops (14.3%)

Draw 6 ★ 6 drops (21.4%)

Draw 7 1 drops (3.6%)

Draw 8 3 drops (10.7%)

Draw 9 3 drops (10.7%)

Draw 10 0 drops (0.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

015 2 hits 037 2 hits 237 2 hits 469 2 hits 013 1 hits 016 1 hits 018 1 hits 024 1 hits 036 1 hits 038 1 hits 047 1 hits 048 1 hits 129 1 hits 145 1 hits 147 1 hits 157 1 hits 189 1 hits 235 1 hits 245 1 hits 257 1 hits 288 1 hits 467 1 hits 478 1 hits 679 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 25)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-09-04	Evening	601	016	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 901: Book followed-by: 901 -> 016 · followed family 015 2/12x within 10 draws
2026-09-03	Midday	083	038	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 5 of 10] from 200: Book followed-by: 200 -> 380 · followed family 378 1/10x within 10 draws
2026-09-02	Midday	501	015	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 1 of 10] from 693: followed family 369 2/22x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 693 -> 015
2026-08-26	Evening	723	237	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 8 of 10] from 410: Book followed-by: 410 -> 273
2026-08-21	Evening	523	235	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 8 of 10] from 347: Book followed-by: 347 -> 523
2026-08-18	Midday	976	679	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 013: followed number 013 1/4x within 10 draws · followed family 013 5/15x within 10 draws
2026-08-15	Evening	524	245	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 5 of 10] from 665: followed number 665 2/4x within 10 draws · followed number 938 1/3x within 10 draws
2026-08-15	Midday	013	013	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 435: Book followed-by: 435 -> 301
2026-08-09	Midday	480	048	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 5 of 10] from 259: Book followed-by: 259 -> 840 · followed family 389 1/16x within 10 draws
2026-08-01	Evening	630	036	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 575: followed number 575 2/4x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 575 -> 630
2026-07-27	Midday	189	189	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 015: followed number 015 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 015 2/11x within 10 draws
2026-07-14	Midday	372	237	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 2 of 10] from 671: Book followed-by: 671 -> 732 · followed number 073 1/5x within 10 draws
2026-07-04	Evening	694	469	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 282: Book followed-by: 282 -> 649 · followed number 674 1/3x within 10 draws
2026-06-28	Evening	073	037	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 9 of 10] from 226: followed number 226 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 226 1/13x within 10 draws
2026-06-24	Evening	081	018	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 796: followed number 796 1/5x within 10 draws · followed family 679 3/26x within 10 draws
2026-06-21	Midday	764	467	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 091: Book followed-by: 091 -> 467 · followed family 478 1/16x within 10 draws
2026-06-17	Evening	784	478	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 9 of 10] from 919: followed number 919 1/7x within 10 draws · followed family 199 1/14x within 10 draws
2026-06-15	Evening	517	157	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 2 of 10] from 445: Double relative: 157 · followed family 128 2/23x within 10 draws
2026-06-04	Evening	073	037	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 448: Book followed-by: 448 -> 037 · followed family 579 1/12x within 10 draws
2026-06-02	Midday	704	047	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 8 of 10] from 583: Book followed-by: 583 -> 074 · followed number 497 1/4x within 10 draws
2026-05-22	Midday	192	129	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 1 of 10] from 799: Book followed-by: 799 -> 219 · followed family 069 3/16x within 10 draws
2026-04-24	Evening	051	015	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 1 of 10] from 849: followed number 849 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 489 1/13x within 10 draws
2026-04-19	Midday	882	288	double 2x Double	+$75.00	[Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 224: Book followed-by: 224 -> 828
2026-04-18	Midday	946	469	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 745: followed family 457 1/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 745 -> 964
2026-04-16	Midday	275	257	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 9 of 10] from 535: Book followed-by: 535 -> 275