Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 566 total plays 0.8 families/draw

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.8 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.19 (0.8 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/06/2026

📡

Hold Radar Active — Awaiting Trigger Drawing

No qualifying trigger condition was detected in the most recent drawing, or this strategy is resting outside its designated draw slot (all draws). As soon as the next qualifying number is drawn, the engine automatically initializes the 10-draw hold countdown.

⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: REGIME SPECIALIST
Ticket Waste Index: 104.8%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 415 355 -14.5% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 0 0 100% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.00% 0.00% +0.00%
Capital Invested $103.75 $118.75 +$15.00 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$103.75 -$118.75 -$15.00 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -100.0% -100.0% +0.0% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 731 drawings (2025-09-06 → 2026-09-06). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-94 (-18.6% ROI across 2,028 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$104
Return on Investment -73.5%
Hit Rate 0.18%
Max Drawdown -$-128.5
Active Drawings 731
Total Plays Placed 566
Total Winning Hits 1
Gross Revenue $37.5
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
1 hits
+$37.5

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $141.5
Total Payout (Gross) $37.5
Net Profit / Loss -$104
Final Bankroll $396
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-128.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-192.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$1.5
-100.0% ROI
-$28
-100.0% ROI
-$64.75
-100.0% ROI
-$104
-73.5% ROI
-$212
-73.9% ROI
-$96
-22.1% ROI
-$94.5
-18.6% ROI
1 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $113.25 $75 -$38.25 2 -33.8%
2024 $141.75 $262.5 +$120.75 7 85.2%
2025 $146.75 $75 -$71.75 2 -48.9%
2026 $105.25 $0 -$105.25 0 -100.0%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $25
25-11 $-13
25-12 $-10
26-01 $-14
26-02 $-12
26-03 $-14
26-04 $-12
26-05 $-14
26-06 $-11
26-07 $-13
26-08 $-14
26-09 $-2

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

1 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 10.0
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
0.0%
0 of 1 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 10
1 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 2 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 3 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 4 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 5 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 6 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 7 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 8 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 9 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 10 ★ 1 drops (100.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

149 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 1)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2025-10-16 Midday 419 149 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 221 -> 941 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 221)