Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder

Dynamic Walk-Forward 3,133 total plays 8.6 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws Day 🌆 Evening

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 8.6 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.14 (8.6 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/08/2026

🪜 ROLLING HOLD LADDER 9 Active Numbers on Ladder

Staggered 10-Draw Individual Clocks

Every candidate number runs on its own independent hold countdown clock. When a number drops, it exits the ladder immediately to secure profit. If it reaches 10 draws without dropping, the 10-draw cut-off expires the pick to prevent runaway losses.

Family	Pattern	Hold Draw & Progress Meter	Trigger Origin	Invested	Net if Dropped	Trigger Rationale
027	distinct	Hold Draw 10/10 Final Draw 0 left	#482 2026-08-29 · Evening	$2.50	+$35.00	Book followed-by: 145 -> 027
116	double	Hold Draw 8/10 Late Stage 2 left	#801 2026-08-31 · Evening	$2.00	+$73.00	Book followed-by: 619 -> 611
039	distinct	Hold Draw 7/10 Mid Stage 3 left	#572 2026-09-01 · Evening	$1.75	+$35.75	Book followed-by: 801 -> 039
156	distinct	Hold Draw 6/10 Mid Stage 4 left	#035 2026-09-02 · Evening	$1.50	+$36.00	Book followed-by: 572 -> 156
125	distinct	Hold Draw 5/10 Mid Stage 5 left	#058 2026-09-03 · Evening	$1.25	+$36.25	followed number 035 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 035 1/11x within 10 draws
346	distinct	Hold Draw 4/10 Mid Stage 6 left	#639 2026-09-04 · Evening	$1.00	+$36.50	followed family 058 1/13x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 463
279	distinct	Hold Draw 3/10 Early Stage 7 left	#710 2026-09-05 · Evening	$0.75	+$36.75	followed family 369 2/10x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 279
134	distinct	Hold Draw 2/10 Early Stage 8 left	#492 2026-09-06 · Evening	$0.50	+$37.00	Pro-Zo relative: 413 · followed family 369 2/10x within 10 draws
689	distinct	Hold Draw 1/10 Early Stage 9 left	#712 2026-09-07 · Evening	$0.25	+$37.25	Book followed-by: 492 -> 698

⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: CONVEYOR BELT

Ticket Waste Index: 80.9%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric	Standard Baseline	⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized	Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed	4,588	1,000	-78.2% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured	30	7	23.3% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency	0.65%	0.70%	+0.05%
Capital Invested	$1147.00	$250.00	+$897.00 saved
Net Profit / Loss	+$15.50	+$12.50	-$3.00 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI)	1.4%	5.0%	+3.6% ROI Lift

🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model

Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution

Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)

Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)

Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 366 drawings (2025-09-07 → 2026-09-07). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-36 (-1.4% ROI across 1,166 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$4.25

Return on Investment 0.5%

Hit Rate 0.64%

Max Drawdown -$-152.5

Active Drawings 366

Total Plays Placed 3,133

Total Winning Hits 20

Gross Revenue $787.5

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

22 hits

+$825

double 2x Double ($75.00)

1 hits

+$75

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $783.25

Total Payout (Gross) $787.5

Net Profit / Loss +$4.25

Final Bankroll $504.25

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-152.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-228.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
+$22.25 145.9% ROI	+$69 44.2% ROI	-$23.25 -6.4% ROI	+$4.25 0.5% ROI	+$37.5 2.3% ROI	-$82.25 -3.4% ROI	-$36 -1.4% ROI	7 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$421.75	$412.5	-$9.25	10	-2.2%
2024	$836.75	$787.5	-$49.25	21	-5.9%
2025	$836.5	$862.5	+$26	23	3.1%
2026	$566	$562.5	-$3.5	14	-0.6%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $41

25-11 $44

25-12 $-77

26-01 $80

26-02 $-64

26-03 $4

26-04 $-72

26-05 $7

26-06 $-27

26-07 $83

26-08 $-36

26-09 $22

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

23 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop

Draw 5.8

Out of 10 max steps

Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)

21.7%

5 of 23 drops

Peak Drop Draw

Draw 6

5 drops landed here

Stop-on-Drop Discipline

Early Exit

Terminates upon drop

Draw 1 1 drops (4.3%)

Draw 2 2 drops (8.7%)

Draw 3 2 drops (8.7%)

Draw 4 3 drops (13.0%)

Draw 5 2 drops (8.7%)

Draw 6 ★ 5 drops (21.7%)

Draw 7 2 drops (8.7%)

Draw 8 1 drops (4.3%)

Draw 9 2 drops (8.7%)

Draw 10 3 drops (13.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

168 2 hits 016 1 hits 035 1 hits 039 1 hits 046 1 hits 047 1 hits 048 1 hits 058 1 hits 069 1 hits 078 1 hits 146 1 hits 179 1 hits 277 1 hits 349 1 hits 357 1 hits 359 1 hits 378 1 hits 389 1 hits 457 1 hits 467 1 hits 569 1 hits 579 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 23)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-09-02	Evening	035	035	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 482: Book followed-by: 482 -> 305
2026-08-11	Evening	398	389	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 985: Book followed-by: 985 -> 398 · followed family 158 1/12x within 10 draws
2026-07-19	Evening	579	579	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 854: Book followed-by: 854 -> 975
2026-07-11	Evening	349	349	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 1 of 10] from 818: Book followed-by: 818 -> 349
2026-07-09	Evening	475	457	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 402: Book followed-by: 402 -> 547
2026-07-05	Evening	197	179	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 563: Book followed-by: 563 -> 179
2026-06-29	Evening	058	058	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 879: Book followed-by: 879 -> 805
2026-05-09	Evening	186	168	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 9 of 10] from 325: Book followed-by: 325 -> 861
2026-05-03	Evening	873	378	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 2 of 10] from 288: Double relative: 387 · followed family 235 2/11x within 10 draws
2026-03-26	Evening	096	069	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 10 of 10] from 005: followed number 005 1/4x within 10 draws · Double relative: 690
2026-03-21	Evening	537	357	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 404: Book followed-by: 404 -> 357
2026-01-31	Evening	965	569	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 241: Book followed-by: 241 -> 659
2026-01-18	Evening	772	277	double 2x Double	+$75.00	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 093: Book followed-by: 093 -> 727
2026-01-12	Evening	093	039	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 5 of 10] from 202: Book followed-by: 202 -> 309
2025-11-30	Evening	601	016	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 10 of 10] from 901: Book followed-by: 901 -> 016
2025-11-08	Evening	708	078	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 832: Book followed-by: 832 -> 870
2025-11-05	Evening	064	046	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 5 of 10] from 294: Book followed-by: 294 -> 460
2025-10-16	Evening	359	359	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 8 of 10] from 508: Book followed-by: 508 -> 593
2025-10-15	Evening	816	168	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 915: Book followed-by: 915 -> 816
2025-10-02	Evening	647	467	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 10 of 10] from 091: Book followed-by: 091 -> 467
2025-09-25	Evening	416	146	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 2 of 10] from 704: Pro-Zo relative: 614 · followed number 091 1/5x within 10 draws
2025-09-21	Evening	480	048	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 9 of 10] from 468: followed number 468 3/4x within 10 draws · followed family 468 5/13x within 10 draws
2025-09-16	Evening	074	047	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 769: Book followed-by: 769 -> 047