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RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 9 total plays 0.3 families/draw

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.3 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.07 (0.3 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Day · 09/10/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#4335
Evening (2026-08-30)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$187.50 (Double Prize)
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$185.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

2236 double
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
2236 double Hold Draw 10 of 10 2 drawn in sets: 2&6, 5&2, 7&2 (from 6212 Evening 2026-08-29) · 2 drawn in sets: 2&6, 5&2, 7&2 (from 1238 Evening 2026-08-28) [RB9 Root 4 Aligned] · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 4335)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 98.8%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 500 227 -54.6% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 1 1 100.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.20% 0.44% +0.24%
Capital Invested $125.00 $75.50 +$68.25 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$31.25 +$18.25 +$49.50 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -25.0% 24.2% +49.2% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 month walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window

Evaluated across 31 drawings (2026-08-09 → 2026-09-09). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-198 (-67.9% ROI across 1,168 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$2.25
Return on Investment -100.0%
Hit Rate 0.00%
Max Drawdown -$-2.25
Active Drawings 31
Total Plays Placed 9
Total Winning Hits 0
Gross Revenue $0

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $2.25
Total Payout (Gross) $0
Net Profit / Loss -$2.25
Final Bankroll $497.75
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-2.25. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-3.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$2.25
-100.0% ROI
-$17.75
-100.0% ROI
-$40.5
-100.0% ROI
-$86
-100.0% ROI
-$177.25
-100.0% ROI
-$268.75
-100.0% ROI
-$198.25
-67.9% ROI
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📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $46.25 $93.75 +$47.5 1 102.7%
2024 $91.5 $0 -$91.5 0 -100.0%
2025 $91.25 $0 -$91.25 0 -100.0%
2026 $63 $0 -$63 0 -100.0%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

26-09 $-2