Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 732 archive drawings (2025-09-07 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 732 drawings accumulates 685 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 732 685 2 0.29% $171.25 $75 $-96.25 -56.2% $-99
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 4.5 732 3,275 20 0.61% $818.75 $825 $6.25 0.8% $-135
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 0.7 732 532 1 0.19% $133 $37.5 $-95.5 -71.8% $-101
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.3 732 924 3 0.32% $231 $112.5 $-118.5 -51.3% $-125
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.6 732 1,198 4 0.33% $299.5 $150 $-149.5 -49.9% $-149.5
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.6 732 6,324 24 0.38% $1,581 $900 $-681 -43.1% $-681
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 0.5 732 349 4 1.15% $87.25 $187.5 $100.25 114.9% $-30.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 0.6 732 442 4 0.90% $110.5 $225 $114.5 103.6% $-31.25
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 0.9 732 685 4 0.58% $171.25 $187.5 $16.25 9.5% $-38
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 732 685 3 0.44% $171.25 $187.5 $16.25 9.5% $-75.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.8 732 2,055 7 0.34% $513.75 $412.5 $-101.25 -19.7% $-139.5
Cici's Rules Engine 7.5 732 5,480 23 0.42% $1,370 $1,200 $-170 -12.4% $-240.5
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.5 732 5,480 19 0.35% $1,370 $975 $-395 -28.8% $-526
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.5 732 5,480 23 0.42% $1,370 $1,312.5 $-57.5 -4.2% $-262.5
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.5 732 5,480 19 0.35% $1,370 $975 $-395 -28.8% $-526
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.7 732 3,425 10 0.29% $856.25 $562.5 $-293.75 -34.3% $-310
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 0.9 732 682 2 0.29% $170.5 $112.5 $-58 -34.0% $-105.5
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.5 732 5,480 23 0.42% $1,370 $1,050 $-320 -23.4% $-473
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 0.9 732 685 7 1.02% $171.25 $337.5 $166.25 97.1% $-80.25
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 0.9 732 685 3 0.44% $171.25 $112.5 $-58.75 -34.3% $-75.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 732 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.0 732 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 732 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 732 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 732 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 732 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 4.5 732 3,302 24 0.73% $825.5 $937.5 $112 13.6% $-75
Hot Families (top 10) 9.4 732 6,850 32 0.47% $1,712.5 $1,200 $-512.5 -29.9% $-512.5
Hot doubles (top 18) 16.8 732 12,330 35 0.28% $3,082.5 $2,625 $-457.5 -14.8% $-741
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.4 732 6,850 9 0.13% $1,712.5 $2,025 $312.5 18.3% $-385
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.4 732 6,850 46 0.67% $1,712.5 $1,800 $87.5 5.1% $-187.5
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 16.8 732 12,330 39 0.32% $3,082.5 $3,000 $-82.5 -2.7% $-666
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.4 732 6,850 24 0.35% $1,712.5 $1,800 $87.5 5.1% $-310
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.4 732 6,850 30 0.44% $1,712.5 $1,950 $237.5 13.9% $-240
Calendar Year Top-5 4.7 732 3,425 24 0.70% $856.25 $900 $43.75 5.1% $-77.5
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 112.3 732 82,200 495 0.60% $20,550 $18,562.5 $-1,987.5 -9.7% $-1,987.5
Window summary. 12 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper (+114.9% ROI, net +$100.25)
Top Net Dollars: Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$312.50 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$237.50 · RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) +$166.25

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$38 +$328 +$323 +$313 +$63 +$1,833 +$1,143 7/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$75 -$198 -$53 +$88 +$288 +$933 +$1,143 5/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$113 -$48 +$248 +$238 +$138 +$783 +$1,030 5/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$11 +$8 -$53 -$101 -$161 +$452 +$815 4/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$4 -$35 -$80 +$166 +$246 +$363 +$422 3/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$19 +$14 +$11 +$44 +$31 +$129 +$196 4/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$83 -$213 -$95 -$83 -$218 +$51 +$167 4/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$4 +$3 +$33 -$58 -$90 +$31 +$91 2/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$4 +$3 -$5 +$16 -$54 +$26 +$9 4/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$4 -$35 -$5 -$59 -$166 -$87 -$28 3/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$2 +$20 +$34 +$100 +$71 -$29 -$39 4/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$5 -$46 +$7 -$119 -$0 -$70 -$122 2/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$4 +$3 -$43 -$96 -$204 -$162 -$141 2/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$3 +$16 -$16 +$115 +$28 -$92 -$152 4/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$27 -$64 -$96 -$171 -$123 -$158 1/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$4 +$3 +$32 +$16 -$54 -$124 -$178 3/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$38 +$28 +$98 +$88 -$88 -$155 -$245 6/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$19 -$4 -$119 +$6 -$110 -$184 -$247 4/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$6 -$62 -$25 -$150 -$119 -$219 -$263 3/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$19 +$20 -$56 +$112 -$271 -$453 -$475 5/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$30 +$22 -$230 -$320 -$355 -$357 -$526 3/12
Hot Families (top 10) -$38 -$160 -$240 -$513 -$575 -$605 -$545 2/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$30 -$91 -$230 -$170 -$543 -$469 -$826 3/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$19 -$24 -$214 -$294 -$831 -$621 -$891 3/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine +$45 +$97 -$5 -$58 -$468 -$619 -$1,014 6/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$36 -$92 -$357 -$681 -$851 -$1,015 -$1,054 1/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$30 -$53 -$305 -$395 -$993 -$619 -$1,164 2/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$30 -$53 -$305 -$395 -$993 -$619 -$1,164 2/12
Hot doubles (top 18) +$158 -$101 -$170 -$458 -$668 -$1,187 -$1,334 5/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$113 -$308 -$818 -$1,988 -$4,838 -$6,998 -$8,003 0/12