Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 8 total plays 0.2 families/draw
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays the #1 multi-factor candidate with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays the #1 multi-factor candidate with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.2 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.06 (0.2 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/12/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0168 | distinct | Hold Draw 4 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 6, Date Harmony, Shield Safe, Overdue (1028 skips, z=+-1.54)) · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 2427) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 500 | 202 | -59.6% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 1 | 1 | 100.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.20% | 0.50% | +0.30% |
| Capital Invested | $125.00 | $67.00 | +$74.50 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | +$62.50 | +$120.50 | +$58.00 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | 50.0% | 179.9% | +129.9% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 month walk-forward)
Evaluated across 35 drawings (2026-08-12 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-292 (-100.0% ROI across 1,167 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$2
-100.0% ROI |
-$17.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$40.25
-100.0% ROI |
-$85.75
-100.0% ROI |
-$177
-100.0% ROI |
-$268.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$291.75
-100.0% ROI |
0 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $46.25 | $0 | -$46.25 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2024 | $91.5 | $0 | -$91.5 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2025 | $91.25 | $0 | -$91.25 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2026 | $62.75 | $0 | -$62.75 | 0 | -100.0% |