Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 2,898 total plays 15.5 families/draw
Walk-forward version of "play the proven winners": every 91 draws, selects the 18 families with the highest trailing-1-year profit and plays them. Tests whether past profit persists.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Tests whether long-term statistical momentum persists over time. Re-ranks all families by cumulative net profit across a multi-year lookback window and plays the top proven profit leaders.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 15.5 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$3.87 (15.5 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/12/2026
Playing 18 families for $4.50 total stake.
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 9,000 | 4,000 | -55.6% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 1 | 1 | 100.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.01% | 0.03% | +0.01% |
| Capital Invested | $2250.00 | $1000.00 | +$1250.00 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$1125.00 | +$125.00 | +$1250.00 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -50.0% | 12.5% | +62.5% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (6 months walk-forward)
Evaluated across 187 drawings (2026-03-13 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-2,251 (-42.9% ROI across 1,167 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$36
-100.0% ROI |
-$315
-100.0% ROI |
-$724.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$1,543.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$1,311
-41.1% ROI |
-$1,833
-37.9% ROI |
-$2,251.5
-42.9% ROI |
0 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $832.5 | $0 | -$832.5 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2024 | $1,647 | $1,125 | -$522 | 1 | -31.7% |
| 2025 | $1,642.5 | $1,875 | +$232.5 | 2 | 14.2% |
| 2026 | $1,129.5 | $0 | -$1,129.5 | 0 | -100.0% |