Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 732 archive drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $93.75 / double $187.50 / two-double $375.00 / triple $562.50 / quadruple $2250.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 0 families every drawing across 732 drawings accumulates 174 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.2 732 174 0 0.00% $43.5 $0 $-43.5 -100.0% $-43.5
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 1.1 732 825 3 0.36% $206.25 $281.25 $75 36.4% $-41.25
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 0.1 732 84 0 0.00% $21 $0 $-21 -100.0% $-21
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.3 732 919 1 0.11% $229.75 $93.75 $-136 -59.2% $-168
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.5 732 1,133 2 0.18% $283.25 $281.25 $-2 -0.7% $-153
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 0.3 732 184 0 0.00% $46 $0 $-46 -100.0% $-46
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 732 680 1 0.15% $170 $93.75 $-76.25 -44.9% $-152
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.8 732 2,040 0 0.00% $510 $0 $-510 -100.0% $-510
Cici's Rules Engine 7.4 732 5,440 14 0.26% $1,360 $2,250 $890 65.4% $-244
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.4 732 5,440 6 0.11% $1,360 $1,031.25 $-328.75 -24.2% $-392.25
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.4 732 5,440 14 0.26% $1,360 $2,343.75 $983.75 72.3% $-244
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.6 732 3,400 11 0.32% $850 $1,875 $1,025 120.6% $-152.5
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 0.9 732 674 6 0.89% $168.5 $750 $581.5 345.1% $-60
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.4 732 5,440 12 0.22% $1,360 $2,062.5 $702.5 51.6% $-244
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 0.9 732 680 0 0.00% $170 $0 $-170 -100.0% $-170
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 0.9 732 680 0 0.00% $170 $0 $-170 -100.0% $-170
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.5 732 340 1 0.29% $85 $187.5 $102.5 120.6% $-53
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.2 732 180 1 0.56% $45 $187.5 $142.5 316.7% $-30.75
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 0.3 732 195 0 0.00% $48.75 $0 $-48.75 -100.0% $-48.75
Hot Families (top 10) 9.3 732 6,800 16 0.24% $1,700 $1,500 $-200 -11.8% $-403.75
Hot doubles (top 18) 16.7 732 12,240 12 0.10% $3,060 $2,250 $-810 -26.5% $-1,062
Pure Matches: Quads (All 10) 9.3 732 6,800 0 0.00% $1,700 $0 $-1,700 -100.0% $-1,700
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.3 732 6,800 10 0.15% $1,700 $1,125 $-575 -33.8% $-663.75
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 16.7 732 12,240 6 0.05% $3,060 $1,500 $-1,560 -51.0% $-1,560
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.3 732 6,800 3 0.04% $1,700 $1,687.5 $-12.5 -0.7% $-600
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.3 732 6,800 3 0.04% $1,700 $562.5 $-1,137.5 -66.9% $-1,145
Calendar Year Top-5 4.6 732 3,400 4 0.12% $850 $375 $-475 -55.9% $-495
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 195.1 732 142,800 308 0.22% $35,700 $28,875 $-6,825 -19.1% $-6,862.5
Window summary. 8 of 28 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) (+345.1% ROI, net +$581.50)
Top Net Dollars: Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) +$1025.00 · Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine +$983.75 · Cici's Rules Engine +$890.00

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$20 +$201 +$493 +$703 +$1,118 +$1,435 +$2,109 8/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$8 -$101 -$237 -$510 -$589 +$644 +$1,495 0/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$13 +$301 +$543 +$1,025 +$1,613 +$1,448 +$1,365 7/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$20 +$201 +$306 +$984 +$1,399 +$1,435 +$1,265 6/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$45 -$228 -$485 -$810 -$720 +$111 +$1,089 3/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$20 +$201 +$306 +$890 +$1,305 +$1,154 +$984 6/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$3 +$248 +$296 +$582 +$399 +$310 +$313 4/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$3 +$60 +$15 -$76 -$259 -$254 +$311 1/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$5 -$57 -$125 -$2 +$185 +$166 +$137 2/12
Hot Families (top 10) -$25 +$40 +$54 -$200 +$319 -$105 +$105 6/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$4 -$45 -$105 -$136 +$107 +$60 +$61 1/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) -$1 -$7 +$169 +$143 +$97 +$50 +$25 1/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$8 +$19 +$38 +$75 -$26 -$26 -$26 3/11
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$1 -$4 -$11 -$21 -$36 -$36 -$36 0/9
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$2 -$16 -$31 -$44 -$64 -$64 -$64 0/11
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$34 -$79 -$170 -$165 -$348 -$65 0/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$2 -$19 -$34 -$46 -$66 -$66 -$66 0/11
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$3 -$20 -$38 -$49 -$70 -$70 -$70 0/11
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) -$1 -$17 +$148 +$103 +$11 -$80 -$126 1/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) -$45 -$416 -$1,047 -$1,560 -$1,376 -$1,670 -$130 2/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$20 -$81 -$163 -$329 -$289 +$216 -$329 5/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$25 -$241 -$603 -$575 -$525 -$480 -$420 2/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$3 -$34 -$79 -$170 -$259 -$442 -$440 0/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$13 +$20 -$208 -$475 -$450 -$709 -$604 4/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) -$25 -$335 +$335 -$13 -$900 -$668 -$645 3/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) -$25 -$148 -$603 -$1,138 -$2,400 -$3,293 -$3,833 3/12
Pure Matches: Quads (All 10) -$25 -$335 -$790 -$1,700 -$1,275 -$3,105 -$4,020 0/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes +$38 -$285 -$2,246 -$6,825 -$10,838 -$15,236 -$18,326 1/12