Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 480 total plays 0.7 families/draw
Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.7 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.18 (0.7 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/07/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 246 | distinct | Hold Draw 9 of 10 | Book followed-by: 552 -> 426 · followed number 038 1/5x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 222) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 382 | 228 | -40.3% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 2 | 1 | 50.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.52% | 0.44% | -0.08% |
| Capital Invested | $95.50 | $76.00 | +$38.50 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$20.50 | -$38.50 | -$18.00 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -21.5% | -50.7% | -29.2% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 679 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-272 (-59.2% ROI across 1,840 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$2.25
-100.0% ROI |
+$51.25
215.8% ROI |
+$18
31.6% ROI |
-$45
-37.5% ROI |
-$64.5
-25.6% ROI |
-$204.75
-52.2% ROI |
-$272.5
-59.2% ROI |
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📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $104 | $0 | -$104 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2024 | $134 | $0 | -$134 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2025 | $132 | $112.5 | -$19.5 | 3 | -14.8% |
| 2026 | $90 | $75 | -$15 | 2 | -16.7% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
2 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 2)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Midday | 360 | 036 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed family 699 3/10x within 10 draws · followed number 106 2/6x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 996) |
| 2026-07-01 | Midday | 106 | 016 | distinct | +$37.50 | Double relative: 610 · followed number 186 1/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 115) |