Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder
Dynamic Walk-Forward 932 total plays 2.9 families/draw
Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 2.9 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.74 (2.9 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Day · 09/10/2026
Every candidate number runs on its own independent hold countdown clock. When a number drops, it exits the ladder immediately to secure profit. If it reaches 10 draws without dropping, the 10-draw cut-off expires the pick to prevent runaway losses.
| Family | Pattern | Hold Draw & Progress Meter | Trigger Origin | Invested | Net if Dropped | Trigger Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0239 | distinct |
Late Stage
2 left
|
#9488
2026-09-08 · Morning |
$2.00 | +$91.75 | followed family 4789 3/11x within 10 draws |
| 0359 | distinct |
Mid Stage
4 left
|
#9851
2026-09-08 · Evening |
$1.50 | +$92.25 | followed family 3569 3/15x within 10 draws |
| 0156 | distinct |
Mid Stage
5 left
|
#0135
2026-09-08 · Night |
$1.25 | +$92.50 | followed family 1589 2/14x within 10 draws · followed family 3569 1/15x within 10 draws |
| 0238 | distinct |
Mid Stage
6 left
|
#9436
2026-09-09 · Morning |
$1.00 | +$92.75 | followed family 0135 2/13x within 10 draws · followed family 1589 1/14x within 10 draws |
| 0017 | double |
Early Stage
7 left
|
#1614
2026-09-09 · Day |
$0.75 | +$186.75 | followed family 3469 2/10x within 10 draws · followed family 0135 1/13x within 10 draws |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Improved but Underperforming: Filtering reduced losses, but underlying signal requires stronger trigger confluence.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 1,928 | 936 | -51.5% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 3 | 2 | 66.7% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.16% | 0.21% | +0.06% |
| Capital Invested | $482.00 | $234.00 | +$248.00 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$107.00 | -$46.50 | +$60.50 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -22.2% | -19.9% | +2.3% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (3 months walk-forward)
Evaluated across 316 drawings (2026-06-10 → 2026-09-09). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-407 (-35.2% ROI across 1,769 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$41
-100.0% ROI |
-$139.25
-59.8% ROI |
-$151.75
-28.8% ROI |
-$138
-15.5% ROI |
-$396.75
-34.6% ROI |
-$406.75
-35.2% ROI |
-$406.75
-35.2% ROI |
4 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2024 | $17.5 | $0 | -$17.5 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2025 | $430.25 | $281.25 | -$149 | 2 | -34.6% |
| 2026 | $709 | $468.75 | -$240.25 | 4 | -33.9% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
1 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 1)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Evening | 8079 | 0789 | distinct | +$93.75 | [Hold Draw 8 of 10] from 2657: followed family 2567 3/15x within 10 draws |