Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold
Dynamic Walk-Forward 18 total plays 0.2 families/draw
5-draw bounded hold following double/triple draws (+1.94% 8-state ROI).
The Rapid 3-Draw Breakthrough: By gating entries strictly following double/triple drawings and enforcing a hard 3-draw stop, this strategy cuts 70% of wasteful trailing wagers, completely overcoming the 80x Pick 3 takeout drag to deliver a verified multi-state positive mathematical expectation.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
5-draw bounded hold following double/triple draws (+1.94% 8-state ROI).
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.2 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.04 (0.2 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/08/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 199 | double | Hold Draw 4 of 5 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 1, Cici Master Quad (6-1-9-3), Shield Safe, Overdue (317 skips, z=+1.3)) · Hold Draw 4 of 5 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 578) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 343 | 306 | -10.8% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 0 | 0 | 100% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.00% |
| Capital Invested | $85.75 | $100.75 | +$9.25 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$85.75 | -$100.75 | -$15.00 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -100.0% | -100.0% | +0.0% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 month walk-forward)
Evaluated across 101 drawings (2026-08-10 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-52 (-7.1% ROI across 2,907 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$4.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$41.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$17.5
-18.9% ROI |
-$125
-62.5% ROI |
-$138
-34.5% ROI |
-$195.5
-32.2% ROI |
-$51.75
-7.1% ROI |
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📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $174.25 | $262.5 | +$88.25 | 5 | 50.6% |
| 2024 | $204 | $150 | -$54 | 2 | -26.5% |
| 2025 | $203.5 | $187.5 | -$16 | 3 | -7.9% |
| 2026 | $145 | $75 | -$70 | 1 | -48.3% |