Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 910 total plays 0.7 families/draw

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.7 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.18 (0.7 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/07/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 9 of 10
⚡ ACTIVE STRIKE (HOLD 9/10) · $0.25 STAKE (VELOCITY ATTACK)
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 9 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ▶ ACTIVE
10 $0.00
Trigger Drawing
#575
Night (2026-09-03)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.25
$0.25/draw × 9 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$35.25
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

056 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
056 distinct Hold Draw 9 of 10 Book followed-by: 446 -> 506 · followed number 975 1/7x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 575)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: REGIME SPECIALIST
Ticket Waste Index: 108.8%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 396 95 -76.0% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 5 1 20.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 1.26% 1.05% -0.21%
Capital Invested $99.00 $31.25 +$75.25 saved
Net Profit / Loss +$88.50 +$6.25 -$82.25 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) 89.4% 20.0% -69.4% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 1,256 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-6 (-0.8% ROI across 3,476 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$110
Return on Investment 48.4%
Hit Rate 0.99%
Max Drawdown -$-62.5
Active Drawings 1,256
Total Plays Placed 910
Total Winning Hits 9
Gross Revenue $337.5
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
10 hits
+$375

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $227.5
Total Payout (Gross) $337.5
Net Profit / Loss +$110
Final Bankroll $610
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-62.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-93.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$4.5
-100.0% ROI
+$64.5
134.4% ROI
+$81.25
76.5% ROI
+$110
48.4% ROI
-$59.5
-12.6% ROI
-$14.25
-2.0% ROI
-$6.5
-0.8% ROI
6 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $210 $225 +$15 6 7.1%
2024 $247 $225 -$22 6 -8.9%
2025 $245.75 $187.5 -$58.25 5 -23.7%
2026 $166.25 $225 +$58.75 6 35.3%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $-22
25-11 $94
25-12 $-21
26-01 $-19
26-02 $-19
26-03 $15
26-04 $-19
26-05 $18
26-06 $18
26-07 $53
26-08 $17
26-09 $-5

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

10 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 6.6
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
10.0%
1 of 10 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 5
2 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 2 1 drops (10.0%)
Draw 3 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 4 1 drops (10.0%)
Draw 5 ★ 2 drops (20.0%)
Draw 6 1 drops (10.0%)
Draw 7 1 drops (10.0%)
Draw 8 1 drops (10.0%)
Draw 9 1 drops (10.0%)
Draw 10 2 drops (20.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

345 2 hits 028 1 hits 037 1 hits 046 1 hits 137 1 hits 146 1 hits 238 1 hits 279 1 hits 458 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 10)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-08-01 Evening 461 146 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 255 -> 416 · followed family 479 3/22x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 255)
2026-07-18 Evening 328 238 distinct +$37.50 followed family 003 2/11x within 10 draws · Double relative: 832 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 003)
2026-07-02 Day 307 037 distinct +$37.50 followed number 226 1/6x within 10 draws · followed family 226 1/13x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 226)
2026-06-12 Evening 280 028 distinct +$37.50 followed number 717 3/7x within 10 draws · followed family 177 3/14x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 717)
2026-05-26 Evening 548 458 distinct +$37.50 followed number 171 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 117 3/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 171)
2026-03-04 Evening 137 137 distinct +$37.50 followed number 212 3/5x within 10 draws · followed family 122 3/15x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 212)
2025-11-18 Day 460 046 distinct +$37.50 followed family 002 1/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 002 -> 406 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 002)
2025-11-14 Evening 354 345 distinct +$37.50 followed number 006 1/4x within 10 draws · followed family 006 3/16x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 006)
2025-11-04 Day 345 345 distinct +$37.50 followed family 688 1/12x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 868 -> 435 · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 868)
2025-09-05 Morning 729 279 distinct +$37.50 followed number 003 2/4x within 10 draws · followed family 003 3/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 003)