Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 18 total plays 0.3 families/draw
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays the #1 multi-factor candidate with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays the #1 multi-factor candidate with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.3 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.07 (0.3 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/10/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0889 | double | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (6/5 votes, ★★★★★★, 2.75x boost · Follower, Root 7, Cici Pair + Date Root, Shield Safe, Overdue (314 skips, z=+-0.13), ⚡ Echo Pair (8913)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 6919) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 500 | 118 | -76.4% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 2 | 1 | 50.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.40% | 0.85% | +0.45% |
| Capital Invested | $125.00 | $39.25 | +$95.50 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | +$62.50 | +$54.50 | -$8.00 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | 50.0% | 138.9% | +88.9% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 month walk-forward)
Evaluated across 61 drawings (2026-08-10 → 2026-09-09). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$215 (34.1% ROI across 2,516 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$4.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$35.5
-100.0% ROI |
+$106.5
131.5% ROI |
+$203
118.0% ROI |
+$114.25
32.2% ROI |
+$118.75
22.1% ROI |
+$214.75
34.1% ROI |
2 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $137.5 | $187.5 | +$50 | 1 | 36.4% |
| 2024 | $183 | $281.25 | +$98.25 | 2 | 53.7% |
| 2025 | $182.5 | $0 | -$182.5 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2026 | $126 | $375 | +$249 | 2 | 197.6% |