Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 2,055 total plays 2.8 families/draw
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays top 3 multi-factor candidates with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays top 3 multi-factor candidates with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 2.8 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.70 (2.8 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/09/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5556 | triple | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Cici Pair + Date Root, Shield Safe, Overdue (1845 skips, z=+0.39), ⚡ Mirror Echo (8038)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 7027) |
| 2555 | triple | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Root 8, Cici Master Quad (2-7-5-9), Shield Safe, Overdue (999 skips, z=+1.94), ⚡ Mirror Echo (8038)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 7027) |
| 5588 | double/double | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Root 8, Cici Pair + Date Root, Shield Safe, Overdue (999 skips, z=+1.94), ⚡ Mirror Echo (8038)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 7027) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 1,500 | 189 | -87.4% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 3 | 1 | 33.3% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.20% | 0.53% | +0.33% |
| Capital Invested | $375.00 | $63.00 | +$327.75 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | +$93.75 | +$312.00 | +$218.25 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | 25.0% | 495.2% | +470.2% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 731 drawings (2025-09-08 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-103 (-5.5% ROI across 2,513 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$11.25
-100.0% ROI |
-$104.25
-100.0% ROI |
-$53.25
-22.1% ROI |
+$142.5
27.7% ROI |
-$30
-2.8% ROI |
-$110.25
-6.8% ROI |
-$103.5
-5.5% ROI |
3 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $412.5 | $375 | -$37.5 | 3 | -9.1% |
| 2024 | $549 | $468.75 | -$80.25 | 4 | -14.6% |
| 2025 | $547.5 | $656.25 | +$108.75 | 4 | 19.9% |
| 2026 | $375.75 | $281.25 | -$94.5 | 2 | -25.1% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
4 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 4)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Midday | 0434 | 0344 | double 2x Double | +$187.50 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Cici Pair, Shield Safe, Overdue (179 skips, z=+-0.27), ⚡ Echo Pair (1440)) · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 1440) |
| 2026-03-01 | Midday | 5096 | 0569 | distinct | +$93.75 | Adaptive Confluence (6/5 votes, ★★★★★★, 2.75x boost · Follower, Root 2, Cici Pair, Shield Safe, Overdue (971 skips, z=+-1.55), ⚡ Echo Pair (6450)) · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 6450) |
| 2025-10-15 | Midday | 6377 | 3677 | double 2x Double | +$187.50 | Adaptive Confluence (6/5 votes, ★★★★★★, 2.75x boost · Follower, Root 5, Date Harmony, Shield Safe, Overdue (715 skips, z=+0.5), ⚡ Mirror Echo (0802)) · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 0802) |
| 2025-10-11 | Midday | 0802 | 0028 | double 2x Double | +$187.50 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Cici Pair + Date Root, Shield Safe, Overdue (1170 skips, z=+0.5), ⚡ Echo Pair (8039)) · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 8039) |