Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,019 total plays 0.9 families/draw

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a hit occurs to lock in net profit (+14.8% All-Time ROI, #1 Champion).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a hit occurs to lock in net profit (+14.8% All-Time ROI, #1 Champion).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/06/2026

⚡ ACTIVE CHASE CYCLE Draw 10 of 10
⚠️ FINAL DRAW ATTEMPT (Step 10/10)
Chase Cycle Progress Rail 10 / 10 Steps Completed or Active
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 ▶ ACTIVE
Trigger Drawing
#318
Night (2026-09-02)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Hit Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on hit
Net Profit if Hit Now
+$35.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this chase cycle:

367 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
367 distinct Draw 10 of 10 followed number 087 1/11x within 10 draws · followed family 078 5/68x within 10 draws · Chase Step 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 318)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 1,098 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$511 (14.8% ROI across 13,856 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$7.75
Return on Investment 3.0%
Hit Rate 0.69%
Max Drawdown -$-54.75
Active Drawings 1,098
Total Plays Placed 1,019
Total Winning Hits 7
Gross Revenue $262.5
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
8 hits
+$300

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $254.75
Total Payout (Gross) $262.5
Net Profit / Loss +$7.75
Final Bankroll $507.75
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-54.75. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-82.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$3.5
-100.0% ROI
-$50
-100.0% ROI
+$31.75
26.8% ROI
+$7.75
3.0% ROI
+$71.5
13.5% ROI
+$59.5
7.4% ROI
+$511
14.8% ROI
5 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2010 $86 $75 -$11 2 -12.8%
2011 $180.75 $75 -$105.75 2 -58.5%
2012 $181.75 $150 -$31.75 4 -17.5%
2013 $182.25 $75 -$107.25 2 -58.8%
2014 $182.5 $75 -$107.5 2 -58.9%
2015 $182 $262.5 +$80.5 6 44.2%
2016 $183 $150 -$33 4 -18.0%
2017 $182.5 $225 +$42.5 6 23.3%
2018 $182.5 $487.5 +$305 11 167.1%
2019 $182.5 $300 +$117.5 8 64.4%
2020 $183 $225 +$42 6 23.0%
2021 $273.75 $450 +$176.25 11 64.4%
2022 $273.75 $375 +$101.25 10 37.0%
2023 $273.75 $375 +$101.25 10 37.0%
2024 $274.5 $112.5 -$162 3 -59.0%
2025 $273.75 $337.5 +$63.75 8 23.3%
2026 $185.75 $225 +$39.25 6 21.1%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $-23
25-11 $15
25-12 $-23
26-01 $-23
26-02 $17
26-03 $14
26-04 $-23
26-05 $89
26-06 $15
26-07 $-23
26-08 $-23
26-09 $-4

🎯 Historical chase hit distribution (Which draw do hits land on?)

8 Documented Hits in Backtest

Distribution of winning hits across the 10-draw chase window. Shorter chases lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Hit
Draw 4.9
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
50.0%
4 of 8 hits
Peak Hit Draw
Draw 2
2 hits landed here
Stop-on-Hit Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon hit
Draw 1 1 hits (12.5%)
Draw 2 ★ 2 hits (25.0%)
Draw 3 1 hits (12.5%)
Draw 4 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 5 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 6 1 hits (12.5%)
Draw 7 1 hits (12.5%)
Draw 8 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 9 2 hits (25.0%)
Draw 10 0 hits (0.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-hit chasing, every draw a number takes to hit costs an additional $0.25 per family. Hits landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches Draw 10 without hitting, the cycle expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

027 1 hits 079 1 hits 145 1 hits 236 1 hits 237 1 hits 247 1 hits 258 1 hits 379 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 8)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-06-05 Midday 541 145 distinct +$37.50 followed number 279 2/14x within 10 draws · followed family 279 9/92x within 10 draws · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 279)
2026-05-25 Midday 362 236 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 732 -> 632 · followed family 258 8/80x within 10 draws · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 732)
2026-05-21 Midday 970 079 distinct +$37.50 followed family 027 5/72x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 720 -> 079 · Chase Step 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 720)
2026-05-18 Midday 720 027 distinct +$37.50 followed number 999 2/12x within 10 draws · followed family 999 2/12x within 10 draws · Chase Step 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 999)
2026-03-20 Evening 973 379 distinct +$37.50 followed number 284 2/17x within 10 draws · followed family 248 6/93x within 10 draws · Chase Step 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 284)
2026-02-05 Evening 732 237 distinct +$37.50 followed number 368 1/10x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 368 -> 372 · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 368)
2025-11-16 Night 528 258 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 457 -> 528 · followed number 282 2/13x within 10 draws · Chase Step 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 457)
2025-09-14 Midday 472 247 distinct +$37.50 followed number 018 2/12x within 10 draws · followed family 018 6/72x within 10 draws · Chase Step 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 018)