Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Chase (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 803 total plays 0.7 families/draw

Targeted chase: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws, avoiding dry spells (+59.6% 1Y ROI, MaxDD -$36.00).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Targeted chase: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws, avoiding dry spells (+59.6% 1Y ROI, MaxDD -$36.00).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.7 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.18 (0.7 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/06/2026

⚡ ACTIVE CHASE CYCLE Draw 2 of 10
8 draws remaining in cycle
Chase Cycle Progress Rail 2 / 10 Steps Completed or Active
1 ✓ Past
2 ▶ ACTIVE
3 Step 3
4 Step 4
5 Step 5
6 Step 6
7 Step 7
8 Step 8
9 Step 9
10 Step 10
Trigger Drawing
#577
Evening (2026-09-05)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$0.50
$0.25/draw × 2 draws
Payout if Hit Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on hit
Net Profit if Hit Now
+$37.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this chase cycle:

036 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
036 distinct Draw 2 of 10 Book followed-by: 323 -> 603 · followed number 472 1/16x within 10 draws · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 577)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 1,098 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-24 (-0.9% ROI across 10,896 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$99.25
Return on Investment 49.4%
Hit Rate 1.00%
Max Drawdown -$-71
Active Drawings 1,098
Total Plays Placed 803
Total Winning Hits 8
Gross Revenue $300
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
8 hits
+$300

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $200.75
Total Payout (Gross) $300
Net Profit / Loss +$99.25
Final Bankroll $599.25
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-71.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-106.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$2.75
-100.0% ROI
-$5.5
-12.8% ROI
+$54.5
57.1% ROI
+$99.25
49.4% ROI
-$41.5
-10.0% ROI
+$50.5
8.1% ROI
-$24
-0.9% ROI
5 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2010 $68 $75 +$7 2 10.3%
2011 $140 $187.5 +$47.5 5 33.9%
2012 $149.75 $187.5 +$37.75 5 25.2%
2013 $148.25 $150 +$1.75 3 1.2%
2014 $151.25 $112.5 -$38.75 3 -25.6%
2015 $143.75 $187.5 +$43.75 5 30.4%
2016 $141.75 $112.5 -$29.25 3 -20.6%
2017 $131.75 $75 -$56.75 2 -43.1%
2018 $149.25 $75 -$74.25 2 -49.7%
2019 $142 $225 +$83 6 58.5%
2020 $142.5 $75 -$67.5 2 -47.4%
2021 $215.5 $187.5 -$28 5 -13.0%
2022 $215.5 $262.5 +$47 7 21.8%
2023 $210.25 $262.5 +$52.25 7 24.9%
2024 $215 $150 -$65 4 -30.2%
2025 $212 $225 +$13 6 6.1%
2026 $147.5 $150 +$2.5 4 1.7%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $60
25-11 $18
25-12 $19
26-01 $-19
26-02 $-14
26-03 $-19
26-04 $-19
26-05 $96
26-06 $-17
26-07 $-19
26-08 $17
26-09 $-3

🎯 Historical chase hit distribution (Which draw do hits land on?)

8 Documented Hits in Backtest

Distribution of winning hits across the 10-draw chase window. Shorter chases lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Hit
Draw 5.3
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
12.5%
1 of 8 hits
Peak Hit Draw
Draw 5
3 hits landed here
Stop-on-Hit Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon hit
Draw 1 1 hits (12.5%)
Draw 2 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 3 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 4 1 hits (12.5%)
Draw 5 ★ 3 hits (37.5%)
Draw 6 2 hits (25.0%)
Draw 7 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 8 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 9 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 10 1 hits (12.5%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-hit chasing, every draw a number takes to hit costs an additional $0.25 per family. Hits landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches Draw 10 without hitting, the cycle expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

089 2 hits 018 1 hits 027 1 hits 048 1 hits 236 1 hits 369 1 hits 689 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 8)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-08-31 Night 968 689 distinct +$37.50 followed number 223 2/16x within 10 draws · followed family 223 3/47x within 10 draws · Chase Step 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 223)
2026-05-25 Night 480 048 distinct +$37.50 followed number 787 1/14x within 10 draws · followed family 778 3/42x within 10 draws · Chase Step 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 787)
2026-05-21 Night 693 369 distinct +$37.50 followed number 101 1/13x within 10 draws · followed family 011 2/32x within 10 draws · Chase Step 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 101)
2026-05-18 Midday 720 027 distinct +$37.50 followed number 999 2/12x within 10 draws · followed family 999 2/12x within 10 draws · Chase Step 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 999)
2025-12-05 Night 980 089 distinct +$37.50 followed number 313 3/12x within 10 draws · followed family 133 7/47x within 10 draws · Chase Step 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 313)
2025-11-25 Night 180 018 distinct +$37.50 followed number 744 1/19x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 744 -> 180 · Chase Step 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 744)
2025-10-05 Midday 890 089 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 774 -> 980 · followed number 632 1/18x within 10 draws · Chase Step 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 774)
2025-10-04 Evening 632 236 distinct +$37.50 followed number 633 1/8x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 633 -> 362 · Chase Step 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 633)