Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Chase (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,019 total plays 0.9 families/draw

Mean-reversion chase: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Mean-reversion chase: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/06/2026

⚡ ACTIVE CHASE CYCLE Draw 10 of 10
⚠️ FINAL DRAW ATTEMPT (Step 10/10)
Chase Cycle Progress Rail 10 / 10 Steps Completed or Active
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 ▶ ACTIVE
Trigger Drawing
#318
Night (2026-09-02)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Hit Now
$75.00 (Double Prize)
Stops immediately on hit
Net Profit if Hit Now
+$72.50
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this chase cycle:

225 double
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
225 double Draw 10 of 10 5: look for 7; sets 7&5, 5&2, 7&0, 7&1 (from 563 Midday 2026-09-02) · 36 brings a double (from 563 Midday 2026-09-02) — doubles favored [RB9 Root 9 Aligned] · Chase Step 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 318)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 1,098 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$136 (3.9% ROI across 13,856 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$104.75
Return on Investment -41.1%
Hit Rate 0.20%
Max Drawdown -$-209
Active Drawings 1,098
Total Plays Placed 1,019
Total Winning Hits 2
Gross Revenue $150
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
double 2x Double ($75.00)
2 hits
+$150

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $254.75
Total Payout (Gross) $150
Net Profit / Loss -$104.75
Final Bankroll $395.25
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-209.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-313.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$3.5
-100.0% ROI
-$50
-100.0% ROI
-$118.25
-100.0% ROI
-$104.75
-41.1% ROI
+$34
6.4% ROI
+$59.5
7.4% ROI
+$136
3.9% ROI
2 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2010 $86 $0 -$86 0 -100.0%
2011 $180.75 $187.5 +$6.75 3 3.7%
2012 $181.75 $75 -$106.75 2 -58.7%
2013 $182.25 $300 +$117.75 5 64.6%
2014 $182.5 $37.5 -$145 1 -79.5%
2015 $182 $37.5 -$144.5 1 -79.4%
2016 $183 $150 -$33 3 -18.0%
2017 $182.5 $187.5 +$5 5 2.7%
2018 $182.5 $225 +$42.5 5 23.3%
2019 $182.5 $75 -$107.5 1 -58.9%
2020 $183 $337.5 +$154.5 6 84.4%
2021 $273.75 $487.5 +$213.75 10 78.1%
2022 $273.75 $412.5 +$138.75 8 50.7%
2023 $273.75 $225 -$48.75 6 -17.8%
2024 $274.5 $375 +$100.5 8 36.6%
2025 $273.75 $487.5 +$213.75 9 78.1%
2026 $185.75 $0 -$185.75 0 -100.0%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $52
25-11 $53
25-12 $-23
26-01 $-23
26-02 $-21
26-03 $-23
26-04 $-23
26-05 $-23
26-06 $-23
26-07 $-23
26-08 $-23
26-09 $-4

🎯 Historical chase hit distribution (Which draw do hits land on?)

2 Documented Hits in Backtest

Distribution of winning hits across the 10-draw chase window. Shorter chases lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Hit
Draw 4.5
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
50.0%
1 of 2 hits
Peak Hit Draw
Draw 2
1 hits landed here
Stop-on-Hit Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon hit
Draw 1 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 2 ★ 1 hits (50.0%)
Draw 3 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 4 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 5 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 6 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 7 1 hits (50.0%)
Draw 8 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 9 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 10 0 hits (0.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-hit chasing, every draw a number takes to hit costs an additional $0.25 per family. Hits landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches Draw 10 without hitting, the cycle expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

277 1 hits 778 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 2)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2025-11-26 Midday 277 277 double 2x Double +$75.00 7 pairs frequently with 5, 2, 0, 1 (from 378 Midday 2025-11-25) · after 59: watch for two '2' digits (e.g. 229) or double XX9 with 9 (from 519 Night 2025-11-24) [RB9 Root 7 Aligned] · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 939)
2025-10-03 Midday 778 778 double 2x Double +$75.00 09: look for 78 or 38 pair (from 390 Night 2025-09-30) · 58: look for 78 and/or 30 pair (from 185 Evening 2025-09-30) [RB9 Root 4 Aligned] · Chase Step 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 390)