Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 314 total plays 0.9 families/draw

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a hit occurs to lock in net profit.

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a hit occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.21 (0.9 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/06/2026

⚡ ACTIVE CHASE CYCLE Draw 10 of 10
⚠️ FINAL DRAW ATTEMPT (Step 10/10)
Chase Cycle Progress Rail 10 / 10 Steps Completed or Active
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 ▶ ACTIVE
Trigger Drawing
#302
Midday (2026-09-01)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Hit Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on hit
Net Profit if Hit Now
+$35.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this chase cycle:

079 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
079 distinct Draw 10 of 10 Book followed-by: 596 -> 709 · followed family 049 2/17x within 10 draws · Chase Step 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 302)

📊 Key performance metrics (6 months walk-forward)

⚡ Recent Form Window

Evaluated across 366 drawings (2026-03-07 → 2026-09-04). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-62 (-10.0% ROI across 2,500 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$3.5
Return on Investment -4.5%
Hit Rate 0.64%
Max Drawdown -$-33
Active Drawings 366
Total Plays Placed 314
Total Winning Hits 2
Gross Revenue $75
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
3 hits
+$112.5

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $78.5
Total Payout (Gross) $75
Net Profit / Loss -$3.5
Final Bankroll $496.5
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-33.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-49.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$2
-100.0% ROI
-$33
-100.0% ROI
-$3.5
-4.5% ROI
+$18.5
10.9% ROI
-$13.5
-3.8% ROI
-$121
-22.7% ROI
-$62.5
-10.0% ROI
4 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $137 $187.5 +$50.5 5 36.9%
2024 $182.5 $37.5 -$145 1 -79.5%
2025 $182 $225 +$43 5 23.6%
2026 $123.5 $112.5 -$11 3 -8.9%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

26-04 $23
26-05 $-16
26-06 $23
26-07 $-16
26-08 $-16
26-09 $-2

🎯 Historical chase hit distribution (Which draw do hits land on?)

3 Documented Hits in Backtest

Distribution of winning hits across the 10-draw chase window. Shorter chases lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Hit
Draw 3.0
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
66.7%
2 of 3 hits
Peak Hit Draw
Draw 2
1 hits landed here
Stop-on-Hit Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon hit
Draw 1 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 2 ★ 1 hits (33.3%)
Draw 3 1 hits (33.3%)
Draw 4 1 hits (33.3%)
Draw 5 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 6 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 7 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 8 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 9 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 10 0 hits (0.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-hit chasing, every draw a number takes to hit costs an additional $0.25 per family. Hits landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches Draw 10 without hitting, the cycle expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

239 1 hits 249 1 hits 568 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 3)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-06-03 Evening 932 239 distinct +$37.50 followed family 013 1/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 310 -> 932 · Chase Step 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 310)
2026-04-22 Evening 865 568 distinct +$37.50 followed number 963 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 369 2/13x within 10 draws · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 963)
2026-03-07 Evening 429 249 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 268 -> 294 · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 268)