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⏱️ Next: Evening (09/06/2026) calculating... 🟢 Bets Open
🔥 WIN WIRE
Maryland MD Pick 3: Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) hit 964 (+$38)!

Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder

Dynamic Walk-Forward 22,455 total plays 8.4 families/draw

Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m
Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 8.4 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.09 (8.4 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/06/2026

🪜 ROLLING HOLD LADDER 5 Active Numbers on Ladder
Staggered 10-Draw Individual Clocks

Every candidate number runs on its own independent hold countdown clock. When a number drops, it exits the ladder immediately to secure profit. If it reaches 10 draws without dropping, the 10-draw cut-off expires the pick to prevent runaway losses.

Family Pattern Hold Draw & Progress Meter Trigger Origin Invested Net if Dropped Trigger Rationale
079 distinct
Hold Draw 10/10
Final Draw 0 left
#302
2026-09-01 · Midday 		$2.50 +$35.00 Book followed-by: 596 -> 709 · followed family 049 2/17x within 10 draws
578 distinct
Hold Draw 9/10
Late Stage 1 left
#947
2026-09-01 · Evening 		$2.25 +$35.25 followed family 023 2/17x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 302 -> 578
166 double
Hold Draw 7/10
Mid Stage 3 left
#710
2026-09-02 · Evening 		$1.75 +$73.25 followed family 089 1/16x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 809 -> 616
249 distinct
Hold Draw 6/10
Mid Stage 4 left
#879
2026-09-03 · Midday 		$1.50 +$36.00 Book followed-by: 710 -> 942 · followed family 089 1/16x within 10 draws
489 distinct
Hold Draw 1/10
Early Stage 9 left
#990
2026-09-05 · Evening 		$0.25 +$37.25 Book followed-by: 778 -> 894 · followed family 058 1/15x within 10 draws
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: CONVEYOR BELT
Ticket Waste Index: 78.3%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 4,486 1,000 -77.7% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 34 6 17.6% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.76% 0.60% -0.16%
Capital Invested $1121.50 $250.00 +$871.50 saved
Net Profit / Loss +$191.00 -$25.00 -$216.00 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) 17.0% -10.0% -27.0% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (5 years walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window

Evaluated across 2,682 drawings (2023-01-01 → 2026-09-05). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-251 (-4.5% ROI across 2,502 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$251.25
Return on Investment -4.5%
Hit Rate 0.61%
Max Drawdown -$-551.5
Active Drawings 2,682
Total Plays Placed 22,455
Total Winning Hits 136
Gross Revenue $5,362.5
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
129 hits
+$4,837.5
double 2x Double ($75.00)
7 hits
+$525

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $5,613.75
Total Payout (Gross) $5,362.5
Net Profit / Loss -$251.25
Final Bankroll $248.75
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-551.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-827.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
+$55.25
279.7% ROI 		-$7
-2.3% ROI 		+$76.5
10.8% ROI 		+$81
5.3% ROI 		+$149.5
4.7% ROI 		-$292
-6.1% ROI 		-$251.25
-4.5% ROI 		6 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $1,225.75 $1,200 -$25.75 31 -2.1%
2024 $1,637 $1,387.5 -$249.5 34 -15.2%
2025 $1,639.75 $1,462.5 -$177.25 37 -10.8%
2026 $1,111.25 $1,312.5 +$201.25 34 18.1%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

23-04 $-56
23-05 $1
23-06 $53
23-07 $-102
23-08 $172
23-09 $-28
23-10 $-69
23-11 $58
23-12 $-56
24-01 $-69
24-02 $-101
24-03 $-17
24-04 $18
24-05 $-66
24-06 $57
24-07 $-98
24-08 $43
24-09 $-142
24-10 $11
24-11 $106
24-12 $8
25-01 $83
25-02 $-18
25-03 $45
25-04 $-95
25-05 $-59
25-06 $-19
25-07 $-23
25-08 $80
25-09 $-51
25-10 $-33
25-11 $-66
25-12 $-22
26-01 $-31
26-02 $145
26-03 $11
26-04 $56
26-05 $-64
26-06 $92
26-07 $6
26-08 $-68
26-09 $55

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

136 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 5.0
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
37.5%
51 of 136 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 3
18 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 16 drops (11.8%)
Draw 2 17 drops (12.5%)
Draw 3 ★ 18 drops (13.2%)
Draw 4 17 drops (12.5%)
Draw 5 12 drops (8.8%)
Draw 6 10 drops (7.4%)
Draw 7 10 drops (7.4%)
Draw 8 13 drops (9.6%)
Draw 9 14 drops (10.3%)
Draw 10 9 drops (6.6%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

037 4 hits 046 4 hits 239 4 hits 036 3 hits 125 3 hits 167 3 hits 247 3 hits 467 3 hits 469 3 hits 013 2 hits 017 2 hits 018 2 hits 023 2 hits 047 2 hits 048 2 hits 056 2 hits 067 2 hits 068 2 hits 069 2 hits 078 2 hits 089 2 hits 139 2 hits 148 2 hits 157 2 hits 234 2 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 25)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-09-04 Evening 805 058 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 879: followed family 789 1/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 879 -> 805
2026-09-02 Evening 710 017 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 9 of 10] from 116: Double relative: 107 · followed number 683 1/3x within 10 draws
2026-08-31 Midday 490 049 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 8 of 10] from 794: followed family 479 2/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 794 -> 940
2026-08-24 Evening 148 148 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 8 of 10] from 695: followed family 569 4/14x within 10 draws · followed number 194 1/3x within 10 draws
2026-07-23 Midday 549 459 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 155: Book followed-by: 155 -> 549
2026-07-20 Midday 433 334 double 2x Double +$75.00 [Hold Draw 5 of 10] from 975: followed family 579 2/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 975 -> 334
2026-07-13 Midday 825 258 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 725: Book followed-by: 725 -> 852 · followed family 069 2/11x within 10 draws
2026-06-24 Evening 982 289 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 1 of 10] from 487: Book followed-by: 487 -> 829
2026-06-23 Evening 320 023 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 646: Book followed-by: 646 -> 032
2026-06-13 Evening 937 379 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 9 of 10] from 839: followed family 389 2/18x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 839 -> 379
2026-06-12 Evening 482 248 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 5 of 10] from 792: followed family 279 2/17x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 792 -> 284
2026-06-05 Evening 492 249 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 1 of 10] from 447: followed number 447 2/8x within 10 draws · followed family 447 3/13x within 10 draws
2026-06-03 Evening 932 239 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 310: followed family 013 1/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 310 -> 932
2026-05-29 Midday 407 047 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 9 of 10] from 096: followed family 069 3/10x within 10 draws · followed number 814 1/3x within 10 draws
2026-05-19 Evening 307 037 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 1 of 10] from 602: Book followed-by: 602 -> 307
2026-04-25 Evening 087 078 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 2 of 10] from 943: followed number 943 1/6x within 10 draws · followed family 349 2/19x within 10 draws
2026-04-22 Evening 865 568 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 2 of 10] from 963: followed number 963 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 369 2/13x within 10 draws
2026-04-18 Evening 194 149 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 264: Book followed-by: 264 -> 194 · followed family 079 1/10x within 10 draws
2026-04-05 Midday 697 679 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 1 of 10] from 851: Book followed-by: 851 -> 796 · followed number 530 1/3x within 10 draws
2026-04-02 Midday 267 267 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 9 of 10] from 723: Book followed-by: 723 -> 726
2026-03-28 Midday 295 259 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 822: Book followed-by: 822 -> 925
2026-03-07 Evening 429 249 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 268: Book followed-by: 268 -> 294
2026-03-04 Evening 854 458 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 8 of 10] from 683: followed family 368 1/11x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 458
2026-03-02 Evening 536 356 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 10 of 10] from 489: Book followed-by: 489 -> 635
2026-02-28 Midday 176 167 distinct +$37.50 [Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 313: Book followed-by: 313 -> 716