Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,021 total plays 0.9 families/draw
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays the #1 multi-factor candidate with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays the #1 multi-factor candidate with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/06/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 006 | double | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 6, Date Harmony, Shield Safe, LLN Deficit) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 215) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 500 | 103 | -79.4% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 3 | 1 | 33.3% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.60% | 0.97% | +0.37% |
| Capital Invested | $125.00 | $34.75 | +$99.25 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | +$100.00 | +$115.25 | +$15.25 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | 80.0% | 331.7% | +251.7% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 1,096 drawings (2025-09-06 → 2026-09-06). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$98 (2.8% ROI across 13,858 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$4
-100.0% ROI |
+$24.5
48.5% ROI |
+$106.25
89.5% ROI |
+$269.75
105.7% ROI |
+$296
56.0% ROI |
+$171.5
21.3% ROI |
+$98
2.8% ROI |
5 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $86 | $37.5 | -$48.5 | 1 | -56.4% |
| 2011 | $180.75 | $37.5 | -$143.25 | 1 | -79.3% |
| 2012 | $181.75 | $150 | -$31.75 | 2 | -17.5% |
| 2013 | $182.25 | $450 | +$267.75 | 6 | 146.9% |
| 2014 | $182.5 | $75 | -$107.5 | 2 | -58.9% |
| 2015 | $182 | $412.5 | +$230.5 | 4 | 126.6% |
| 2016 | $183 | $0 | -$183 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2017 | $182.5 | $150 | -$32.5 | 2 | -17.8% |
| 2018 | $182.5 | $0 | -$182.5 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2019 | $182.5 | $75 | -$107.5 | 1 | -58.9% |
| 2020 | $183 | $75 | -$108 | 1 | -59.0% |
| 2021 | $273.75 | $300 | +$26.25 | 4 | 9.6% |
| 2022 | $273.75 | $375 | +$101.25 | 5 | 37.0% |
| 2023 | $273.75 | $525 | +$251.25 | 7 | 91.8% |
| 2024 | $274.5 | $75 | -$199.5 | 1 | -72.7% |
| 2025 | $273.75 | $300 | +$26.25 | 4 | 9.6% |
| 2026 | $186.25 | $525 | +$338.75 | 7 | 181.9% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
7 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 7)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | Midday | 988 | 889 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 7, Shield Safe, LLN Deficit, ⚡ Echo Pair (818)) · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 372) |
| 2026-06-14 | Night | 131 | 113 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 5, Date Harmony, Shield Safe, LLN Deficit) · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 234) |
| 2026-04-28 | Midday | 101 | 011 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | Adaptive Confluence (4/5 votes, ★★★★☆, 2.05x boost · Follower, Root 2, Shield Safe, LLN Deficit) · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 097) |
| 2026-03-27 | Night | 992 | 299 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 2, Date Harmony, Shield Safe, LLN Deficit) · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 331) |
| 2026-03-16 | Midday | 909 | 099 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | Adaptive Confluence (6/5 votes, ★★★★★★, 2.75x boost · Follower, Root 9, Date Harmony, Shield Safe, LLN Deficit, ⚡ Echo Pair (199)) · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 487) |
| 2026-03-12 | Midday | 991 | 199 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | Adaptive Confluence (6/5 votes, ★★★★★★, 2.75x boost · Follower, Root 1, Date Harmony, Shield Safe, LLN Deficit, ⚡ Echo Pair (975)) · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 630) |
| 2026-01-09 | Evening | 002 | 002 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | Adaptive Confluence (6/5 votes, ★★★★★★, 2.75x boost · Follower, Root 2, Date Harmony, Shield Safe, LLN Deficit, ⚡ Echo Pair (280)) · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 076) |