Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 340 total plays 0.9 families/draw
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays the #1 multi-factor candidate with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays the #1 multi-factor candidate with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Night · 09/06/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 557 | double | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 8, Cici Master Quad (2-7-5-9), Shield Safe, Overdue (165 skips, z=+3.11)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 672) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 500 | 227 | -54.6% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 1 | 1 | 100.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.20% | 0.44% | +0.24% |
| Capital Invested | $125.00 | $76.00 | +$68.25 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$50.00 | +$74.00 | +$124.00 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -40.0% | 97.4% | +137.4% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 365 drawings (2025-09-06 → 2026-09-06). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$7 (1.3% ROI across 2,074 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$1.25
-100.0% ROI |
-$16.75
-100.0% ROI |
+$35.5
89.9% ROI |
+$65
76.5% ROI |
+$123.75
70.2% ROI |
+$32.25
12.0% ROI |
+$6.5
1.3% ROI |
2 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2011 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2012 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2013 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2014 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2015 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2016 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2017 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2018 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2019 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2020 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2021 | $91.25 | $0 | -$91.25 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2022 | $91.25 | $75 | -$16.25 | 1 | -17.8% |
| 2023 | $91.25 | $150 | +$58.75 | 2 | 64.4% |
| 2024 | $91.5 | $0 | -$91.5 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2025 | $91.25 | $150 | +$58.75 | 2 | 64.4% |
| 2026 | $62 | $150 | +$88 | 2 | 141.9% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
2 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 2)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Night | 131 | 113 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 5, Date Harmony, Shield Safe, LLN Deficit) · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 234) |
| 2026-03-27 | Night | 992 | 299 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 2, Date Harmony, Shield Safe, LLN Deficit) · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 331) |