Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,802 total plays 1.0 families/draw

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws, avoiding dry spells (+59.6% 1Y ROI, MaxDD -$36.00).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws, avoiding dry spells (+59.6% 1Y ROI, MaxDD -$36.00).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 1.0 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.25 (1.0 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/07/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 5 of 10
⚡ ACTIVE STRIKE (HOLD 5/10) · $0.25 STAKE (VELOCITY ATTACK)
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 5 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ▶ ACTIVE
6 $0.25
7 $0.25
8 $0.25
9 $0.25
10 $0.00
Trigger Drawing
#577
Evening (2026-09-05)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$1.25
$0.25/draw × 5 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$36.25
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

036 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
036 distinct Hold Draw 5 of 10 Book followed-by: 323 -> 603 · followed number 472 1/16x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 577)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: B Archetype: REGIME SPECIALIST
Ticket Waste Index: 103.7%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Moderate Efficiency: Breakeven equilibrium; capital preserved with reduced downside exposure.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 403 115 -71.5% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 4 1 25.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.99% 0.87% -0.12%
Capital Invested $100.75 $38.25 +$72.00 saved
Net Profit / Loss +$49.25 -$0.75 -$50.00 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) 48.9% -2.0% -50.8% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (5 years walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window Night Slot Only

Evaluated across 1,828 drawings (2021-09-05 → 2026-09-06). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$44 (10.8% ROI across 1,624 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$38
Return on Investment -8.4%
Hit Rate 0.61%
Max Drawdown -$-191.5
Active Drawings 1,828
Total Plays Placed 1,802
Total Winning Hits 11
Gross Revenue $412.5
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
11 hits
+$412.5

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $450.5
Total Payout (Gross) $412.5
Net Profit / Loss -$38
Final Bankroll $462
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-191.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-287.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$1.5
-100.0% ROI
+$20.5
120.6% ROI
+$72.75
183.0% ROI
+$102.25
119.9% ROI
+$86
48.7% ROI
+$69.5
25.9% ROI
+$44
10.8% ROI
4 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2010 $0 $0 +$0 0
2011 $0 $0 +$0 0
2012 $0 $0 +$0 0
2013 $0 $0 +$0 0
2014 $0 $0 +$0 0
2015 $0 $0 +$0 0
2016 $0 $0 +$0 0
2017 $0 $0 +$0 0
2018 $0 $0 +$0 0
2019 $0 $0 +$0 0
2020 $0 $0 +$0 0
2021 $91.25 $37.5 -$53.75 1 -58.9%
2022 $91.25 $75 -$16.25 2 -17.8%
2023 $91.25 $0 -$91.25 0 -100.0%
2024 $91.5 $75 -$16.5 2 -18.0%
2025 $91.25 $150 +$58.75 4 64.4%
2026 $62.25 $112.5 +$50.25 3 80.7%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

21-10 $-8
21-11 $-8
21-12 $-8
22-01 $-8
22-02 $-7
22-03 $-8
22-04 $30
22-05 $-8
22-06 $30
22-07 $-8
22-08 $-8
22-09 $-8
22-10 $-8
22-11 $-8
22-12 $-8
23-01 $-8
23-02 $-7
23-03 $-8
23-04 $-8
23-05 $-8
23-06 $-8
23-07 $-8
23-08 $-8
23-09 $-8
23-10 $-8
23-11 $-8
23-12 $-8
24-01 $-8
24-02 $30
24-03 $-8
24-04 $30
24-05 $-8
24-06 $-8
24-07 $-8
24-08 $-8
24-09 $-8
24-10 $-8
24-11 $-8
24-12 $-8
25-01 $-8
25-02 $-7
25-03 $-8
25-04 $-8
25-05 $-8
25-06 $30
25-07 $30
25-08 $-8
25-09 $-8
25-10 $-8
25-11 $30
25-12 $30
26-01 $-8
26-02 $-7
26-03 $-8
26-04 $-8
26-05 $67
26-06 $-8
26-07 $-8
26-08 $30
26-09 $-2

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

11 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 3.5
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
54.5%
6 of 11 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 3
3 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 1 drops (9.1%)
Draw 2 2 drops (18.2%)
Draw 3 ★ 3 drops (27.3%)
Draw 4 1 drops (9.1%)
Draw 5 3 drops (27.3%)
Draw 6 1 drops (9.1%)
Draw 7 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 8 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 9 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 10 0 drops (0.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

018 1 hits 048 1 hits 049 1 hits 079 1 hits 089 1 hits 147 1 hits 237 1 hits 369 1 hits 479 1 hits 589 1 hits 689 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 11)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-08-31 Night 968 689 distinct +$37.50 followed number 223 2/16x within 10 draws · followed family 223 3/47x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 223)
2026-05-25 Night 480 048 distinct +$37.50 followed number 787 1/14x within 10 draws · followed family 778 3/42x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 787)
2026-05-21 Night 693 369 distinct +$37.50 followed number 101 1/13x within 10 draws · followed family 011 2/32x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 101)
2025-12-05 Night 980 089 distinct +$37.50 followed number 313 3/12x within 10 draws · followed family 133 7/47x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 313)
2025-11-25 Night 180 018 distinct +$37.50 followed number 744 1/19x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 744 -> 180 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 744)
2025-07-01 Night 907 079 distinct +$37.50 followed number 141 2/13x within 10 draws · followed family 114 2/33x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 141)
2025-06-18 Night 940 049 distinct +$37.50 followed number 788 1/18x within 10 draws · Double relative: 409 · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 788)
2024-04-16 Night 859 589 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 144 -> 859 · followed number 238 1/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 144)
2024-02-07 Night 372 237 distinct +$37.50 followed number 997 1/16x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 997 -> 273 · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 997)
2022-06-08 Night 417 147 distinct +$37.50 followed number 577 2/11x within 10 draws · followed family 577 2/33x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 577)
2022-04-03 Night 794 479 distinct +$37.50 followed number 565 1/9x within 10 draws · followed family 556 2/24x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 565)