Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 1,097 archive drawings (2023-09-05 → 2026-09-05) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year Consistency Verification [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 1,097 drawings accumulates 1,071 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
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StrategyFamilies/drawDrawingsTotal playsHitsHit rateCostGrossNetROIMax drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) 1.0 1,097 1,071 4 0.37% $267.75 $150 $-117.75 -44.0% $-153
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Night Only) 1.0 1,097 1,071 0 0.00% $267.75 $0 $-267.75 -100.0% $-267.75
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.8 1,097 3,086 22 0.71% $771.5 $825 $53.5 6.9% $-138.75
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) 4.6 1,097 5,053 23 0.46% $1,263.25 $862.5 $-400.75 -31.7% $-400.75
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Chase (Top 1) 1.0 1,097 1,071 5 0.47% $267.75 $187.5 $-80.25 -30.0% $-169.75
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline 1.4 1,097 1,490 14 0.94% $372.5 $525 $152.5 40.9% $-148.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline 1.8 1,097 2,001 18 0.90% $500.25 $675 $174.75 34.9% $-162
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Midday Slot Pipeline 2.9 1,097 3,143 0 0.00% $785.75 $0 $-785.75 -100.0% $-785.75
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline 8.7 1,097 9,533 40 0.42% $2,383.25 $1,500 $-883.25 -37.1% $-883.25
Fixed Five Families 4.9 1,097 5,355 42 0.78% $1,338.75 $1,575 $236.25 17.6% $-152.5
Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) 133.8 1,097 146,727 82 0.06% $36,681.75 $3,712.5 $-32,969.25 -89.9% $-33,059.5
Cici's Rules Engine 7.8 1,097 8,568 40 0.47% $2,142 $1,987.5 $-154.5 -7.2% $-357
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.8 1,097 8,568 32 0.37% $2,142 $1,650 $-492 -23.0% $-601.5
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.8 1,097 8,568 36 0.42% $2,142 $1,800 $-342 -16.0% $-490.5
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.9 1,097 5,355 27 0.50% $1,338.75 $1,387.5 $48.75 3.6% $-200
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Chase (Anti-Repeat Gate) 1.0 1,097 1,071 8 0.75% $267.75 $450 $182.25 68.1% $-76.25
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.8 1,097 8,568 41 0.48% $2,142 $2,062.5 $-79.5 -3.7% $-385
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Chase (Top 1) 1.0 1,097 1,071 5 0.47% $267.75 $300 $32.25 12.0% $-70
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Chase (Top 1) 1.0 1,097 1,071 4 0.37% $267.75 $225 $-42.75 -16.0% $-108
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 4.6 1,097 5,042 38 0.75% $1,260.5 $1,500 $239.5 19.0% $-204.75
Hot Families (top 10) 9.8 1,097 10,710 59 0.55% $2,677.5 $2,212.5 $-465 -17.4% $-500
Hot doubles (top 18) 17.6 1,097 19,278 60 0.31% $4,819.5 $4,500 $-319.5 -6.6% $-871.5
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.8 1,097 10,710 10 0.09% $2,677.5 $2,250 $-427.5 -16.0% $-922.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.8 1,097 10,710 61 0.57% $2,677.5 $2,325 $-352.5 -13.2% $-392.5
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 17.6 1,097 19,278 81 0.42% $4,819.5 $5,137.5 $318 6.6% $-541.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.8 1,097 10,710 41 0.38% $2,677.5 $2,700 $22.5 0.8% $-347.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.8 1,097 10,710 47 0.44% $2,677.5 $2,700 $22.5 0.8% $-440
Calendar Year Top-5 4.9 1,097 5,355 34 0.63% $1,338.75 $1,275 $-63.75 -4.8% $-233.75
Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes 117.2 1,097 128,520 79 0.06% $32,130 $2,962.5 $-29,167.5 -90.8% $-29,167.5
Night Doubles Machine [profit·double·8·Night] 7.8 1,097 8,568 0 0.00% $2,142 $0 $-2,142 -100.0% $-2,142
Window summary. 11 of 30 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Chase (Anti-Repeat Gate) (+68.1% ROI, net +$182.25)
Top Net Dollars: Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$318.00 · Followed-By (empirical top 5) +$239.50 · Fixed Five Families +$236.25

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$6 -$42 -$74 +$12 +$258 +$240 +$519 7/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline -$2 +$44 +$114 +$216 +$308 +$175 +$368 9/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Chase (Anti-Repeat Gate) -$1 -$17 +$73 +$140 +$161 +$182 +$230 4/12
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Chase (Top 1) -$1 -$17 -$40 -$48 -$139 -$80 +$225 1/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline -$2 +$52 +$95 +$182 +$280 +$153 +$132 8/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 3 Portfolio) -$4 -$11 -$76 -$95 -$20 +$54 +$15 4/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) -$1 -$17 -$40 -$10 -$64 -$118 -$11 2/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) -$13 -$130 -$320 -$325 -$188 +$23 -$180 2/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) -$13 -$93 -$170 -$213 +$75 +$23 -$293 3/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Chase (Top 1) -$1 +$21 +$73 +$28 +$49 +$32 -$348 2/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Chase (Top 1) -$1 -$17 -$40 -$85 -$64 -$43 -$348 0/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) +$31 +$66 +$103 +$138 +$206 +$49 -$353 6/12
Fixed Five Families -$6 +$29 +$65 +$175 +$169 +$236 -$390 5/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$13 -$93 -$133 -$175 -$113 -$353 -$593 2/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$10 -$97 -$91 -$5 +$203 -$155 -$609 4/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$6 -$9 -$48 -$88 +$131 -$64 -$615 2/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) -$6 -$42 -$112 -$101 -$194 -$401 -$923 6/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine +$28 +$54 +$59 +$33 -$60 -$342 -$947 6/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$103 +$91 -$16 +$70 +$203 -$80 -$1,134 6/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Night Only) -$1 -$17 -$40 -$85 -$176 -$268 -$1,476 0/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline -$11 -$149 -$239 -$344 -$594 -$883 -$1,644 2/12
Hot Families (top 10) -$13 -$18 -$95 -$213 -$225 -$465 -$2,280 3/12
Hot doubles (top 18) -$23 +$74 -$186 -$480 -$698 -$320 -$2,439 4/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$10 -$22 -$166 -$155 -$435 -$492 -$2,709 2/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) -$23 +$111 -$186 -$68 +$390 +$318 -$3,152 3/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$13 -$168 -$170 -$400 +$38 -$428 -$3,480 2/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Midday Slot Pipeline -$4 -$49 -$116 -$250 -$517 -$786 -$4,331 0/12
Night Doubles Machine [profit·double·8·Night] -$10 -$134 -$316 -$680 -$1,410 -$2,142 -$11,808 0/12
Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes +$0 -$548 -$1,778 -$7,238 -$18,188 -$29,168 -$17,910 0/12
Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) -$59 -$45 -$1,699 -$7,933 -$20,434 -$32,969 -$18,689 2/12