Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 5,981 archive drawings (2010-07-13 → 2026-09-05) using only prior data — no lookahead. Multi-Year All-Time Baseline [Filtering only Midday drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays
1 families every drawing across
5,981 drawings accumulates
5,891 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | 1.0 | 5,891 | 5,891 | 48 | 0.81% | $1,472.75 | $1,875 | $402.25 | 27.3% | $-229 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Night Only) | 1.0 | 5,981 | 5,903 | 0 | 0.00% | $1,475.75 | $0 | $-1,475.75 | -100.0% | $-1,475.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.9 | 5,891 | 16,890 | 101 | 0.60% | $4,222.5 | $3,937.5 | $-285 | -6.8% | $-690 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | 4.7 | 5,891 | 27,540 | 152 | 0.55% | $6,885 | $6,000 | $-885 | -12.8% | $-3,043.25 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Chase (Top 1) | 1.0 | 4,622 | 4,622 | 22 | 0.48% | $1,155.5 | $862.5 | $-293 | -25.4% | $-640 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | 1.4 | 5,846 | 8,193 | 48 | 0.59% | $2,048.25 | $1,800 | $-248.25 | -12.1% | $-561.25 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 1.9 | 5,846 | 10,998 | 67 | 0.61% | $2,749.5 | $2,512.5 | $-237 | -8.6% | $-603 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Midday Slot Pipeline | 2.9 | 5,891 | 17,295 | 102 | 0.59% | $4,323.75 | $3,900 | $-423.75 | -9.8% | $-574 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 8.9 | 5,891 | 52,447 | 317 | 0.60% | $13,111.75 | $12,300 | $-811.75 | -6.2% | $-9,978 |
| Fixed Five Families | 5.0 | 5,891 | 29,455 | 194 | 0.66% | $7,363.75 | $7,275 | $-88.75 | -1.2% | $-4,581.25 |
| Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) | 137.0 | 5,891 | 807,067 | 4,336 | 0.54% | $201,766.75 | $184,425 | $-17,341.75 | -8.6% | $-198,555.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 8.0 | 5,891 | 47,128 | 231 | 0.49% | $11,782 | $12,525 | $743 | 6.3% | $-7,520 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 8.0 | 5,891 | 47,128 | 217 | 0.46% | $11,782 | $10,837.5 | $-944.5 | -8.0% | $-7,924.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 8.0 | 5,891 | 47,128 | 238 | 0.51% | $11,782 | $12,825 | $1,043 | 8.8% | $-7,675.5 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 5.0 | 5,891 | 29,455 | 143 | 0.49% | $7,363.75 | $7,912.5 | $548.75 | 7.4% | $-2,301.25 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Chase (Anti-Repeat Gate) | 1.0 | 5,835 | 5,835 | 29 | 0.50% | $1,458.75 | $1,462.5 | $3.75 | 0.3% | $-368.75 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 8.0 | 5,891 | 47,128 | 240 | 0.51% | $11,782 | $12,525 | $743 | 6.3% | $-7,938 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Chase (Top 1) | 1.0 | 5,891 | 5,891 | 33 | 0.56% | $1,472.75 | $1,725 | $252.25 | 17.1% | $-203 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Chase (Top 1) | 1.0 | 5,891 | 5,891 | 34 | 0.58% | $1,472.75 | $1,800 | $327.25 | 22.2% | $-252.5 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 4.7 | 5,891 | 27,469 | 146 | 0.53% | $6,867.25 | $5,550 | $-1,317.25 | -19.2% | $-3,919.25 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 5,891 | 58,910 | 354 | 0.60% | $14,727.5 | $13,425 | $-1,302.5 | -8.8% | $-12,065 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 5,891 | 106,038 | 311 | 0.29% | $26,509.5 | $23,325 | $-3,184.5 | -12.0% | $-20,287.5 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 10.0 | 5,891 | 58,910 | 49 | 0.08% | $14,727.5 | $11,025 | $-3,702.5 | -25.1% | $-4,367.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 10.0 | 5,846 | 58,460 | 348 | 0.60% | $14,615 | $13,275 | $-1,340 | -9.2% | $-11,615 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 5,891 | 106,038 | 396 | 0.37% | $26,509.5 | $23,175 | $-3,334.5 | -12.6% | $-22,312.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 10.0 | 5,891 | 58,910 | 204 | 0.35% | $14,727.5 | $12,412.5 | $-2,315 | -15.7% | $-9,490 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 10.0 | 5,891 | 58,910 | 181 | 0.31% | $14,727.5 | $10,575 | $-4,152.5 | -28.2% | $-10,182.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 5.0 | 5,891 | 29,455 | 180 | 0.61% | $7,363.75 | $6,750 | $-613.75 | -8.3% | $-3,955 |
| Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 5,891 | 706,920 | 4,223 | 0.60% | $176,730 | $158,362.5 | $-18,367.5 | -10.4% | $-173,940 |
| Night Doubles Machine [profit·double·8·Night] | 7.9 | 5,981 | 47,224 | 0 | 0.00% | $11,806 | $0 | $-11,806 | -100.0% | $-11,806 |
Window summary.
8 of 30 strategies finished positive in this window.
· Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) (+27.3% ROI, net +$402.25)
Top Net Dollars: Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine +$1043.00 · Cici's Rules Engine +$743.00 · RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$743.00
Top Net Dollars: Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine +$1043.00 · Cici's Rules Engine +$743.00 · RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$743.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | +$28 | +$129 | +$172 | +$333 | +$615 | +$633 | +$1,043 | 9/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | +$28 | +$129 | +$134 | +$370 | +$690 | +$671 | +$743 | 10/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | +$28 | +$91 | +$209 | +$145 | +$315 | +$521 | +$743 | 7/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | +$31 | +$179 | +$215 | +$288 | +$506 | +$536 | +$549 | 8/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | -$1 | -$17 | +$111 | +$65 | +$199 | +$145 | +$402 | 2/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Chase (Top 1) | -$1 | -$17 | -$40 | +$65 | +$86 | +$107 | +$327 | 2/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Chase (Top 1) | -$1 | -$17 | -$2 | -$48 | -$101 | -$118 | +$252 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Chase (Anti-Repeat Gate) | +$36 | +$96 | +$73 | +$28 | -$26 | -$80 | +$4 | 2/12 |
| Fixed Five Families | -$6 | +$29 | +$140 | +$100 | +$319 | +$386 | -$89 | 4/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$2 | +$6 | +$76 | +$141 | +$196 | +$250 | -$237 | 7/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | -$2 | -$23 | +$20 | +$69 | +$167 | +$190 | -$248 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$4 | +$27 | +$111 | +$93 | +$17 | -$22 | -$285 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Chase (Top 1) | -$1 | -$17 | -$2 | -$10 | -$101 | -$118 | -$293 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Midday Slot Pipeline | -$4 | -$12 | -$41 | -$62 | +$8 | +$77 | -$424 | 5/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$6 | -$46 | +$28 | +$213 | -$19 | -$101 | -$614 | 7/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$11 | +$39 | +$211 | +$144 | +$344 | +$317 | -$812 | 6/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$6 | -$42 | -$74 | -$64 | +$31 | +$49 | -$885 | 7/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$10 | -$22 | +$97 | +$258 | +$278 | +$108 | -$945 | 7/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$13 | +$20 | +$93 | +$313 | +$225 | -$128 | -$1,303 | 6/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$6 | +$34 | +$39 | +$12 | +$145 | +$127 | -$1,317 | 6/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$13 | -$93 | +$18 | +$125 | +$150 | +$98 | -$1,340 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Night Only) | -$1 | -$17 | -$40 | -$85 | -$176 | -$268 | -$1,476 | 0/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$13 | -$168 | +$18 | +$88 | -$450 | -$765 | -$2,315 | 5/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$23 | +$74 | +$39 | -$30 | -$548 | -$845 | -$3,185 | 6/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$23 | +$74 | +$339 | +$158 | -$473 | -$957 | -$3,335 | 3/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$13 | +$58 | +$280 | +$50 | +$263 | -$428 | -$3,703 | 3/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$13 | -$93 | -$58 | -$100 | -$563 | -$803 | -$4,153 | 3/12 |
| Night Doubles Machine [profit·double·8·Night] | -$10 | -$134 | -$316 | -$680 | -$1,410 | -$2,142 | -$11,806 | 0/12 |
| Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) | +$16 | +$68 | -$1,587 | -$7,820 | -$20,321 | -$32,857 | -$17,342 | 3/12 |
| Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes | -$38 | -$473 | -$1,590 | -$7,050 | -$18,000 | -$28,980 | -$18,368 | 1/12 |