Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 183 archive drawings (2026-03-08 → 2026-09-06) using only prior data — no lookahead. ⚡ High-Frequency Recent Form: 6 Months [Filtering only Midday drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays
1 families every drawing across
183 drawings accumulates
159 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 159 | 4 | 2.52% | $39.75 | $150 | $110.25 | 277.4% | $-17 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Night Only) 🏆 #1 ROI (+229.7%) | 0.9 | 183 | 159 | 0 | 0.00% | $39.75 | $0 | $-39.75 | -100.0% | $-39.75 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.5 | 183 | 458 | 6 | 1.31% | $114.5 | $225 | $110.5 | 96.5% | $-44 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 4.1 | 183 | 750 | 3 | 0.40% | $187.5 | $112.5 | $-75 | -40.0% | $-77 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 159 | 1 | 0.63% | $39.75 | $37.5 | $-2.25 | -5.7% | $-24.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.2 | 183 | 221 | 2 | 0.90% | $55.25 | $75 | $19.75 | 35.8% | $-23.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.6 | 183 | 297 | 4 | 1.35% | $74.25 | $150 | $75.75 | 102.0% | $-14.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Midday Slot Hold Ladder | 2.6 | 183 | 467 | 2 | 0.43% | $116.75 | $75 | $-41.75 | -35.8% | $-57.25 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 7.7 | 183 | 1,415 | 15 | 1.06% | $353.75 | $562.5 | $208.75 | 59.0% | $-29.25 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 159 | 2 | 1.26% | $39.75 | $150 | $110.25 | 277.4% | $-23 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.6 | 183 | 477 | 3 | 0.63% | $119.25 | $225 | $105.75 | 88.7% | $-51 |
| Fixed Five Families | 4.3 | 183 | 795 | 9 | 1.13% | $198.75 | $337.5 | $138.75 | 69.8% | $-46.25 |
| Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) | 119.0 | 183 | 21,783 | 87 | 0.40% | $5,445.75 | $3,862.5 | $-1,583.25 | -29.1% | $-1,826.75 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.0 | 183 | 1,272 | 7 | 0.55% | $318 | $450 | $132 | 41.5% | $-62 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.0 | 183 | 1,272 | 9 | 0.71% | $318 | $487.5 | $169.5 | 53.3% | $-84.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.0 | 183 | 1,272 | 8 | 0.63% | $318 | $487.5 | $169.5 | 53.3% | $-24.5 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.3 | 183 | 795 | 6 | 0.75% | $198.75 | $412.5 | $213.75 | 107.5% | $-38.75 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 0.9 | 183 | 159 | 2 | 1.26% | $39.75 | $112.5 | $72.75 | 183.0% | $-30.5 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.0 | 183 | 1,272 | 11 | 0.86% | $318 | $525 | $207 | 65.1% | $-62 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 159 | 1 | 0.63% | $39.75 | $37.5 | $-2.25 | -5.7% | $-32.25 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 183 | 159 | 0 | 0.00% | $39.75 | $0 | $-39.75 | -100.0% | $-39.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.9 | 183 | 159 | 0 | 0.00% | $39.75 | $0 | $-39.75 | -100.0% | $-39.75 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.9 | 183 | 159 | 0 | 0.00% | $39.75 | $0 | $-39.75 | -100.0% | $-39.75 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 4.1 | 183 | 748 | 6 | 0.80% | $187 | $225 | $38 | 20.3% | $-36.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 8.7 | 183 | 1,590 | 13 | 0.82% | $397.5 | $487.5 | $90 | 22.6% | $-55 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 15.6 | 183 | 2,862 | 10 | 0.35% | $715.5 | $750 | $34.5 | 4.8% | $-135 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 8.7 | 183 | 1,590 | 3 | 0.19% | $397.5 | $675 | $277.5 | 69.8% | $-152.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 8.7 | 183 | 1,590 | 10 | 0.63% | $397.5 | $412.5 | $15 | 3.8% | $-95 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 15.6 | 183 | 2,862 | 14 | 0.49% | $715.5 | $1,050 | $334.5 | 46.8% | $-129 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 8.7 | 183 | 1,590 | 6 | 0.38% | $397.5 | $450 | $52.5 | 13.2% | $-132.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 8.7 | 183 | 1,590 | 6 | 0.38% | $397.5 | $412.5 | $15 | 3.8% | $-95 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.3 | 183 | 795 | 6 | 0.75% | $198.75 | $225 | $26.25 | 13.2% | $-48.75 |
| Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes | 104.3 | 183 | 19,080 | 84 | 0.44% | $4,770 | $3,150 | $-1,620 | -34.0% | $-1,620 |
| Night Doubles Machine [profit·double·8·Night] | 7.0 | 183 | 1,272 | 0 | 0.00% | $318 | $0 | $-318 | -100.0% | $-318 |
Window summary.
23 of 34 strategies finished positive in this window.
· Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) (+277.4% ROI, net +$110.25)
Top Net Dollars: Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$334.50 · Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$277.50 · Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) +$213.75
Top Net Dollars: Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$334.50 · Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) +$277.50 · Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) +$213.75
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | +$26 | +$127 | +$170 | +$331 | +$613 | +$631 | +$1,041 | 9/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | +$26 | +$127 | +$132 | +$368 | +$688 | +$669 | +$741 | 10/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | +$26 | +$89 | +$207 | +$143 | +$313 | +$519 | +$741 | 7/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | +$30 | +$178 | +$214 | +$286 | +$505 | +$535 | +$548 | 8/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$2 | -$17 | +$110 | +$65 | +$199 | +$145 | +$402 | 2/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$17 | -$40 | +$65 | +$86 | +$107 | +$327 | 2/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$17 | -$2 | -$48 | -$102 | -$118 | +$252 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$2 | +$58 | +$110 | +$215 | +$274 | +$257 | +$65 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | +$36 | +$96 | +$73 | +$27 | -$27 | -$81 | +$4 | 2/12 |
| Fixed Five Families | -$8 | +$28 | +$139 | +$99 | +$318 | +$385 | -$90 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$5 | -$51 | +$106 | +$269 | +$221 | +$396 | -$144 | 6/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$3 | +$6 | +$76 | +$141 | +$195 | +$249 | -$238 | 7/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$2 | -$24 | +$20 | +$69 | +$167 | +$190 | -$249 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$4 | +$26 | +$111 | +$92 | +$17 | -$22 | -$286 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$17 | -$2 | -$10 | -$102 | -$118 | -$293 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Midday Slot Hold Ladder | -$5 | -$13 | -$42 | -$63 | +$7 | +$76 | -$425 | 5/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$8 | -$48 | +$26 | +$211 | -$20 | -$103 | -$615 | 7/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$13 | +$36 | +$209 | +$141 | +$342 | +$315 | -$814 | 6/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | +$63 | +$52 | +$170 | +$331 | +$351 | +$181 | -$872 | 8/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$7 | -$43 | -$75 | -$65 | +$30 | +$48 | -$886 | 7/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$15 | +$18 | +$90 | +$310 | +$223 | -$130 | -$1,305 | 6/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$7 | +$33 | +$38 | +$11 | +$144 | +$126 | -$1,319 | 6/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$15 | -$95 | +$15 | +$123 | +$148 | +$95 | -$1,343 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Night Only) | -$2 | -$17 | -$40 | -$85 | -$177 | -$268 | -$1,476 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$17 | -$40 | -$85 | -$177 | -$268 | -$1,476 | 0/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$2 | -$17 | -$40 | -$85 | -$177 | -$268 | -$1,476 | 0/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$15 | -$133 | +$53 | +$160 | -$340 | -$655 | -$2,243 | 5/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$15 | -$20 | +$15 | +$160 | -$265 | -$580 | -$3,143 | 5/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$27 | +$69 | +$35 | -$35 | -$552 | -$849 | -$3,189 | 6/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$27 | +$69 | +$335 | +$153 | -$477 | -$962 | -$3,339 | 3/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$15 | +$55 | +$278 | +$48 | +$260 | -$430 | -$3,705 | 3/12 |
| Night Doubles Machine [profit·double·8·Night] | -$12 | -$136 | -$318 | -$682 | -$1,412 | -$2,144 | -$11,808 | 0/12 |
| Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) | +$57 | +$109 | -$1,583 | -$7,817 | -$20,318 | -$32,854 | -$17,301 | 3/12 |
| Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes | -$68 | -$503 | -$1,620 | -$7,080 | -$18,030 | -$29,010 | -$18,398 | 1/12 |